Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 09:02 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:49 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:49 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:49 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:42 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:42 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:36 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.200 | 0.250 | -0.050 | $19 | 254m |
| 2026-05-27 08:35 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.190 | 0.250 | -0.060 | $19 | 254m |
| 2026-05-27 08:33 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:33 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:30 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:27 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.200 | +0.310 | $107 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:20 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.200 | +0.310 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:17 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.200 | +0.320 | $115 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:16 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.780 | 0.650 | +0.130 | $45 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:07 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.200 | +0.340 | $108 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:03 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 08:00 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.820 | 0.600 | +0.220 | $177 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:53 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.440 | 0.200 | +0.240 | $44 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:53 | 0x9c976cfe… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.440 | 0.200 | +0.240 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:46 | 0x9c976cfe… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.450 | 0.200 | +0.250 | $43 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:46 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.780 | 0.600 | +0.180 | $95 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:41 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:37 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:35 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.200 | +0.350 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:29 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.200 | +0.350 | $94 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:09 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.780 | 0.600 | +0.180 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:09 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.790 | 0.600 | +0.190 | $144 | — |
| 2026-05-27 07:07 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.566 | 0.200 | +0.366 | $208 | — |
| 2026-05-27 06:55 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.200 | +0.350 | $120 | — |
| 2026-05-27 06:51 | 0xbacd00c9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.556 | 0.200 | +0.356 | $513 | — |
| 2026-05-27 06:44 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 06:36 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.057 | -0.034 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 06:02 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.200 | +0.300 | $50 | — |
| 2026-05-27 06:02 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.200 | +0.310 | $102 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:30 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.248 | 0.290 | -0.042 | $13 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:29 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.200 | +0.330 | $524 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:27 | 0xfc2f4f50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.200 | +0.280 | $629 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:23 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1400 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:22 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.760 | 0.600 | +0.160 | $121 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:21 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:16 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.248 | 0.290 | -0.042 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:11 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 04:50 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $63 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:49 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.247 | 0.290 | -0.043 | $710 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:47 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:32 | 0xa3a417e4… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.246 | 0.290 | -0.044 | $98 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:32 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.246 | 0.290 | -0.044 | $1024 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |