Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 11:49 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.220 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:49 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.390 | 0.220 | +0.170 | $867 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:49 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.220 | +0.370 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:48 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.220 | +0.370 | $295 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:48 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.409 | 0.220 | +0.189 | $417 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:40 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.250 | -0.070 | $0 | 1354m |
| 2026-05-27 11:36 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.250 | -0.070 | $2 | 1354m |
| 2026-05-27 11:29 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.220 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:29 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.220 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:29 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.610 | 0.220 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:22 | 0xa66790e2… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.570 | -0.210 | $12 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:19 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.220 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:09 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.620 | 0.230 | +0.390 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 11:09 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.230 | +0.370 | $300 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:59 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.240 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:59 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.240 | +0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:57 | 0x8f15a54a… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.240 | +0.400 | $300 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:56 | 0xd426adbc… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.240 | +0.110 | $52 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:53 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.240 | +0.100 | $71 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:52 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.240 | +0.110 | $1373 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:51 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.240 | +0.110 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:49 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.240 | +0.110 | $26 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:48 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.240 | +0.110 | $1050 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:46 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.340 | 0.250 | +0.090 | $264 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:46 | 0x93521335… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.350 | 0.250 | +0.100 | $140 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:46 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.240 | +0.120 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:43 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.240 | +0.120 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:43 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.240 | +0.120 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:43 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.240 | +0.120 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:43 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.360 | 0.240 | +0.120 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:42 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.251 | 0.300 | -0.049 | $60 | — |
| 2026-05-27 10:41 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:53 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.260 | 0.630 | -0.370 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:53 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.260 | 0.630 | -0.370 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:42 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.750 | 0.630 | +0.120 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:42 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.250 | 0.630 | -0.380 | $50 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:30 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:27 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $17 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:27 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $12 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:24 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:24 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $17 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:24 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:24 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.240 | 0.640 | -0.400 | $20 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:22 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.770 | 0.640 | +0.130 | $38 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:11 | 0x0a6d26d3… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.200 | +0.270 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:08 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:06 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.770 | 0.640 | +0.130 | $22 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:06 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.770 | 0.640 | +0.130 | $154 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:05 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $95 | — |
| 2026-05-27 09:02 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $2 | — |