Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 22:11 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.270 | +0.300 | $58 | — |
| 2026-05-28 22:05 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.530 | -0.110 | $279 | 92m |
| 2026-05-28 22:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.530 | -0.110 | $84 | 92m |
| 2026-05-28 21:42 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:41 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.270 | +0.300 | $100 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:14 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.270 | +0.140 | $410 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:10 | 0xd6d3ac4e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.270 | +0.150 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:10 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.270 | +0.140 | $41 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:08 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026 |
SELL | 0.065 | 0.100 | -0.035 | $0 | 1m |
| 2026-05-28 21:08 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.270 | +0.310 | $290 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:08 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.270 | +0.150 | $630 | — |
| 2026-05-28 21:03 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026 |
SELL | 0.065 | 0.100 | -0.035 | $0 | 1m |
| 2026-05-28 21:02 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.270 | +0.140 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-28 20:53 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 20:53 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.300 | +0.120 | $210 | 2106m |
| 2026-05-28 20:52 | 0x993c0725… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.300 | +0.120 | $420 | 2106m |
| 2026-05-28 20:42 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $2 | 2113m |
| 2026-05-28 20:36 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $23 | 2113m |
| 2026-05-28 20:36 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $8 | 2113m |
| 2026-05-28 20:35 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $2 | 2113m |
| 2026-05-28 20:22 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $2 | 2136m |
| 2026-05-28 20:13 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 19:47 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 19:47 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $13 | — |
| 2026-05-28 19:44 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $1 | 2174m |
| 2026-05-28 19:21 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $1 | 2196m |
| 2026-05-28 19:17 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $1 | 2203m |
| 2026-05-28 19:16 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $4 | 2203m |
| 2026-05-28 19:08 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $1 | 2203m |
| 2026-05-28 18:53 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 18:48 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $4 | 2233m |
| 2026-05-28 18:47 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $2 | 2233m |
| 2026-05-28 18:41 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 18:15 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 17:49 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.300 | +0.110 | $273 | 2286m |
| 2026-05-28 17:48 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.300 | +0.120 | $210 | 2286m |
| 2026-05-28 17:44 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.430 | 0.300 | +0.130 | $142 | 2294m |
| 2026-05-28 17:41 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.056 | -0.033 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 17:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.300 | +0.250 | $1 | 2323m |
| 2026-05-28 17:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.300 | +0.250 | $3 | 2323m |
| 2026-05-28 16:19 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 16:15 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.300 | +0.250 | $3 | 2385m |
| 2026-05-28 16:15 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.300 | +0.250 | $268 | 2385m |
| 2026-05-28 16:10 | 0xbd14da50… | L1 |
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
SELL | 0.150 | 0.240 | -0.090 | $214 | — |
| 2026-05-28 15:53 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 15:50 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 15:11 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 14:46 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.430 | 0.300 | +0.130 | $442 | 2471m |
| 2026-05-28 14:24 | 0xd8d5289c… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.440 | 0.290 | +0.150 | $81 | 2593m |
| 2026-05-28 14:24 | 0xd8d5289c… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.440 | 0.290 | +0.150 | $15 | 2593m |