Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 07:29 | 0x870535b3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUN
will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31 |
SELL | 0.025 | 0.057 | -0.032 | $12 | 1748m |
| 2026-05-28 07:29 | 0x870535b3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUN
will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31 |
SELL | 0.020 | 0.057 | -0.037 | $1 | 1721m |
| 2026-05-28 07:29 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:29 | 0x870535b3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUN
will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31 |
SELL | 0.020 | 0.057 | -0.037 | $1 | 1721m |
| 2026-05-28 07:29 | 0x870535b3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUN
will-trump-agree-to-iranian-enrichment-of-uranium-by-may-31 |
SELL | 0.020 | 0.057 | -0.037 | $1 | 1721m |
| 2026-05-28 07:21 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.180 | +0.360 | $1246 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:21 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.459 | 0.180 | +0.279 | $1204 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:20 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.750 | 0.620 | +0.130 | $803 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:19 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:18 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:16 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.290 | -0.035 | $593 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:14 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.180 | +0.360 | $193 | — |
| 2026-05-28 06:56 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 06:39 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 06:39 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.290 | -0.035 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 06:34 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $24 | — |
| 2026-05-28 06:30 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.290 | -0.035 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-28 06:22 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.440 | 0.520 | -0.080 | $880 | 1051m |
| 2026-05-28 06:01 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:56 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.290 | -0.035 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:48 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:43 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:38 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:21 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.300 | -0.045 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:16 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.255 | 0.300 | -0.045 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-28 05:06 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-28 04:26 | 0x7bbf09fc… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $25 | — |
| 2026-05-28 04:26 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $179 | — |
| 2026-05-28 04:21 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.054 | -0.031 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 03:41 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-28 03:23 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 03:18 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:58 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:56 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $137 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:55 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:47 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $152 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:46 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:43 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:38 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:22 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.620 | -0.320 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:05 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 02:05 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 01:54 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 01:53 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.620 | -0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 01:23 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 01:22 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 01:19 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $22 | 1347m |
| 2026-05-28 01:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1355m |
| 2026-05-28 00:54 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:45 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |