Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-28 00:41 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:38 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:37 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:35 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:24 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1403m |
| 2026-05-28 00:21 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $1 | 1411m |
| 2026-05-28 00:21 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1411m |
| 2026-05-28 00:20 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $179 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:18 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1411m |
| 2026-05-28 00:17 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $10 | 1411m |
| 2026-05-28 00:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $1 | 1419m |
| 2026-05-28 00:05 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1419m |
| 2026-05-28 00:04 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $0 | 1419m |
| 2026-05-28 00:03 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.380 | 0.210 | +0.170 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-28 00:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $3 | 1419m |
| 2026-05-28 00:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $8 | 1419m |
| 2026-05-27 23:58 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.210 | +0.150 | $316 | — |
| 2026-05-27 23:55 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.022 | 0.057 | -0.035 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 23:45 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $1 | 1443m |
| 2026-05-27 23:43 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1443m |
| 2026-05-27 23:42 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1443m |
| 2026-05-27 23:37 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $2 | 1452m |
| 2026-05-27 23:37 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 23:34 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $37 | 1452m |
| 2026-05-27 23:33 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 23:33 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 23:28 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.430 | 0.530 | -0.100 | $910 | 1452m |
| 2026-05-27 23:04 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:59 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.620 | -0.320 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:50 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:47 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:43 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:18 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.252 | 0.300 | -0.048 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.620 | -0.320 | $160 | — |
| 2026-05-27 22:14 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.620 | -0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:55 | 0xd426adbc… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.210 | +0.140 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:51 | 0xd426adbc… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.210 | +0.140 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:48 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.630 | -0.330 | $23 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:38 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.150 | 0.110 | +0.040 | $1291 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:30 | 0x93fb8127… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.110 | +0.030 | $41 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:16 | 0x5eda0d6c… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.210 | +0.120 | $182 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:07 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $64 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:05 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:04 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $64 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:04 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:04 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:04 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:04 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $128 | — |
| 2026-05-27 21:04 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.320 | 0.210 | +0.110 | $204 | — |
| 2026-05-27 20:58 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.330 | 0.200 | +0.130 | $462 | — |