Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 22:02 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.620 | -0.260 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:56 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:56 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.540 | 0.400 | +0.140 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:48 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:40 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.590 | -0.230 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:40 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:37 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:22 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:04 | 0x40cfb294… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.400 | +0.060 | $153 | — |
| 2026-05-30 21:04 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:59 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $68 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:59 | 0x5eda0d6c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.400 | +0.080 | $62 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:56 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.600 | -0.240 | $16 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:56 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.290 | 0.570 | -0.280 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:56 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.290 | 0.570 | -0.280 | $8 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:56 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.710 | 0.570 | +0.140 | $121 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:55 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:42 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $40 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:42 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $41 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:29 | 0x6f679c4a… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.660 | -0.300 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:26 | 0x6f679c4a… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.590 | -0.230 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:19 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.400 | +0.130 | $666 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:19 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.400 | +0.080 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:14 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:11 | 0x6f679c4a… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.360 | 0.680 | -0.320 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:01 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-30 20:01 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $24 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:57 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $37 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:54 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $52 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:52 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.680 | -0.310 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:52 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.680 | -0.300 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:50 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $282 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:38 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.300 | 0.570 | -0.270 | $310 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:37 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.310 | 0.570 | -0.260 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:35 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.570 | +0.120 | $18 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:33 | 0x06cb7353… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.280 | 0.570 | -0.290 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:33 | 0xbd14da50… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.570 | +0.130 | $951 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:33 | 0x7c3db723… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.290 | 0.570 | -0.280 | $127 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:32 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $17 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:15 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $519 | 1537m |
| 2026-05-30 19:06 | 0x0c0e270c… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $78 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:06 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.280 | 0.560 | -0.280 | $10 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:05 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.280 | 0.560 | -0.280 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:05 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.280 | 0.560 | -0.280 | $24 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:04 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.720 | 0.560 | +0.160 | $12 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:04 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.720 | 0.560 | +0.160 | $12 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:04 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.720 | 0.560 | +0.160 | $13 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:04 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.280 | 0.560 | -0.280 | $22 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:03 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.660 | -0.290 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 19:03 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.670 | -0.290 | $6 | — |