Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 08:07 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.390 | +0.100 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.390 | +0.100 | $274 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:06 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.390 | +0.110 | $898 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:05 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
BUY | 0.471 | 0.240 | +0.231 | $635 | 210m |
| 2026-05-31 08:05 | 0xc7d02944… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
BUY | 0.501 | 0.240 | +0.261 | $1503 | 210m |
| 2026-05-31 08:05 | 0xd6ddc655… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
SELL | 0.170 | 0.240 | -0.070 | $51 | 9m |
| 2026-05-31 08:04 | 0xca972cdf… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
SELL | 0.050 | 0.080 | -0.030 | $4 | 1m |
| 2026-05-31 08:03 | 0xca972cdf… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
SELL | 0.050 | 0.080 | -0.030 | $6 | 1m |
| 2026-05-31 08:03 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.390 | +0.100 | $36 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:03 | 0x4d6b74a2… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
SELL | 0.050 | 0.080 | -0.030 | $0 | 1m |
| 2026-05-31 08:03 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.390 | +0.110 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:03 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.491 | 0.390 | +0.101 | $15 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:03 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.450 | 0.080 | +0.370 | $300 | — |
| 2026-05-31 08:00 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
SELL | 0.050 | 0.080 | -0.030 | $0 | 1m |
| 2026-05-31 07:52 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.390 | +0.150 | $258 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:51 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.390 | +0.140 | $277 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:35 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.088 | 0.120 | -0.032 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:23 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.088 | 0.120 | -0.032 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:20 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.310 | +0.210 | $31 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:13 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.390 | +0.120 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:11 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.310 | +0.220 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:11 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.570 | -0.270 | $13 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:07 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.570 | +0.120 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:06 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.310 | +0.210 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 07:06 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.088 | 0.120 | -0.032 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:53 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXTOPMONTHLY-26AUG-JUS
will-justin-bieber-have-the-greatest-number-of-monthly-spotify-listeners-this-month-952 |
BUY | 0.123 | 0.070 | +0.053 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:44 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.390 | +0.100 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:44 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.390 | +0.110 | $30 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:36 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.570 | +0.120 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:33 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.310 | +0.210 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:28 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.088 | 0.120 | -0.032 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:21 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.088 | 0.120 | -0.032 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:19 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-AOC
will-alexandria-ocasio-cortez-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-653 Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.088 | 0.120 | -0.032 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:10 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.390 | +0.100 | $214 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:10 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.390 | +0.120 | $510 | — |
| 2026-05-31 06:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $1040 | — |
| 2026-05-31 05:39 | 0x46992d0e… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.990 | 0.810 | +0.180 | $52 | 915m |
| 2026-05-31 05:27 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.290 | +0.230 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-31 05:14 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.290 | +0.230 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-31 05:12 | 0x8db4f2bc… | L1 |
SENATETX-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-texas-senate-race-in-2026 Will the Republicans win the Texas Senate race in 2026? |
0.500 | 0.600 | -0.100 | $200 | — | |
| 2026-05-31 04:24 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.310 | 0.570 | -0.260 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-31 04:24 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.310 | 0.570 | -0.260 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-31 04:24 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.310 | 0.570 | -0.260 | $69 | — |
| 2026-05-31 04:19 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.984 | 0.810 | +0.174 | $2 | 994m |
| 2026-05-31 04:18 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.984 | 0.810 | +0.174 | $20 | 1003m |
| 2026-05-31 03:53 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXTOPMONTHLY-26AUG-JUS
will-justin-bieber-have-the-greatest-number-of-monthly-spotify-listeners-this-month-952 |
BUY | 0.139 | 0.070 | +0.069 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-31 03:45 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.290 | +0.230 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 03:42 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.984 | 0.810 | +0.174 | $152 | 1034m |
| 2026-05-31 01:22 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $161 | — |
| 2026-05-31 01:22 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.390 | +0.090 | $950 | — |