Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $1 | 1079m |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.260 | +0.380 | $233 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:16 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $2 | 1079m |
| 2026-05-27 16:10 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:09 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:09 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 16:09 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:54 | 0xca972cdf… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.070 | +0.070 | $70 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x06cb7353… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.070 | +0.070 | $5 | 946m |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.630 | 0.270 | +0.360 | $315 | 928m |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.260 | +0.080 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x4d6b74a2… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.070 | +0.070 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x559ba14b… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.070 | +0.070 | $3 | 946m |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.260 | +0.090 | $281 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0xf5b057f8… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.070 | +0.070 | $1 | 946m |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0x7c3db723… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.133 | 0.070 | +0.063 | $1326 | 946m |
| 2026-05-27 15:53 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.260 | +0.090 | $454 | — |
| 2026-05-27 15:46 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.550 | +0.050 | $1 | 954m |
| 2026-05-27 15:32 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.370 | 0.280 | +0.090 | $143 | 827m |
| 2026-05-27 15:30 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 |
BUY | 0.120 | 0.060 | +0.060 | $12 | 956m |
| 2026-05-27 15:27 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.280 | +0.130 | $2 | 827m |
| 2026-05-27 15:05 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.210 | -0.030 | $1 | 1142m |
| 2026-05-27 14:30 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.260 | +0.340 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 14:29 | 0xad529df1… | L1 |
KXGREENTERRITORY-29-27
will-the-us-acquire-any-part-of-greenland-in-2026 Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026? |
BUY | 0.140 | 0.110 | +0.030 | $156 | — |
| 2026-05-27 14:28 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.570 | +0.040 | $1 | 2003m |
| 2026-05-27 14:20 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 14:13 | 0xd426adbc… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.380 | 0.250 | +0.130 | $152 | — |
| 2026-05-27 14:13 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
SELL | 0.160 | 0.220 | -0.060 | $5 | 271m |
| 2026-05-27 14:12 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027 Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
SELL | 0.160 | 0.220 | -0.060 | $5 | 271m |
| 2026-05-27 14:09 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.250 | +0.360 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 13:05 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.620 | -0.350 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-27 13:04 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.240 | +0.350 | $142 | — |
| 2026-05-27 13:01 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.240 | +0.350 | $201 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:58 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.240 | +0.350 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:58 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.240 | +0.350 | $245 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:49 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:38 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.620 | -0.350 | $66 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:27 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.400 | 0.230 | +0.170 | $717 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:27 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.410 | 0.230 | +0.180 | $911 | — |
| 2026-05-27 12:06 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.210 | +0.380 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:59 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.270 | 0.610 | -0.340 | $161 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:59 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.220 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:59 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.740 | 0.610 | +0.130 | $822 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:59 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.740 | 0.610 | +0.130 | $222 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:59 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.260 | 0.610 | -0.350 | $9 | — |