Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-27 05:21 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:16 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.248 | 0.290 | -0.042 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 05:11 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 04:50 | 0x24c8cf69… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $63 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:49 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.247 | 0.290 | -0.043 | $710 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:47 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:32 | 0xa3a417e4… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.246 | 0.290 | -0.044 | $98 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:32 | 0x2663daca… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.246 | 0.290 | -0.044 | $1024 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:06 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 03:00 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $29 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:54 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:53 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:52 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $42 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:50 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:48 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:46 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:41 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:39 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:38 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.058 | -0.035 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:29 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:29 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:28 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:28 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:23 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:21 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:18 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.470 | 0.210 | +0.260 | $2 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:09 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 02:09 | 0x645a9173… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.210 | +0.320 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:32 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.210 | +0.250 | $75 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:30 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.490 | 0.210 | +0.280 | $49 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:28 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $43 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:28 | 0x30db2d6f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $9 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:17 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.210 | +0.250 | $1 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:17 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.460 | 0.210 | +0.250 | $11 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:06 | 0xa6676646… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMD-28-REMA
will-rahm-emanuel-win-the-2028-democratic-presidential-nomination-299 Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.023 | 0.059 | -0.036 | $0 | — |
| 2026-05-27 01:05 | 0xd2aefe83… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.210 | +0.310 | $15 | — |
| 2026-05-26 13:54 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
BUY | 0.760 | 0.620 | +0.140 | $171 | — |