Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-23 16:34 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.160 | 0.220 | -0.060 | $16 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 16:34 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.120 | 0.210 | -0.090 | $14 | 82m |
| 2026-06-23 16:34 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.110 | 0.220 | -0.110 | $11 | 82m |
| 2026-06-23 16:26 | 0x93a93d84… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.280 | 0.240 | +0.040 | $6 | — |
| 2026-06-23 16:26 | 0x93a93d84… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.280 | 0.240 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 16:26 | 0x93a93d84… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.280 | 0.240 | +0.040 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-23 16:00 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.190 | 0.240 | -0.050 | $0 | 134m |
| 2026-06-23 16:00 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.190 | 0.240 | -0.050 | $0 | 134m |
| 2026-06-23 16:00 | 0x97520e8e… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.190 | 0.240 | -0.050 | $0 | 134m |
| 2026-06-23 15:58 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.200 | 0.240 | -0.040 | $16 | 134m |
| 2026-06-23 15:58 | 0x9495d622… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.200 | 0.240 | -0.040 | $12 | 134m |
| 2026-06-23 15:54 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $270 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:53 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $347 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:49 | 0x9495d622… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.200 | 0.240 | -0.040 | $17 | 146m |
| 2026-06-23 15:47 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:37 | 0x9495d622… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.200 | 0.230 | -0.030 | $4 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 15:37 | 0x9495d622… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.200 | 0.230 | -0.030 | $1 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 15:30 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:29 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $65 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:29 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:29 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:29 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:29 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $4 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:29 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $24 | — |
| 2026-06-23 15:28 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $2 | — |
| 2026-06-23 14:14 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-23 14:11 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 14:08 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.240 | +0.030 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-23 13:29 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.100 | 0.140 | -0.040 | $10 | 17m |
| 2026-06-23 13:29 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.100 | 0.140 | -0.040 | $12 | 17m |
| 2026-06-23 13:25 | 0xfe41328c… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026 Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.130 | 0.166 | -0.036 | $3 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 13:24 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 13:20 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 13:18 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.140 | -0.050 | $9 | 27m |
| 2026-06-23 12:47 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.090 | 0.120 | -0.030 | $9 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 12:33 | 0xc798197a… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.280 | 0.230 | +0.050 | $5 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:33 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:28 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXKNESSET-27-JUN30
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-june-30-228 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? |
SELL | 0.140 | 0.190 | -0.050 | $3 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 12:22 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:21 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $3 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:20 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $1 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:20 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $0 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:20 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $26 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:18 | 0x93a93d84… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.280 | 0.230 | +0.050 | $280 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:17 | 0x13b72e0a… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.280 | 0.230 | +0.050 | $72 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:17 | 0xde7be6d4… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154 US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? |
BUY | 0.270 | 0.230 | +0.040 | $6879 | — |
| 2026-06-23 12:09 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? |
SELL | 0.080 | 0.120 | -0.040 | $8 | 97m |
| 2026-06-23 11:58 | 0x21ffd2b7… | L1 |
KXKNESSET-27-JUN30
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-june-30-228 Israeli parliament dissolved by June 30? |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.270 | -0.090 | $0 | 1m |
| 2026-06-23 08:42 | 0xac4a1fab… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.260 | -0.080 | $18 | 42m |
| 2026-06-23 08:42 | 0x7e80049e… | L1 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.180 | 0.260 | -0.080 | $7 | 42m |