Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-04 23:36 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 23:26 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.270 | +0.080 | $1050 | — |
| 2026-06-04 23:26 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $975 | — |
| 2026-06-04 23:26 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
BUY | 0.730 | 0.650 | +0.080 | $2190 | — |
| 2026-06-04 23:16 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 23:03 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 21:51 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 21:40 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $114 | — |
| 2026-06-04 21:14 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 20:38 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 20:30 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.280 | +0.370 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 20:29 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.280 | +0.370 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 20:22 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 20:00 | 0x7bb244d0… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.270 | +0.380 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:50 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $408 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:49 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.270 | +0.390 | $660 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:22 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $245 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:22 | 0xc84f7e76… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.280 | +0.060 | $3778 | — |
| 2026-06-04 19:22 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.280 | +0.380 | $3300 | — |
| 2026-06-04 16:07 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.270 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:58 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.290 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:57 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.290 | +0.380 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:47 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.300 | +0.370 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:37 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.310 | +0.360 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:31 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
BUY | 0.740 | 0.650 | +0.090 | $740 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:30 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.310 | +0.350 | $183 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:28 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.310 | +0.360 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:28 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.320 | +0.340 | $277 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:22 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.660 | 0.320 | +0.340 | $58 | — |
| 2026-06-04 14:17 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.670 | 0.310 | +0.360 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-03 17:49 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.240 | +0.090 | $7 | 1226m |
| 2026-06-03 17:24 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.250 | +0.080 | $8 | 1250m |
| 2026-06-03 17:24 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.250 | +0.080 | $493 | 1250m |
| 2026-06-03 17:19 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.250 | +0.080 | $2 | 1258m |
| 2026-06-03 17:12 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.250 | +0.400 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-03 17:07 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.650 | 0.250 | +0.400 | $910 | — |
| 2026-06-03 16:57 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXIRANEMBASSY-27
will-the-us-reopen-its-embassy-in-iran-in-2026 |
BUY | 0.130 | 0.070 | +0.060 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-03 16:54 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1283m |
| 2026-06-03 16:53 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1283m |
| 2026-06-03 16:52 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1283m |
| 2026-06-03 16:51 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1283m |
| 2026-06-03 16:51 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1283m |
| 2026-06-03 16:50 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1283m |
| 2026-06-03 16:49 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1291m |
| 2026-06-03 16:48 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1291m |
| 2026-06-03 16:47 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1291m |
| 2026-06-03 16:47 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1291m |
| 2026-06-03 16:46 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.260 | +0.070 | $2 | 1291m |