Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-19 11:11 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.410 | 0.630 | -0.220 | $8 | 1059m |
| 2026-06-19 11:08 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.400 | 0.630 | -0.230 | $102 | 1059m |
| 2026-06-19 11:02 | 0x7e35a2a8… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.600 | 0.630 | -0.030 | $121 | 1m |
| 2026-06-19 11:02 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.400 | 0.630 | -0.230 | $45 | 1085m |
| 2026-06-19 11:01 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.390 | 0.630 | -0.240 | $11 | 1580m |
| 2026-06-19 10:56 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.410 | 0.630 | -0.220 | $82 | 1085m |
| 2026-06-19 10:50 | 0x0a6d26d3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.640 | -0.220 | $9 | 1095m |
| 2026-06-19 10:46 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.640 | -0.270 | $18 | 1590m |
| 2026-06-19 10:44 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.640 | -0.270 | $6 | 1590m |
| 2026-06-19 10:44 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.640 | -0.270 | $3 | 1590m |
| 2026-06-19 10:43 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.640 | -0.270 | $3 | 1590m |
| 2026-06-19 10:43 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.640 | -0.270 | $5 | 1590m |
| 2026-06-19 10:42 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $71 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:42 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $5 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:42 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $4 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:40 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $100 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:40 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $100 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:39 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $22 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:39 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.660 | -0.300 | $225 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:39 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $26 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:39 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.670 | -0.300 | $26 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:39 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.670 | -0.310 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:39 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.670 | -0.300 | $9 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:38 | 0x014c4e7a… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.660 | -0.300 | $76 | 1599m |
| 2026-06-19 10:38 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.670 | -0.300 | $4 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:38 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.670 | -0.300 | $8 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:37 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.670 | -0.300 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:37 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.670 | -0.300 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:35 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.340 | 0.670 | -0.330 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:35 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.350 | 0.670 | -0.320 | $70 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:32 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.660 | 0.700 | -0.040 | $2310 | 1m |
| 2026-06-19 10:32 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.690 | -0.320 | $200 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:32 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.690 | -0.320 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:32 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.690 | -0.320 | $4 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:31 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.690 | -0.320 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:31 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.690 | -0.320 | $25 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:29 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.690 | -0.330 | $0 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:29 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.690 | -0.330 | $0 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:29 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.690 | -0.330 | $0 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:27 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.680 | -0.320 | $8 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:27 | 0x5cd5c8d7… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.690 | -0.330 | $316 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:24 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.350 | 0.690 | -0.340 | $0 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:24 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.350 | 0.690 | -0.340 | $0 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:24 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.350 | 0.690 | -0.340 | $0 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:24 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.350 | 0.690 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:24 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.350 | 0.690 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-19 10:23 | 0xe39783f9… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.690 | -0.320 | $218 | 1619m |
| 2026-06-19 10:22 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.340 | 0.670 | -0.330 | $41 | 1629m |
| 2026-06-19 10:22 | 0x9495d622… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.340 | 0.680 | -0.340 | $185 | 1629m |
| 2026-06-19 10:22 | 0x9495d622… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 Starmer out by June 30, 2026? |
SELL | 0.340 | 0.680 | -0.340 | $3 | 1629m |