Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-06 01:05 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:55 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:55 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:45 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:45 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:35 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:15 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:05 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:05 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-06 00:00 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $88 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:55 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:26 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $13 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:23 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.070 | 0.158 | -0.088 | $21 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $14 | — |
| 2026-06-05 23:06 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1980 | — |
| 2026-06-05 22:52 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $6 | — |
| 2026-06-05 22:50 | 0x6560abb7… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.916 | 0.880 | +0.036 | $189 | 1438m |
| 2026-06-05 22:07 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.260 | +0.390 | $436 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:56 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.260 | +0.390 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:36 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $12 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:35 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:27 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:15 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:11 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXIRANEMBASSY-27
will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026 |
BUY | 0.130 | 0.070 | +0.060 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-05 21:04 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.250 | +0.400 | $39 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:45 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.260 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:45 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.260 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:35 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:35 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:33 | 0xc7d02944… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.917 | 0.880 | +0.037 | $49 | 1575m |
| 2026-06-05 20:33 | 0x6560abb7… | L1 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.916 | 0.880 | +0.036 | $127 | 1575m |
| 2026-06-05 20:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:15 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 20:05 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:55 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:46 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.280 | +0.370 | $6 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:45 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:45 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:35 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:34 | 0x70d94a4f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.110 | 0.173 | -0.063 | $5 | 1405m |
| 2026-06-05 19:25 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-05 19:15 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $1 | — |