Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 10:20 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.950 | 0.880 | +0.070 | $2850 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:19 | 0x95074f70… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? |
BUY | 0.967 | 0.920 | +0.047 | $1064 | 349m |
| 2026-06-17 10:19 | 0x35bbbad2… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? |
BUY | 0.964 | 0.910 | +0.054 | $6519 | 349m |
| 2026-06-17 10:19 | 0xa6b7ebd5… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.890 | 0.730 | +0.160 | $43 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:19 | 0x34379b9a… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.920 | 0.730 | +0.190 | $2760 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0xa6b7ebd5… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.910 | 0.730 | +0.180 | $455 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0xb40e8967… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.890 | 0.780 | +0.110 | $8 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0x9f66aa95… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.940 | 0.800 | +0.140 | $200 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0xb40e8967… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.850 | 0.780 | +0.070 | $32 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0x816820f2… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.880 | 0.760 | +0.120 | $6 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0x816820f2… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.880 | 0.760 | +0.120 | $152 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0x816820f2… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.878 | 0.760 | +0.118 | $282 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:18 | 0xa6b7ebd5… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.880 | 0.730 | +0.150 | $100 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0x7e80049e… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.860 | 0.730 | +0.130 | $43 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xb40e8967… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.860 | 0.780 | +0.080 | $63 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xe2349595… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.899 | 0.760 | +0.139 | $1403 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0x215adbb6… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.390 | 0.570 | -0.180 | $39 | — |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.390 | 0.570 | -0.180 | $17 | — |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xaf15bf51… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.810 | 0.900 | -0.090 | $0 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.830 | 0.880 | -0.050 | $42 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xb37aa883… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.850 | 0.750 | +0.100 | $300 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:16 | 0xe2349595… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.810 | 0.760 | +0.050 | $1501 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:16 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.750 | 0.780 | -0.030 | $150 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:16 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.750 | 0.780 | -0.030 | $755 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:15 | 0xa6b7ebd5… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.650 | 0.730 | -0.080 | $6 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.700 | 0.780 | -0.080 | $846 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.650 | 0.780 | -0.130 | $201 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.650 | 0.780 | -0.130 | $69 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.650 | 0.780 | -0.130 | $1 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x46ebe92a… | L2 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.402 | 0.540 | -0.138 | $1407 | 540m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.650 | 0.780 | -0.130 | $4 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.650 | 0.780 | -0.130 | $11 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:12 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.500 | 0.860 | -0.360 | $317 | 27m |
| 2026-06-17 10:12 | 0x25b23e01… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.210 | 0.259 | -0.049 | $7 | 47m |
| 2026-06-17 10:12 | 0x21ffd2b7… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.210 | 0.259 | -0.049 | $10 | 47m |
| 2026-06-17 10:10 | 0x4a2be7a7… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.590 | 0.750 | -0.160 | $25 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:09 | 0x4a2be7a7… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.590 | 0.750 | -0.160 | $24 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:09 | 0x7e80049e… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.580 | 0.730 | -0.150 | $29 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:09 | 0x4a2be7a7… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.590 | 0.750 | -0.160 | $353 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:09 | 0x215adbb6… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.570 | 0.860 | -0.290 | $28 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:08 | 0x215adbb6… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
SELL | 0.854 | 0.930 | -0.076 | $43 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:08 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
SELL | 0.854 | 0.930 | -0.076 | $43 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:08 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
SELL | 0.859 | 0.930 | -0.071 | $859 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:08 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.440 | 0.860 | -0.420 | $22 | 1112m |
| 2026-06-17 10:07 | 0x4c2da46b… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.450 | 0.860 | -0.410 | $83 | 1112m |
| 2026-06-17 10:07 | 0x7e80049e… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.500 | +0.040 | $27 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:03 | 0xd501dd1c… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.610 | 0.840 | -0.230 | $0 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:02 | 0x215adbb6… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
SELL | 0.836 | 0.930 | -0.094 | $42 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:02 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
SELL | 0.836 | 0.930 | -0.094 | $42 | 2m |
| 2026-06-17 10:00 | 0xd501dd1c… | L1 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
SELL | 0.660 | 0.840 | -0.180 | $0 | 2m |