Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0xb80fd379… | L2 |
KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26JUN01-THE
will-the-boroughs-be-the-top-us-netflix-show-this-week-335 |
BUY | 0.880 | 0.850 | +0.030 | $224 | 258m |
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.370 | 0.590 | -0.220 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:11 | 0xb10047d6… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:07 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $116 | 1732m |
| 2026-05-30 16:03 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.400 | +0.120 | $516 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:03 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.400 | +0.110 | $4 | — |
| 2026-05-30 16:02 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 15:58 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
SELL | 0.380 | 0.590 | -0.210 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 15:53 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.420 | +0.100 | $520 | — |
| 2026-05-30 15:40 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.440 | +0.080 | $120 | 2380m |
| 2026-05-30 14:36 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $595 | 1821m |
| 2026-05-30 14:35 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.750 | 0.630 | +0.120 | $31 | 146m |
| 2026-05-30 14:35 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.750 | 0.630 | +0.120 | $4 | 146m |
| 2026-05-30 14:32 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.780 | +0.203 | $41 | 1829m |
| 2026-05-30 14:32 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.440 | +0.040 | $121 | 2452m |
| 2026-05-30 14:09 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.440 | +0.070 | $238 | 2474m |
| 2026-05-30 14:09 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.440 | +0.060 | $11 | 2474m |
| 2026-05-30 13:53 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.440 | +0.060 | $52 | 2482m |
| 2026-05-30 12:37 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.440 | +0.040 | $18 | 2562m |
| 2026-05-30 12:24 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $220 | 1948m |
| 2026-05-30 12:23 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.780 | +0.205 | $1545 | 1957m |
| 2026-05-30 11:53 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.440 | +0.040 | $2 | 2598m |
| 2026-05-30 11:24 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.510 | 0.440 | +0.070 | $491 | 2633m |
| 2026-05-30 11:24 | 0x5235578e… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.440 | +0.060 | $19 | 2633m |
| 2026-05-30 11:24 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.440 | +0.050 | $0 | 2633m |
| 2026-05-30 11:17 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.440 | +0.040 | $14 | 2642m |
| 2026-05-30 11:16 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.480 | 0.440 | +0.040 | $72 | 2642m |
| 2026-05-30 11:15 | 0x8a98109f… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.440 | +0.060 | $130 | 2642m |
| 2026-05-30 11:15 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.440 | +0.060 | $4 | 2642m |
| 2026-05-30 11:07 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.440 | +0.060 | $1 | 2649m |
| 2026-05-30 10:34 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.440 | +0.050 | $2 | 2683m |
| 2026-05-30 07:15 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.460 | +0.060 | $1 | 2879m |
| 2026-05-30 07:14 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-30 07:14 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $3 | — |
| 2026-05-30 07:07 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 07:02 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $67 | — |
| 2026-05-30 06:57 | 0x56d9a144… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.460 | +0.090 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-30 06:38 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.450 | 0.420 | +0.030 | $2 | 6m |
| 2026-05-30 06:36 | 0x5a1c1697… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.450 | 0.420 | +0.030 | $2 | 6m |
| 2026-05-30 03:10 | 0xfaaa864d… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.990 | 0.780 | +0.210 | $396 | 2501m |
| 2026-05-30 03:06 | 0x4478d7bd… | L1 |
KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T40
will-40-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31 Will 40 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? |
SELL | 0.060 | 0.350 | -0.290 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-30 01:36 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $14 | — |
| 2026-05-30 01:24 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-30 00:31 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.257 | 0.290 | -0.033 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-30 00:06 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-29 23:53 | 0xe617861a… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 |
BUY | 0.989 | 0.780 | +0.209 | $2000 | 2700m |
| 2026-05-29 23:31 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXTRUMPNBAFINALS-26JUN-DJT
nba-playoffs-will-president-trump-attend-the-nba-finals |
BUY | 0.640 | 0.610 | +0.030 | $5 | 417m |
| 2026-05-29 23:20 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
SELL | 0.440 | 0.490 | -0.050 | $685 | 433m |
| 2026-05-29 23:09 | 0xc8ab97a9… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.230 | 0.630 | -0.400 | $4 | — |