Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x78048aa2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.450 | +0.100 | $2750 | 6415m |
| 2026-05-13 03:30 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.370 | +0.190 | $16 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:30 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.420 | +0.140 | $16 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:30 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.450 | +0.110 | $16 | 6415m |
| 2026-05-13 03:27 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $456 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:27 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.370 | +0.200 | $456 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:27 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.420 | +0.150 | $456 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $142 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $142 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $142 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $277 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $277 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $277 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $302 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $302 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $302 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $73 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $73 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.370 | +0.200 | $73 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $341 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $341 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.370 | +0.190 | $341 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $1 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $1 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $3 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $3 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $56 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $56 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $48 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $48 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:16 | 0x9dd9e18b… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $88 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:16 | 0x9dd9e18b… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $88 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:16 | 0x9dd9e18b… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $88 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $110 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $275 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $34 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $110 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $275 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $34 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.360 | +0.190 | $110 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.360 | +0.190 | $275 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $34 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.350 | +0.240 | $472 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.350 | +0.240 | $472 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.360 | +0.230 | $472 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $1 | 7347m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $1 | 7342m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7347m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7342m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7347m |