Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 07:43 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.340 | +0.280 | $523 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:43 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.250 | +0.330 | $25 | 1774m |
| 2026-06-01 07:36 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.240 | +0.350 | $29 | 1785m |
| 2026-06-01 07:31 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.360 | +0.260 | $6 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:28 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.230 | +0.360 | $12 | 1796m |
| 2026-06-01 07:27 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.230 | +0.360 | $126 | 1796m |
| 2026-06-01 07:27 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.230 | +0.180 | $82 | 1796m |
| 2026-06-01 07:27 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.230 | +0.350 | $29 | 1796m |
| 2026-06-01 07:25 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay Will GameStop acquire eBay? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.180 | -0.030 | $4 | 427m |
| 2026-06-01 07:21 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.380 | 0.340 | +0.040 | $2 | 67m |
| 2026-06-01 07:21 | 0x75d389a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.626 | 0.340 | +0.286 | $5000 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:21 | 0x75d389a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.340 | +0.270 | $248 | — |
| 2026-06-01 07:20 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.240 | +0.320 | $17 | 1806m |
| 2026-06-01 06:54 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.400 | +0.210 | $214 | 2011m |
| 2026-06-01 06:50 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.400 | +0.200 | $498 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:49 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.400 | +0.190 | $0 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:49 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.400 | +0.190 | $0 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:49 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.400 | +0.190 | $0 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:49 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.400 | +0.200 | $491 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:48 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.400 | +0.190 | $565 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:48 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.400 | +0.190 | $1293 | 2021m |
| 2026-06-01 06:42 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.400 | +0.150 | $1766 | 2030m |
| 2026-06-01 06:42 | 0x4e420310… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.400 | +0.140 | $222 | 2030m |
| 2026-06-01 06:42 | 0xc7d02944… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.400 | +0.160 | $360 | 2030m |
| 2026-06-01 06:30 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.410 | +0.150 | $2 | 2040m |
| 2026-06-01 06:30 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.440 | 0.400 | +0.040 | $2 | 2030m |
| 2026-06-01 06:15 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.410 | +0.050 | $1 | 2051m |
| 2026-06-01 05:56 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.420 | +0.100 | $10 | 1606m |
| 2026-06-01 05:48 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.420 | +0.100 | $5 | 1616m |
| 2026-06-01 05:45 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.420 | +0.050 | $7 | 1616m |
| 2026-06-01 05:44 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.420 | +0.110 | $0 | 1616m |
| 2026-06-01 05:44 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.420 | +0.100 | $90 | 1625m |
| 2026-06-01 05:38 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.420 | +0.090 | $590 | 1625m |
| 2026-06-01 05:08 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.320 | +0.160 | $20 | 136m |
| 2026-06-01 04:47 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.310 | +0.170 | $124 | 1962m |
| 2026-06-01 04:19 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-01 03:30 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-GN
will-gavin-newsom-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-568 Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
BUY | 0.263 | 0.230 | +0.033 | $76 | — |
| 2026-06-01 03:29 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.300 | +0.210 | $17 | 2035m |
| 2026-06-01 03:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $10 | 2230m |
| 2026-06-01 03:14 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $43 | 2230m |
| 2026-06-01 02:55 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $33 | 2249m |
| 2026-06-01 02:54 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $1 | 2249m |
| 2026-06-01 02:52 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $1 | 2259m |
| 2026-06-01 02:49 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $11 | 2259m |
| 2026-06-01 02:47 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $2 | 2259m |
| 2026-06-01 02:45 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $2 | 2259m |
| 2026-06-01 02:30 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.300 | +0.220 | $49 | 2096m |
| 2026-06-01 01:59 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.300 | +0.230 | $10 | 2125m |
| 2026-06-01 01:44 | 0xcfce2a14… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.410 | +0.060 | $197 | 2328m |
| 2026-06-01 01:31 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.300 | +0.220 | $26 | 2151m |