Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 03:06 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:00 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $29 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:54 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:53 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:52 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $42 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:50 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:46 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:41 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:38 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:29 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:28 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:28 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:23 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:21 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:09 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:09 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:32 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.210 | +0.250 | $75 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:30 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.210 | +0.280 | $49 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:28 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $43 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:28 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:17 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.210 | +0.250 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:17 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.210 | +0.250 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:06 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.059 | -0.036 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:05 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $15 | — |
| 2026-05-26 13:54 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.760 | 0.620 | +0.140 | $171 | — |
| 2026-05-26 10:10 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER
will-germany-recognize-palestine-before-2027 Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027? |
SELL | 0.078 | 0.120 | -0.042 | $1 | 1m |
| 2026-05-26 05:53 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.740 | 0.640 | +0.100 | $44 | — |
| 2026-05-25 17:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.343 | 0.640 | -0.297 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-25 12:56 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.342 | 0.654 | -0.312 | $12 | — |
| 2026-05-25 12:48 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.342 | 0.655 | -0.313 | $17 | — |
| 2026-05-25 12:46 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.342 | 0.655 | -0.313 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-25 09:03 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.341 | 0.655 | -0.314 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-25 09:02 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.341 | 0.655 | -0.314 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-25 08:59 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.341 | 0.655 | -0.314 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-25 08:41 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.341 | 0.655 | -0.314 | $0 | — |