Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 12:48 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.250 | +0.280 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:48 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.250 | +0.280 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:48 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.250 | +0.280 | $1576 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:37 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.543 | 0.250 | +0.293 | $1526 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:37 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.250 | +0.210 | $110 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:15 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.517 | 0.240 | +0.277 | $989 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:13 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.503 | 0.240 | +0.263 | $1467 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:13 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.240 | +0.260 | $187 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:12 | 0xd6d3ac4e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.240 | +0.230 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:09 | 0xd6d3ac4e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.240 | +0.230 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:07 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.240 | +0.220 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:06 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.240 | +0.220 | $138 | — |
| 2026-05-28 12:04 | 0xd6d3ac4e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.240 | +0.230 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:44 | 0xd6d3ac4e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.240 | +0.230 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:44 | 0x614dc8d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.240 | +0.230 | $33 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:44 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.240 | +0.300 | $1227 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:33 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:28 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:21 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.770 | 0.640 | +0.130 | $46 | — |
| 2026-05-28 11:13 | 0xa6b7ebd5… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.390 | 0.220 | +0.170 | $390 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:17 | 0x559ba14b… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.420 | 0.240 | +0.180 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:17 | 0x08458f7e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.240 | +0.170 | $424 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:17 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.240 | +0.350 | $590 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:13 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.240 | +0.360 | $93 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:11 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.240 | +0.370 | $34 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:09 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.240 | +0.370 | $213 | — |
| 2026-05-28 10:06 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.240 | +0.370 | $1363 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:51 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.240 | +0.400 | $68 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:46 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.759 | 0.630 | +0.129 | $983 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:46 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.240 | +0.390 | $372 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:44 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.240 | +0.390 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:44 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.240 | +0.390 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:44 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.240 | +0.390 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:43 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.240 | +0.390 | $249 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:38 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:37 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.240 | +0.400 | $640 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:34 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.220 | +0.130 | $74 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:34 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.240 | +0.110 | $78 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:34 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.220 | +0.140 | $545 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:14 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.290 | -0.035 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:10 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.220 | +0.380 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-28 09:06 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 08:50 | 0x97bf053b… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.550 | -0.120 | $7 | 902m |
| 2026-05-28 08:42 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 08:35 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 08:31 | 0xc0402e52… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.120 | -0.030 | $673 | 1m |
| 2026-05-28 08:31 | 0xc0402e52… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.120 | -0.030 | $1574 | 1m |
| 2026-05-28 08:25 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.210 | +0.400 | $134 | — |
| 2026-05-28 08:25 | 0x08458f7e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.210 | +0.150 | $904 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:35 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.390 | 0.600 | -0.210 | $377 | 970m |