Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-29 18:00 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $18 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:59 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $64 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:59 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.610 | -0.380 | $29 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:58 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $89 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:58 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $89 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:55 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:54 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:53 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:52 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:52 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:52 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:52 | 0x5e84743a… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $118 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:10 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.340 | 0.650 | -0.310 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:10 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.970 | 0.780 | +0.190 | $194 | — |
| 2026-05-29 17:08 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.210 | 0.610 | -0.400 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-29 15:53 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.400 | 0.530 | -0.130 | $26 | 887m |
| 2026-05-29 15:53 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.530 | +0.070 | $120 | 887m |
| 2026-05-29 15:08 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.530 | +0.080 | $17 | 926m |
| 2026-05-29 15:08 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.390 | 0.530 | -0.140 | $338 | 926m |
| 2026-05-29 15:07 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.400 | 0.530 | -0.130 | $3 | 926m |
| 2026-05-29 14:40 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.920 | 0.790 | +0.130 | $805 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:40 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.930 | 0.790 | +0.140 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:17 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.320 | 0.660 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:17 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.650 | -0.320 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:17 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.320 | 0.660 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:17 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.650 | -0.320 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:16 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.320 | 0.660 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:16 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.650 | -0.320 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:15 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.650 | -0.320 | $15 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:15 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.320 | 0.660 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:15 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.650 | -0.320 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:15 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.650 | -0.320 | $84 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:15 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.320 | 0.660 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:08 | 0x4478d7bd… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
SELL | 0.095 | 0.390 | -0.295 | $193 | 2834m |
| 2026-05-29 13:51 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.320 | 0.660 | -0.340 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-29 13:51 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.330 | 0.660 | -0.330 | $17 | — |
| 2026-05-29 13:17 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.550 | -0.130 | $328 | 1044m |
| 2026-05-29 13:17 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.550 | -0.130 | $55 | 1044m |
| 2026-05-29 12:41 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.230 | -0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-29 12:21 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.400 | 0.570 | -0.170 | $200 | 1096m |
| 2026-05-29 11:50 | 0x4478d7bd… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
SELL | 0.143 | 0.430 | -0.287 | $117 | 2662m |
| 2026-05-29 11:49 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.390 | 0.580 | -0.190 | $195 | 1132m |
| 2026-05-29 11:41 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
BUY | 0.830 | 0.430 | +0.400 | $10 | 603m |