Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 18:59 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $36 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:55 | 0x7c3db723… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.290 | 0.560 | -0.270 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:50 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:44 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.730 | -0.360 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:44 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.730 | -0.350 | $33 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:44 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.730 | -0.360 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:44 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.730 | -0.350 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:12 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.560 | -0.290 | $41 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:04 | 0x06cb7353… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.560 | -0.290 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 18:03 | 0x7c3db723… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.290 | 0.560 | -0.270 | $22 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:57 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:46 | 0x515e2144… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $3095 | 1633m |
| 2026-05-30 17:40 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:37 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $64 | 1641m |
| 2026-05-30 17:33 | 0x06cb7353… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.550 | -0.280 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:33 | 0x7c3db723… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.290 | 0.550 | -0.260 | $139 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:31 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $23 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:27 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $629 | 1649m |
| 2026-05-30 17:11 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.400 | +0.130 | $530 | — |
| 2026-05-30 17:04 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.410 | +0.120 | $1060 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:58 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.410 | +0.100 | $12 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:57 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $21 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:56 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $31 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:52 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $520 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:48 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $13 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:48 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $1 | 1692m |
| 2026-05-30 16:45 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.400 | +0.090 | $519 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:45 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $541 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:45 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:45 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.400 | +0.090 | $980 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:45 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $1020 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:42 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.580 | -0.200 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:42 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.590 | -0.220 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:41 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.600 | -0.230 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:41 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:40 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:40 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.600 | -0.230 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:31 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:26 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.610 | -0.240 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:26 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.610 | -0.230 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:21 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.600 | -0.220 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:21 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.580 | -0.210 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:16 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:16 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.590 | -0.220 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.590 | -0.220 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.590 | -0.220 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:11 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:07 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $116 | 1732m |
| 2026-05-30 16:03 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $516 | — |