Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 20:32 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $63 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:32 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $77 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:31 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:31 | 0xa3a417e4… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $384 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:31 | 0x7f3ee202… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:31 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $137 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:23 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.230 | -0.080 | $26 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:14 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $85 | — |
| 2026-05-29 20:11 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.640 | 0.770 | -0.130 | $8 | 1m |
| 2026-05-29 19:53 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:39 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:38 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:38 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:38 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:36 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:12 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.500 | -0.080 | $232 | 683m |
| 2026-05-29 19:10 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:02 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-29 19:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.510 | -0.090 | $10 | 699m |
| 2026-05-29 18:56 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:51 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.510 | -0.090 | $217 | 716m |
| 2026-05-29 18:42 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:42 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:40 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:39 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:24 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $26 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:18 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.256 | 0.290 | -0.034 | $525 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:10 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.987 | 0.780 | +0.207 | $556 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:04 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $30 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:01 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:01 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:01 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:01 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:01 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-29 18:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $18 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:59 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $64 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:59 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $29 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:58 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $89 | — |