Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-31 04:18 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.984 | 0.810 | +0.174 | $20 | 1003m |
| 2026-05-31 03:53 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXTOPMONTHLY-26AUG-JUS
will-justin-bieber-have-the-greatest-number-of-monthly-spotify-listeners-this-month-952 |
BUY | 0.139 | 0.070 | +0.069 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-31 03:45 | 0x5e73afb2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.290 | +0.230 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 03:42 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.984 | 0.810 | +0.174 | $152 | 1034m |
| 2026-05-31 01:22 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $161 | — |
| 2026-05-31 01:22 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.390 | +0.090 | $950 | — |
| 2026-05-31 01:22 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $242 | — |
| 2026-05-31 01:13 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:46 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.290 | +0.180 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:46 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.390 | +0.150 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:37 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $21 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:26 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.290 | +0.180 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:26 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.390 | +0.140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:07 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.290 | +0.170 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:07 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.390 | +0.140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-31 00:00 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:59 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:56 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.390 | +0.070 | $43 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:56 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:50 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:47 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $40 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:26 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.290 | +0.170 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:26 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.390 | +0.140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:26 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.290 | +0.170 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:26 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.390 | +0.140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:08 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.390 | +0.070 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:06 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.450 | 0.290 | +0.160 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:06 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.390 | +0.070 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:06 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.390 | +0.150 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 23:06 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.390 | +0.070 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:59 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.390 | +0.070 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:58 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.390 | +0.130 | $30 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:22 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:21 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:16 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $166 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:16 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:16 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $3588 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:06 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:04 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:04 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $542 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:03 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.620 | -0.260 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:03 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.620 | -0.240 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:02 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.620 | -0.240 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-30 22:02 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.620 | -0.260 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:56 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:56 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.400 | +0.140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:48 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:40 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.590 | -0.230 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:40 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:37 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $3 | — |