Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-01 01:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.410 | +0.100 | $80 | 2356m |
| 2026-06-01 01:16 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $29 | 2356m |
| 2026-06-01 01:16 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $2 | 2356m |
| 2026-06-01 01:14 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.410 | +0.100 | $236 | 2356m |
| 2026-06-01 01:11 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.410 | +0.100 | $2 | 2364m |
| 2026-06-01 01:05 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.410 | +0.100 | $10 | 2364m |
| 2026-06-01 01:04 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.300 | +0.210 | $6 | 2179m |
| 2026-06-01 00:46 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.300 | +0.200 | $25 | 2203m |
| 2026-05-31 23:43 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.300 | +0.160 | $8 | 2262m |
| 2026-05-31 21:32 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.300 | +0.220 | $260 | 2397m |
| 2026-05-31 21:10 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $1 | 2412m |
| 2026-05-31 20:54 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $1 | 2429m |
| 2026-05-31 20:50 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $1 | 2439m |
| 2026-05-31 20:37 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $2 | 2446m |
| 2026-05-31 20:34 | 0x2117ae94… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.140 | 0.180 | -0.040 | $229 | 1m |
| 2026-05-31 20:26 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $1 | 2464m |
| 2026-05-31 20:22 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $7 | 2464m |
| 2026-05-31 20:20 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $8 | 2649m |
| 2026-05-31 20:14 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $22 | 2657m |
| 2026-05-31 20:13 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $3 | 2657m |
| 2026-05-31 20:09 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $2 | 2480m |
| 2026-05-31 20:00 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $2 | 2674m |
| 2026-05-31 19:48 | 0xcca90a5d… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $1 | 2496m |
| 2026-05-31 19:36 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $3 | 2698m |
| 2026-05-31 19:34 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.410 | +0.110 | $8 | 2698m |
| 2026-05-31 18:21 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.310 | +0.150 | $138 | 2587m |
| 2026-05-31 17:31 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.410 | +0.090 | $10 | 2816m |
| 2026-05-31 17:29 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.410 | +0.090 | $9 | 2825m |
| 2026-05-31 17:13 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.410 | +0.090 | $6 | 2835m |
| 2026-05-31 17:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.410 | +0.090 | $5 | 2843m |
| 2026-05-31 16:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.400 | +0.100 | $3 | 2852m |
| 2026-05-31 16:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.400 | +0.100 | $8 | 2852m |
| 2026-05-31 16:56 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.400 | +0.100 | $481 | 2852m |
| 2026-05-31 16:55 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.400 | +0.100 | $10 | 2852m |
| 2026-05-31 16:40 | 0x8e4f8d29… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.440 | 0.290 | +0.150 | $2 | 2686m |
| 2026-05-31 16:40 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $31 | 2872m |
| 2026-05-31 16:35 | 0x5874f18a… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.290 | +0.260 | $145 | 2686m |
| 2026-05-31 16:35 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.280 | +0.250 | $106 | 2695m |
| 2026-05-31 16:35 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.280 | +0.200 | $22 | 2695m |
| 2026-05-31 16:35 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.280 | +0.240 | $662 | 2695m |
| 2026-05-31 16:28 | 0xa3ee2ddf… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.750 | 0.560 | +0.190 | $300 | 2676m |
| 2026-05-31 16:26 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.280 | +0.210 | $59 | 2704m |
| 2026-05-31 16:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $1003 | — |
| 2026-05-31 15:43 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-31 15:31 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-31 15:14 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.750 | 0.550 | +0.200 | $105 | 2765m |
| 2026-05-31 15:14 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.290 | +0.230 | $218 | 2765m |
| 2026-05-31 15:14 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.740 | 0.550 | +0.190 | $161 | 2765m |
| 2026-05-31 14:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.400 | +0.100 | $47 | — |
| 2026-05-31 14:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.400 | +0.100 | $39 | — |