Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 10:43 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.380 | +0.230 | $41 | 2843m |
| 2026-06-01 10:43 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.380 | +0.230 | $80 | 2843m |
| 2026-06-01 10:41 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.987 | 0.870 | +0.117 | $4935 | 22m |
| 2026-06-01 10:40 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.987 | 0.870 | +0.117 | $1354 | 22m |
| 2026-06-01 10:40 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.987 | 0.870 | +0.117 | $1332 | 32m |
| 2026-06-01 10:39 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.870 | +0.115 | $1211 | 32m |
| 2026-06-01 10:36 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.380 | +0.230 | $391 | 2854m |
| 2026-06-01 10:35 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.380 | +0.230 | $122 | 2854m |
| 2026-06-01 10:18 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.870 | +0.115 | $84 | 1m |
| 2026-06-01 10:18 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.360 | +0.250 | $13 | — |
| 2026-06-01 10:17 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.870 | +0.115 | $2447 | 1m |
| 2026-06-01 10:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.360 | +0.250 | $16 | — |
| 2026-06-01 10:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.360 | +0.250 | $16 | — |
| 2026-06-01 10:12 | 0x5874f18a… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.230 | +0.190 | $79 | 1629m |
| 2026-06-01 10:11 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.870 | +0.115 | $577 | 1m |
| 2026-06-01 10:10 | 0x93511d72… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.870 | +0.115 | $21 | 1m |
| 2026-06-01 10:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.350 | +0.260 | $31 | — |
| 2026-06-01 10:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.350 | +0.260 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-01 10:03 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.430 | 0.230 | +0.200 | $49 | 1640m |
| 2026-06-01 09:19 | 0x75d389a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.350 | +0.280 | $5000 | — |
| 2026-06-01 09:12 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-01 09:08 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $30 | — |
| 2026-06-01 09:03 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.190 | -0.040 | $26 | 324m |
| 2026-06-01 09:01 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.190 | -0.040 | $4 | 335m |
| 2026-06-01 08:34 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:33 | 0xa6b7ebd5… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.144 | 0.190 | -0.046 | $84 | 1m |
| 2026-06-01 08:31 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.230 | +0.330 | $19 | 1729m |
| 2026-06-01 08:30 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:30 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:29 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:29 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.230 | +0.190 | $74 | 1729m |
| 2026-06-01 08:27 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.250 | +0.170 | $14 | 1739m |
| 2026-06-01 08:22 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.250 | +0.170 | $9 | 1739m |
| 2026-06-01 08:20 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.250 | +0.170 | $8 | 1739m |
| 2026-06-01 08:20 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.250 | +0.170 | $8 | 1739m |
| 2026-06-01 08:17 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:13 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:11 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $12 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:09 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $46 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:08 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $16 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:06 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-01 08:03 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $16 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:58 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $1240 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:58 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $124 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:57 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $3100 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:55 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $124 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:54 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $235 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:48 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.250 | +0.330 | $4 | 1774m |
| 2026-06-01 07:44 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.180 | -0.030 | $26 | 405m |
| 2026-06-01 07:43 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.250 | +0.330 | $3 | 1774m |