Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 20:13 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $294 | 1659m |
| 2026-05-27 20:13 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $20 | 1659m |
| 2026-05-27 20:04 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.250 | +0.380 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 20:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.250 | +0.380 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 20:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.250 | +0.380 | $45 | — |
| 2026-05-27 19:46 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $20 | 1689m |
| 2026-05-27 19:41 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $90 | — |
| 2026-05-27 19:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $1 | 1689m |
| 2026-05-27 19:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $1 | 1689m |
| 2026-05-27 19:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $7 | 1689m |
| 2026-05-27 19:40 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.540 | -0.120 | $41 | 1689m |
| 2026-05-27 19:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.250 | +0.360 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 19:03 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.250 | +0.360 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 18:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.250 | +0.360 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 18:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.250 | +0.360 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 18:57 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.250 | +0.360 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 18:56 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.530 | -0.110 | $315 | 1753m |
| 2026-05-27 18:41 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.420 | 0.530 | -0.110 | $39 | 1747m |
| 2026-05-27 18:19 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.022 | 0.057 | -0.035 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 18:13 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.022 | 0.057 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 18:04 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.250 | +0.370 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:36 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.022 | 0.057 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:27 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.250 | +0.370 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:26 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.250 | +0.370 | $208 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:20 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.250 | +0.380 | $80 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:20 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.250 | +0.380 | $126 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:20 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $29 | 1013m |
| 2026-05-27 17:20 | 0xd426adbc… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.346 | 0.250 | +0.096 | $1561 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:15 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.022 | 0.057 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 17:11 | 0xd3a72382… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.022 | 0.057 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:50 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.620 | -0.350 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:49 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.620 | -0.350 | $17 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:49 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.620 | -0.350 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:48 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $0 | 1051m |
| 2026-05-27 16:40 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:40 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:40 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:26 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $22 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:25 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $27 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $19 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $1 | 1079m |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $233 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $2 | 1079m |
| 2026-05-27 16:10 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |