Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-06-17 17:35 | 0x35e36faa… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.998 | 0.900 | +0.098 | $1160 | 168m |
| 2026-06-17 12:08 | 0xd8e5d96b… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.996 | 0.710 | +0.286 | $3000 | 533m |
| 2026-06-17 12:07 | 0x0778f428… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.985 | 0.710 | +0.275 | $12913 | 533m |
| 2026-06-17 12:07 | 0x2598ea80… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.981 | 0.710 | +0.271 | $4386 | 533m |
| 2026-06-17 12:06 | 0x4e3de510… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? |
BUY | 0.993 | 0.910 | +0.083 | $11123 | 995m |
| 2026-06-17 11:10 | 0xf9ac4c4e… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.984 | 0.730 | +0.254 | $1000 | 27m |
| 2026-06-17 10:22 | 0x4aa87d51… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.980 | 0.760 | +0.220 | $1204 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:22 | 0x4aa87d51… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
BUY | 0.987 | 0.930 | +0.057 | $2734 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:21 | 0xe2349595… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
BUY | 0.981 | 0.930 | +0.051 | $3325 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:21 | 0xa9f2d6b4… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
BUY | 0.966 | 0.930 | +0.036 | $726 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:21 | 0x4aa87d51… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.990 | 0.760 | +0.230 | $2974 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:17 | 0xe2349595… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.899 | 0.760 | +0.139 | $1403 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:16 | 0xe2349595… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17? |
BUY | 0.810 | 0.760 | +0.050 | $1501 | 1m |
| 2026-06-17 10:14 | 0x46ebe92a… | L2 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.402 | 0.540 | -0.138 | $1407 | 540m |
| 2026-06-17 09:17 | 0x1c4cd350… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
SELL | 0.750 | 0.790 | -0.040 | $1500 | 11m |
| 2026-06-17 06:23 | 0xcd1d7d84… | L2 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.462 | 0.720 | -0.258 | $2002 | — |
| 2026-06-17 05:02 | 0xe47439f4… | L2 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.470 | 0.720 | -0.250 | $1900 | 535m |
| 2026-06-17 04:59 | 0xe47439f4… | L2 |
KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345 Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? |
SELL | 0.576 | 0.720 | -0.144 | $3447 | 97m |
| 2026-06-17 02:25 | 0x68c24bf4… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
BUY | 0.889 | 0.770 | +0.119 | $995 | — |
| 2026-06-17 01:25 | 0xd087c72c… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
BUY | 0.950 | 0.770 | +0.180 | $500 | 1160m |
| 2026-06-16 23:58 | 0x05ede659… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30? |
BUY | 0.983 | 0.880 | +0.103 | $678 | 1079m |
| 2026-06-16 21:28 | 0x8c0b637b… | L2 |
KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217 Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19? |
BUY | 0.877 | 0.790 | +0.087 | $377 | — |
| 2026-06-07 22:48 | 0x2a83cdb9… | L2 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.935 | 0.890 | +0.045 | $1594 | — |
| 2026-06-05 08:16 | 0x8597ca63… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
BUY | 0.747 | 0.650 | +0.097 | $11956 | — |
| 2026-06-04 11:53 | 0xe8c5827d… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
BUY | 0.740 | 0.650 | +0.090 | $1000 | — |
| 2026-06-03 17:23 | 0xf1629522… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31? |
BUY | 0.734 | 0.650 | +0.084 | $1000 | — |
| 2026-06-02 00:41 | 0x7bb244d0… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.600 | 0.330 | +0.270 | $4719 | 2365m |
| 2026-06-01 09:34 | 0x1a3fb05e… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.645 | 0.350 | +0.295 | $7000 | — |
| 2026-06-01 06:30 | 0x75d389a9… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.582 | 0.410 | +0.172 | $4900 | 2040m |
| 2026-06-01 04:48 | 0xc90240c2… | L2 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.310 | +0.190 | $435 | 1953m |
| 2026-06-01 00:46 | 0x8a4e8f6e… | L2 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31 US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? |
BUY | 0.496 | 0.300 | +0.196 | $1000 | 2203m |
| 2026-05-31 08:51 | 0x7e8aead6… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.995 | 0.810 | +0.185 | $1569 | 726m |
| 2026-05-30 16:12 | 0xb80fd379… | L2 |
KXNETFLIXRANKSHOW-26JUN01-THE
will-the-boroughs-be-the-top-us-netflix-show-this-week-335 Will "The Boroughs" be the top US Netflix show this week? |
BUY | 0.880 | 0.850 | +0.030 | $224 | 258m |
| 2026-05-30 03:10 | 0xfaaa864d… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.990 | 0.780 | +0.210 | $396 | 2501m |
| 2026-05-29 23:53 | 0xe617861a… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.989 | 0.780 | +0.209 | $2000 | 2700m |
| 2026-05-29 17:22 | 0x46992d0e… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.980 | 0.780 | +0.200 | $1998 | — |
| 2026-05-29 15:48 | 0xe1c94959… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.969 | 0.790 | +0.179 | $500 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:48 | 0xee67664b… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.956 | 0.790 | +0.166 | $520 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:41 | 0x8a98109f… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.940 | 0.790 | +0.150 | $348 | — |
| 2026-05-29 14:41 | 0x8a98109f… | L2 |
KXUAPFILES-26MAY27-26JUN29
trump-declassifies-new-ufo-files-by-may-31-691 Trump declassifies new UFO files by May 31? |
BUY | 0.930 | 0.790 | +0.140 | $1507 | — |
| 2026-05-29 10:43 | 0x20f91625… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? |
BUY | 0.160 | 0.110 | +0.050 | $2331 | — |
| 2026-05-29 07:58 | 0xcb01ca83… | L2 |
KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15 Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15? |
BUY | 0.158 | 0.110 | +0.048 | $1600 | — |
| 2026-05-28 13:45 | 0x7523cafc… | L2 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
BUY | 0.500 | 0.290 | +0.210 | $7500 | 2625m |
| 2026-05-28 09:34 | 0xa1d82aa0… | L2 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
BUY | 0.635 | 0.240 | +0.395 | $7052 | — |
| 2026-05-28 07:14 | 0x5e73afb2… | L2 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30? |
BUY | 0.426 | 0.180 | +0.246 | $4718 | — |
| 2026-05-25 15:17 | 0x4baf4239… | L2 |
KXMUSKTRILLION-27
elon-musk-trillionaire-before-2027 Elon Musk trillionaire before 2027? |
BUY | 0.952 | 0.900 | +0.052 | $2618 | — |
| 2026-05-18 10:29 | 0x7207afc0… | L2 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman? |
BUY | 0.304 | 0.160 | +0.144 | $7815 | 1m |
| 2026-05-13 10:08 | 0x56e3d9a0… | L2 |
KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
will-greece-be-in-the-top-10-at-eurovision-2026 Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026? |
BUY | 0.876 | 0.840 | +0.036 | $3029 | 6029m |