Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-08 08:20 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $2 | 2199m |
| 2026-06-08 08:18 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $1 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:18 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:15 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:15 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:14 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $1 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:14 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:14 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:14 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 08:13 | 0xc03ce4d8… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.055 | -0.030 | $0 | 2207m |
| 2026-06-08 05:19 | 0x6a8328b1… | L1 |
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
SELL | 0.120 | 0.150 | -0.030 | $132 | 1m |
| 2026-06-08 03:58 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $116 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:39 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $48 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:20 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:19 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:18 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:17 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:16 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:15 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:13 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 03:13 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-08 01:37 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.910 | +0.042 | $47 | 2271m |
| 2026-06-08 00:35 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.026 | 0.056 | -0.030 | $1 | 1935m |
| 2026-06-08 00:13 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.026 | 0.056 | -0.030 | $1 | 1958m |
| 2026-06-07 23:35 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.026 | 0.056 | -0.030 | $1 | 1998m |
| 2026-06-07 22:57 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-DJTJR
will-donald-trump-jr-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.026 | 0.056 | -0.030 | $0 | 2040m |
| 2026-06-07 17:03 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.100 | 0.139 | -0.039 | $47 | 1436m |
| 2026-06-07 17:01 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.100 | 0.139 | -0.039 | $3 | 1436m |
| 2026-06-07 16:41 | 0x7bbf09fc… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.100 | 0.139 | -0.039 | $5 | 1467m |
| 2026-06-07 16:41 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.100 | 0.139 | -0.039 | $50 | 1467m |
| 2026-06-07 15:29 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.139 | -0.049 | $4 | — |
| 2026-06-06 18:59 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.140 | -0.050 | $399 | — |
| 2026-06-06 18:20 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.160 | -0.070 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 18:20 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.160 | -0.070 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 17:51 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.170 | -0.080 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-06 17:43 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.172 | -0.082 | $35 | — |
| 2026-06-06 16:49 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.176 | -0.086 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-06 16:42 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.176 | -0.086 | $4 | — |
| 2026-06-06 16:13 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.176 | -0.086 | $4 | — |
| 2026-06-06 15:41 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.174 | -0.084 | $6 | — |
| 2026-06-06 14:49 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.176 | -0.086 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:47 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $9 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:42 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $6 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:42 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.173 | -0.083 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:35 | 0x7bbf09fc… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.175 | -0.085 | $9 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:35 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.175 | -0.085 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:35 | 0x21064fd3… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.175 | -0.085 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:15 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.174 | -0.084 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-06 13:06 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.176 | -0.086 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-06 12:52 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $9 | — |