Per-market catchup speed and reliability. Score = close rate × speed factor (120 min baseline) — higher is better. Needs ≥ 5 resolved trades to score. Green = fast, predictable lead-lag. Red = structural divergence or slow/unreliable.
| Market | Signals | Trades | Close Rate | Avg Lag | Min / Max Lag | Win Rate | Avg P&L | Total P&L | Score | Last Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KXNETFLIXRANKSHOWGLOBAL-26JUL20-IWI
Will "I Will Find You: Limited Series" be the top global Net resolves 2026-07-21 |
19 | 19↑ | 100% (19/19) | 13m | 0m / 1h52m | 89% | $+9.18 | $+174.50 | 1.000 | 2026-07-20 20:39 |
|
KXTRUMPBIBIMEET-26AUG01-JUL21
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 19, 2026? resolves 2026-07-19 |
14 | 12↑ | 100% (12/12) | 45m | 1m / 2h26m | 0% | $-32.67 | $-392.00 | 1.000 | 2026-07-16 01:55 |
|
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
112 | 100↑ | 100% (100/100) | 1h 2m | 1m / 1d | 100% | $+1.17 | $+117.20 | 1.000 | 2026-07-15 08:40 |
|
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? resolves 2026-06-26 |
314 | 275↑ | 100% (275/275) | 1h 10m | 1m / 6h33m | 61% | $-1.60 | $-441.25 | 1.000 | 2026-06-26 05:44 |
|
KXTOPSONG-26AUG08-CHO
Will "Choosin' Texas - Ella Langley" be the Billboard Hot 10 resolves 2026-08-04 |
10 | 10↑ | 100% (10/10) | 1h 25m | 13m / 6h30m | 10% | $-6.30 | $-63.00 | 1.000 | 2026-07-27 02:19 |
|
KXTOPALBUMSPOTIFY-26-BTS
Will "Arirang - BTS" be the top album for 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
15 | 15↑ | 100% (15/15) | 2h 56m | 0m / 5h19m | 100% | $+4.72 | $+70.75 | 0.682 | 2026-08-05 11:42 |
|
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 1 resolves 2026-06-18 |
550 | 316↑ | 100% (316/316) | 3h 38m | 1m / 18h32m | 43% | $-3.28 | $-1036.50 | 0.550 | 2026-06-18 04:30 |
|
KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the Sep resolves 2026-09-18 |
24 | 20↑ 3✕ 1○ | 87% (20/23) | 3h 28m | 0m / 11h57m | 100% | $+3.95 | $+79.00 | 0.502 | 2026-08-07 05:38 |
|
KXCBDECISIONRUSSIA-26JUL24-HOLD
Will the Bank of Russia make no change to the key rate after resolves 2026-07-24 |
31 | 27↑ | 100% (27/27) | 4h 40m | 0m / 1d | 48% | $-0.89 | $-24.00 | 0.429 | 2026-07-24 03:21 |
|
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? resolves 2026-07-01 |
1109 | 910↑ | 100% (910/910) | 4h 44m | 1m / 1d | 59% | $+0.57 | $+521.38 | 0.423 | 2026-06-30 16:40 |
|
KXTRUMPBIBIMEET-26AUG01-AUG01
Will Trump meet with Netanyahu by July 31, 2026? resolves 2026-07-31 |
74 | 73↑ 1✕ | 99% (73/74) | 5h 1m | 0m / 18h21m | 85% | $+5.96 | $+435.25 | 0.393 | 2026-07-26 08:16 |
|
KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? resolves 2026-12-31 |
11 | 11↑ | 100% (11/11) | 5h 19m | 1m / 16h13m | 100% | $+2.36 | $+26.00 | 0.376 | 2026-07-21 20:48 |
|
KXGOOGLESEARCH-MOV27-ODY
Will The Odyssey be the #1 searched movie on Google this yea resolves 2026-12-31 |
38 | 38↑ | 100% (38/38) | 5h 49m | 0m / 1d | 82% | $+6.86 | $+260.50 | 0.344 | 2026-08-06 11:01 |
|
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 1 resolves 2026-06-20 |
161 | 84↑ | 100% (84/84) | 6h 34m | 1m / 20h3m | 65% | $-0.30 | $-25.50 | 0.305 | 2026-06-17 12:35 |
|
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betwe resolves 2026-07-12 |
87 | 86↑ 1✕ | 99% (86/87) | 6h 50m | 1m / 1d | 48% | $-1.34 | $-115.00 | 0.289 | 2026-07-13 10:40 |
|
KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
30 | 22↑ 4✕ | 85% (22/26) | 6h 29m | 1h42m / 1d | 55% | $-2.32 | $-51.00 | 0.261 | 2026-07-16 19:34 |
|
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
151 | 81↑ 46✕ | 64% (81/127) | 5h 19m | 0m / 1d | 100% | $+0.87 | $+70.50 | 0.240 | 2026-08-02 02:37 |
|
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? resolves 2026-06-30 |
10 | 10↑ | 100% (10/10) | 9h 4m | 1m / 1d | 100% | $+2.30 | $+23.00 | 0.221 | 2026-06-18 10:32 |
|
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? resolves 2026-06-22 |
37 | 37↑ | 100% (37/37) | 9h 26m | 2m / 1d | 49% | $-2.20 | $-81.37 | 0.212 | 2026-06-18 13:01 |
|
KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
30 | 12↑ 15✕ | 44% (12/27) | 4h 19m | 0m / 1d | 100% | $+3.58 | $+43.00 | 0.206 | 2026-08-05 12:12 |
|
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
1059 | 511↑ 100✕ 16○ | 84% (511/611) | 8h 15m | 0m / 1d | 100% | $+1.91 | $+973.94 | 0.203 | 2026-08-07 13:26 |
|
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 3 resolves 2026-07-01 |
85 | 69↑ | 100% (69/69) | 11h 41m | 22m / 21h57m | 93% | $+4.38 | $+302.50 | 0.171 | 2026-06-18 04:20 |
|
KXMACHADOVENEZUELA-26JUN29-AUG01
Will María Corina Machado enter Venezuela by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
24 | 2↑ 10✕ | 17% (2/12) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+1.00 | $+2.00 | 0.167 | 2026-07-04 18:12 |
|
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
95 | 70↑ 16✕ | 81% (70/86) | 9h 54m | 1m / 1d | 94% | $+3.44 | $+240.50 | 0.164 | 2026-06-30 15:46 |
|
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? resolves 2026-12-31 |
40 | 20↑ 20✕ | 50% (20/40) | 6h 16m | 0m / 1d | 100% | $+2.84 | $+56.85 | 0.160 | 2026-07-30 09:53 |
|
KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 20 resolves 2026-12-31 |
122 | 73↑ 15✕ | 83% (73/88) | 12h 17m | 0m / 1d | 92% | $+2.96 | $+216.00 | 0.135 | 2026-08-07 11:53 |
|
KXTRUMPATTEND
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final? resolves 2026-07-20 |
126 | 48↑ 24✕ | 67% (48/72) | 11h 15m | 8m / 1d | 100% | $+1.15 | $+55.25 | 0.119 | 2026-07-16 10:20 |
|
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May resolves 2026-05-31 |
8 | 7↑ 1✕ | 88% (7/8) | 16h 59m | 9m / 1d | 43% | $+3.21 | $+22.50 | 0.103 | 2026-05-31 08:05 |
|
KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting? resolves 2026-08-31 |
40 | 30↑ 6✕ 4○ | 83% (30/36) | 0m | 0m / 6m | 100% | $+4.32 | $+129.50 | 0.100 | 2026-08-07 01:32 |
|
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? resolves 2026-12-31 |
194 | 49↑ 73✕ 22○ | 40% (49/122) | 8h 44m | 0m / 23h10m | 100% | $+3.14 | $+153.75 | 0.092 | 2026-08-07 13:51 |
|
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL26-T50
Will fewer than 50 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz betwee resolves 2026-07-26 |
17 | 14↑ 3✕ | 82% (14/17) | 18h 17m | 6h49m / 1d | 7% | $-5.18 | $-72.50 | 0.090 | 2026-07-23 15:39 |
|
KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26JUL30-HOLD
No change in Bank of Japan’s interest rates after the July 2 resolves 2026-07-31 |
12 | 1↑ 11✕ | 8% (1/12) | 1h 37m | 1h37m / 1h37m | 100% | $+2.00 | $+2.00 | 0.083 | 2026-07-28 16:39 |
|
KXLEAVEOPEC-27
Will another country leave OPEC in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
8 | 5↑ 3✕ | 62% (5/8) | 0m | 0m / 0m | 100% | $+2.20 | $+11.00 | 0.075 | 2026-07-30 14:59 |
|
KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
16 | 11↑ | 100% (11/11) | 1d 9h | 11h28m / 1d | 0% | $-4.14 | $-45.50 | 0.059 | 2026-07-08 02:26 |
|
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential n resolves 2028-11-07 |
14 | 14↑ | 100% (14/14) | 1d 11h | 1d / 1d | 100% | $+1.00 | $+14.00 | 0.056 | 2026-06-08 08:20 |
|
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
60 | 46↑ 14✕ | 77% (46/60) | 1d 10h | 2h16m / 1d | 0% | $-18.93 | $-871.00 | 0.044 | 2026-06-01 10:46 |
|
KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-NMAD
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
633 | 27↑ 23✕ | 54% (27/50) | 1d 0h | 1m / 1d | 93% | $+1.74 | $+47.00 | 0.044 | 2026-07-28 05:32 |
|
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
479 | 71↑ 381✕ | 16% (71/452) | 7h 13m | 9m / 1d | 37% | $-5.87 | $-416.50 | 0.044 | 2026-07-31 20:09 |
|
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
676 | 298↑ 378✕ | 44% (298/676) | 1d 2h | 1m / 1d | 31% | $-1.71 | $-510.50 | 0.033 | 2026-06-06 13:47 |
|
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? resolves 2026-12-31 |
18 | 5↑ 13✕ | 28% (5/18) | 1d 2h | 20h23m / 1d | 60% | $-2.80 | $-14.00 | 0.021 | 2026-06-08 18:48 |
|
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26OCT
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by September 30, 2026? resolves 2026-09-30 |
12 | 1↑ 11✕ | 8% (1/12) | 22h 15m | 22h15m / 22h15m | 100% | $+0.50 | $+0.50 | 0.007 | 2026-08-05 04:47 |
|
SENATEME-26-D
Will the Democrats win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
16 | 2↑ 14✕ | 12% (2/16) | 1d 16h | 1d / 1d | 100% | $+1.00 | $+2.00 | 0.006 | 2026-08-04 20:12 |
|
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina resolves 2028-11-07 |
49 | 3↑ 46✕ | 6% (3/49) | 5d 22h | 5d / 5d | 100% | $+3.00 | $+9.00 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 00:31 |
|
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
15 | 0↑ 15✕ | 0% (0/15) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-28 19:47 |
|
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-PSANPM
Pedro Sánchez out as PM of Spain by December 31, 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
6 | 0↑ 6✕ | 0% (0/6) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-07-19 15:56 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presid resolves 2028-11-07 |
6 | 0↑ 6✕ | 0% (0/6) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-31 07:35 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin resolves 2028-11-07 |
11 | 0↑ 11✕ | 0% (0/11) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-06-01 09:12 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-MK
Will Mark Kelly win the 2028 Democratic presidential nominat resolves 2028-11-07 |
41 | 0↑ 10✕ | 0% (0/10) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-07-29 17:00 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin resolves 2028-11-07 |
68 | 0↑ 68✕ | 0% (0/68) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
|
SENATEMI-26-R
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
23 | 0↑ 8✕ 8○ | 0% (0/8) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-08-06 11:18 |
|
SENATESC-26-D
Will the Democrats win the South Carolina Senate race in 202 |
7 | 0↑ 7✕ | 0% (0/7) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-07-27 13:00 |
|
KXLAIOUT-LCHI-27JAN01
Lai Ching-te out as President of Taiwan by December 31, 2026 resolves 2026-12-31 |
3 | 3↑ | 100% (3/3) | 0m | 0m / 0m | 100% | $+4.32 | $+12.95 | 3/5 needed | 2026-07-29 12:24 |
|
KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
4 | 4↑ | 100% (4/4) | 0m | 0m / 1m | 100% | $+1.45 | $+5.80 | 4/5 needed | 2026-07-21 13:49 |
|
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01-INDO
Israel and Indonesia normalize relations by December 31, 202 resolves 2026-12-31 |
1 | 1↑ | 100% (1/1) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+3.95 | $+3.95 | 1/5 needed | 2026-07-18 08:32 |
|
KXKNESSET-27-JUN30
Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? resolves 2026-06-30 |
2 | 2↑ | 100% (2/2) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+7.50 | $+15.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-06-23 12:28 |
|
KXPAHLAVIVISITA-27JAN01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? resolves 2026-12-31 |
3 | 3↑ | 100% (3/3) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+3.00 | $+9.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-05-24 08:57 |
|
KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? resolves 2026-12-31 |
3 | 3↑ | 100% (3/3) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+7.35 | $+22.05 | 3/5 needed | 2026-07-04 06:07 |
|
KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
Will US annex any territory in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
4 | 4↑ | 100% (4/4) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+1.21 | $+4.85 | 4/5 needed | 2026-06-12 10:33 |
|
KXCBDECISIONENGLAND-26SEP17-HOLD
No change in Bank of England’s interest rates after Septembe resolves 2026-09-17 |
1 | 1↑ | 100% (1/1) | 2h 26m | 2h26m / 2h26m | 100% | $+1.00 | $+1.00 | 1/5 needed | 2026-07-31 02:15 |
|
KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027? |
6 | 1↑ 5○ | 100% (1/1) | 1d 14h | 1d / 1d | 100% | $+2.00 | $+2.00 | 1/5 needed | 2026-08-07 04:43 |
|
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? resolves 2026-05-16 |
3 | 3↑ | 100% (3/3) | 2d 19h | 1h47m / 4d | 67% | $+2.67 | $+8.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-05-13 10:08 |
|
KXCBDECISIONMEXICO-26AUG06-HOLD
No change in Bank of Mexico’s interest rates after August 20 resolves 2026-08-06 |
3 | 2↑ 1✕ | 67% (2/3) | 0m | 0m / 0m | 100% | $+3.50 | $+7.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-07-31 00:33 |
|
KXCBDECISIONAUSTRALIA-26AUG11-HOLD
No change in Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rates at t resolves 2026-08-11 |
2 | 1↑ 1✕ | 50% (1/2) | 0m | 0m / 0m | 100% | $+4.00 | $+4.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-07-28 21:09 |
|
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-LJMKOR
Lee Jae-myung out as president of South Korea in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
2 | 1↑ 1✕ | 50% (1/2) | 0m | 0m / 0m | 100% | $+2.50 | $+2.50 | 2/5 needed | 2026-08-06 16:44 |
|
KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-27JUL01
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by June 30, 2027? resolves 2027-06-30 |
3 | 1↑ 2✕ | 33% (1/3) | 10h 34m | 10h34m / 10h34m | 0% | $-12.00 | $-12.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-08-03 06:35 |
|
SENATESC-26-R
Will the Republicans win the South Carolina Senate race in 2 |
4 | 1↑ 3✕ | 25% (1/4) | 0m | 0m / 0m | 100% | $+1.00 | $+1.00 | 4/5 needed | 2026-07-29 22:07 |
|
GOVPARTYWI-26-D
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026? |
5 | 0↑ 3✕ 2○ | 0% (0/3) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-08-06 05:55 |
|
KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nom resolves 2028-11-07 |
1 | 0↑ 1✕ | 0% (0/1) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 1/5 needed | 2026-06-02 07:51 |
|
SENATEME-26-R
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026? |
4 | 0↑ 2✕ 2○ | 0% (0/2) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-08-06 17:35 |
|
SENATETX-26-R
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
2 | 0↑ 2✕ | 0% (0/2) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-07-22 11:37 |
|
KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-HOLD
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2 resolves 2026-09-18 |
1 | 0↑ 1○ | — | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0/5 needed | 2026-08-07 03:20 |
|
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
1 | 0↑ 1○ | — | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0/5 needed | 2026-08-07 14:07 |
|
SENATEMI-26-D
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026? |
14 | 0↑ 11○ | — | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0/5 needed | 2026-08-07 08:09 |