Per-market catchup speed and reliability. Score = close rate × speed factor (120 min baseline) — higher is better. Needs ≥ 5 resolved trades to score. Green = fast, predictable lead-lag. Red = structural divergence or slow/unreliable.
| Market | Signals | Trades | Close Rate | Avg Lag | Min / Max Lag | Win Rate | Avg P&L | Total P&L | Score | Last Signal |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
|
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May resolves 2026-05-31 |
12 | 12↑ | 100% (12/12) | 13m | 1m / 32m | 0% | $-21.58 | $-259.00 | 1.000 | 2026-06-01 10:55 |
|
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
21 | 21↑ | 100% (21/21) | 13m | 1m / 4h21m | 100% | $+1.02 | $+21.50 | 1.000 | 2026-06-11 01:33 |
|
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
57 | 45↑ | 100% (45/45) | 2h 2m | 1m / 1d | 100% | $+1.31 | $+58.95 | 0.984 | 2026-06-19 15:59 |
|
KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
47 | 47↑ | 100% (47/47) | 3h 38m | 1m / 15h44m | 100% | $+1.53 | $+72.00 | 0.550 | 2026-05-28 21:08 |
|
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 1 resolves 2026-06-18 |
550 | 316↑ | 100% (316/316) | 3h 38m | 1m / 18h32m | 43% | $-3.28 | $-1036.50 | 0.550 | 2026-06-18 04:30 |
|
KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-JUL01
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by June 30? resolves 2026-06-30 |
26 | 26↑ | 100% (26/26) | 3h 49m | 1m / 5h24m | 0% | $-4.62 | $-120.25 | 0.524 | 2026-05-31 14:55 |
|
KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
Will GameStop acquire eBay? resolves 2026-12-31 |
7 | 7↑ | 100% (7/7) | 3h 52m | 1m / 7h7m | 100% | $+2.57 | $+18.00 | 0.517 | 2026-06-18 12:14 |
|
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? resolves 2026-07-01 |
484 | 352↑ 1○ | 100% (352/352) | 5h 54m | 1m / 1d | 69% | $+2.98 | $+1048.88 | 0.339 | 2026-06-23 06:19 |
|
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 1 resolves 2026-06-20 |
161 | 84↑ | 100% (84/84) | 6h 34m | 1m / 20h3m | 65% | $-0.30 | $-25.50 | 0.305 | 2026-06-17 12:35 |
|
KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30? resolves 2026-06-30 |
10 | 10↑ | 100% (10/10) | 9h 4m | 1m / 1d | 100% | $+2.30 | $+23.00 | 0.221 | 2026-06-18 10:32 |
|
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22? resolves 2026-06-22 |
37 | 37↑ | 100% (37/37) | 9h 26m | 2m / 1d | 49% | $-2.20 | $-81.37 | 0.212 | 2026-06-18 13:01 |
|
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? resolves 2026-12-31 |
9 | 6↑ 3✕ | 67% (6/9) | 6h 21m | 1m / 1d | 100% | $+2.53 | $+15.20 | 0.210 | 2026-06-17 18:31 |
|
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
320 | 106↑ 59✕ 2○ | 64% (106/165) | 7h 19m | 0m / 1d | 100% | $+2.54 | $+269.21 | 0.176 | 2026-06-23 06:47 |
|
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 3 resolves 2026-07-01 |
85 | 69↑ | 100% (69/69) | 11h 41m | 22m / 21h57m | 93% | $+4.38 | $+302.50 | 0.171 | 2026-06-18 04:20 |
|
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? resolves 2026-06-15 |
18 | 11↑ 7✕ | 61% (11/18) | 7h 11m | 1m / 15h56m | 100% | $+2.82 | $+31.00 | 0.170 | 2026-05-31 08:04 |
|
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May? resolves 2026-05-31 |
16 | 16↑ | 100% (16/16) | 13h 56m | 22m / 17h3m | 19% | $-7.84 | $-125.50 | 0.144 | 2026-05-24 00:27 |
|
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May resolves 2026-05-31 |
8 | 7↑ 1✕ | 88% (7/8) | 16h 59m | 9m / 1d | 43% | $+3.21 | $+22.50 | 0.103 | 2026-05-31 08:05 |
|
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUN
Will Trump agree to Iranian enrichment of uranium by May 31? resolves 2026-05-31 |
6 | 6↑ | 100% (6/6) | 19h 58m | 1h37m / 1d | 100% | $+2.72 | $+16.30 | 0.100 | 2026-05-29 10:25 |
|
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? resolves 2026-06-30 |
768 | 553↑ 58✕ | 90% (553/611) | 21h 40m | 1m / 6d | 78% | $+7.16 | $+3961.27 | 0.084 | 2026-06-22 01:04 |
|
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential n resolves 2028-11-07 |
14 | 14↑ | 100% (14/14) | 1d 11h | 1d / 1d | 100% | $+1.00 | $+14.00 | 0.056 | 2026-06-08 08:20 |
|
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
60 | 46↑ 14✕ | 77% (46/60) | 1d 10h | 2h16m / 1d | 0% | $-18.93 | $-871.00 | 0.044 | 2026-06-01 10:46 |
|
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? resolves 2026-07-31 |
676 | 298↑ 378✕ | 44% (298/676) | 1d 2h | 1m / 1d | 31% | $-1.71 | $-510.50 | 0.033 | 2026-06-06 13:47 |
|
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? resolves 2026-06-30 |
43 | 17↑ 26✕ | 40% (17/43) | 1d 2h | 12h6m / 1d | 0% | $-43.59 | $-741.00 | 0.030 | 2026-05-31 08:51 |
|
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
420 | 49↑ 371✕ | 12% (49/420) | 8h 33m | 5h26m / 1d | 8% | $-9.39 | $-460.20 | 0.027 | 2026-05-25 17:54 |
|
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
Will President Trump attend the NBA Finals? resolves 2026-06-19 |
54 | 3↑ 51✕ | 6% (3/54) | 4h 24m | 1m / 6h57m | 100% | $+4.33 | $+13.00 | 0.025 | 2026-05-30 22:03 |
|
KXMUSKOAI-26
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? resolves 2026-12-31 |
37 | 33↑ 4✕ | 89% (33/37) | 3d 1h | 1m / 5d | 9% | $-10.73 | $-354.00 | 0.024 | 2026-05-18 10:30 |
|
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? resolves 2026-12-31 |
18 | 5↑ 13✕ | 28% (5/18) | 1d 2h | 20h23m / 1d | 60% | $-2.80 | $-14.00 | 0.021 | 2026-06-08 18:48 |
|
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? resolves 2026-06-30 |
280 | 51↑ 229✕ | 18% (51/280) | 1d 15h | 4m / 3d | 2% | $-8.59 | $-438.00 | 0.009 | 2026-05-29 01:04 |
|
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomina resolves 2028-11-07 |
49 | 3↑ 46✕ | 6% (3/49) | 5d 22h | 5d / 5d | 100% | $+3.00 | $+9.00 | 0.001 | 2026-05-30 00:31 |
|
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
15 | 0↑ 15✕ | 0% (0/15) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-28 19:47 |
|
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? resolves 2026-12-31 |
23 | 0↑ 23✕ | 0% (0/23) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-06-06 11:37 |
|
KXIRANEMBASSY-27
Will the US reopen its embassy in Iran in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
6 | 0↑ 6✕ | 0% (0/6) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-06-20 22:17 |
|
KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-MDIACPC
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by December 31? resolves 2026-12-31 |
12 | 0↑ 12✕ | 0% (0/12) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-25 02:04 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presid resolves 2028-11-07 |
6 | 0↑ 6✕ | 0% (0/6) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-31 07:35 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin resolves 2028-11-07 |
11 | 0↑ 11✕ | 0% (0/11) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-06-01 09:12 |
|
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomin resolves 2028-11-07 |
68 | 0↑ 68✕ | 0% (0/68) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 0.000 | 2026-05-29 08:09 |
|
KXPAHLAVIVISITA-27JAN01
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31? resolves 2026-12-31 |
3 | 3↑ | 100% (3/3) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+3.00 | $+9.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-05-24 08:57 |
|
KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? resolves 2026-12-31 |
2 | 2↑ | 100% (2/2) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+9.00 | $+18.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-05-26 10:10 |
|
KXTRUMPPHOTO-26MAY17
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17) resolves 2026-05-17 |
2 | 2↑ | 100% (2/2) | 1m | 1m / 2m | 100% | $+22.50 | $+45.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-05-17 16:42 |
|
KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
Will US annex any territory in 2026? resolves 2026-12-31 |
4 | 4↑ | 100% (4/4) | 1m | 1m / 1m | 100% | $+1.21 | $+4.85 | 4/5 needed | 2026-06-12 10:33 |
|
KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26JUN01-THE
Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? resolves 2026-06-02 |
1 | 1↑ | 100% (1/1) | 4h 18m | 4h18m / 4h18m | 100% | $+2.00 | $+2.00 | 1/5 needed | 2026-05-30 16:12 |
|
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? resolves 2026-05-16 |
3 | 3↑ | 100% (3/3) | 2d 19h | 1h47m / 4d | 67% | $+2.67 | $+8.00 | 3/5 needed | 2026-05-13 10:08 |
|
KXPRESNOMR-28-TCAR
Will Tucker Carlson win the 2028 Republican presidential nom resolves 2028-11-07 |
1 | 0↑ 1✕ | 0% (0/1) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 1/5 needed | 2026-06-02 07:51 |
|
KXTOPMONTHLY-26AUG-JUS
Will Justin Bieber have the greatest number of monthly Spoti |
2 | 0↑ 2✕ | 0% (0/2) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 2/5 needed | 2026-05-31 06:53 |
|
SENATETX-26-R
Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
1 | 0↑ 1✕ | 0% (0/1) | — | — | — | — | $+0.00 | 1/5 needed | 2026-05-31 05:12 |