Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$2233.66
L1 Closed / Open
4364 / 75
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.51
L1 Capital Deployed
$141233
L1 Return (book / avg trade)
+1.58% / +4.11%
L1 Win Rate
67%
L1 Avg Catchup
733m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Capital Deployed
$1530
L2 Return (book / avg trade)
-17.19% / -23.42%
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).
Cost = entry price × position size — the capital actually deployed, which is not the position size (size is a contract count; each contract settles at $1). Return = P&L ÷ cost.

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Cost P&L Return Catchup
2026-07-01 09:47 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 10:01 2026-07-02 18:51 0.380 0.310 0.290 -0.090 $38.00 $+7.00 +18.4% 1970m
2026-07-01 09:47 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 10:01 2026-07-02 18:51 0.380 0.310 0.290 -0.090 $38.00 $+7.00 +18.4% 1970m
2026-07-01 09:47 L1 0x215adbb6… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 10:01 2026-07-02 18:51 0.380 0.310 0.290 -0.090 $38.00 $+7.00 +18.4% 1970m
2026-07-02 15:10 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.068 0.041 0.035 -0.033 $3.40 $+1.35 +39.7% 1m
2026-07-02 15:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.215 0.165 0.150 -0.065 $10.75 $+2.50 +23.3% 1m
2026-07-02 15:10 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.215 0.165 0.150 -0.065 $10.75 $+2.50 +23.3% 1m
2026-07-02 15:11 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.215 0.165 0.150 -0.065 $10.75 $+2.50 +23.3% 1m
2026-07-02 15:11 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.068 0.041 0.035 -0.033 $3.40 $+1.35 +39.7% 1m
2026-07-02 15:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.068 0.041 0.034 -0.034 $3.40 $+1.35 +39.7% 1m
2026-07-02 15:09 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 15:24 2026-07-02 15:24 0.216 0.165 0.150 -0.066 $10.80 $+2.55 +23.6% 1m
2026-07-02 10:50 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 11:11 2026-07-02 13:35 0.219 0.163 0.150 -0.069 $2.74 $+0.70 +25.6% 144m
2026-07-02 10:57 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 11:11 2026-07-02 13:35 0.219 0.163 0.150 -0.069 $2.74 $+0.70 +25.6% 144m
2026-07-02 10:58 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 11:11 2026-07-02 13:35 0.219 0.163 0.150 -0.069 $5.47 $+1.40 +25.6% 144m
2026-07-02 10:47 L1 0xf2d14074… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:56 2026-07-02 13:35 0.228 0.163 0.150 -0.078 $11.40 $+3.25 +28.5% 159m
2026-07-02 10:48 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:56 2026-07-02 13:35 0.226 0.163 0.150 -0.076 $11.30 $+3.15 +27.9% 159m
2026-07-02 10:47 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:56 2026-07-02 13:35 0.228 0.163 0.150 -0.078 $11.40 $+3.25 +28.5% 159m
2026-07-02 10:47 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:56 2026-07-02 13:35 0.228 0.163 0.150 -0.078 $11.40 $+3.25 +28.5% 159m
2026-07-02 09:49 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:04 2026-07-02 13:35 0.210 0.163 0.150 -0.060 $10.50 $+2.35 +22.4% 211m
2026-07-02 09:32 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 09:49 2026-07-02 13:35 0.210 0.163 0.150 -0.060 $10.50 $+2.35 +22.4% 226m
2026-07-02 10:47 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:56 2026-07-02 12:23 0.226 0.180 0.160 -0.066 $11.30 $+2.30 +20.4% 87m
2026-07-02 10:29 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:43 2026-07-02 12:20 0.209 0.165 0.150 -0.059 $10.45 $+2.20 +21.1% 97m
2026-07-02 10:29 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 10:43 2026-07-02 12:20 0.209 0.165 0.150 -0.059 $10.45 $+2.20 +21.1% 97m
2026-07-02 07:48 L1 0xfe41328c… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 08:05 2026-07-02 08:05 0.070 0.050 0.039 -0.031 $3.50 $+1.00 +28.6% 1m
2026-07-02 07:16 L1 0xfe41328c… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 07:27 2026-07-02 07:27 0.069 0.050 0.039 -0.030 $3.45 $+0.95 +27.5% 1m
2026-07-02 02:01 L1 0xa9f2d6b4… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-02 02:18 2026-07-02 07:13 0.860 0.880 0.900 +0.040 $86.00 $+2.00 +2.3% 295m
2026-07-01 20:32 L1 0xac6a1ca4… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-01 20:43 2026-07-02 07:13 0.860 0.880 0.900 +0.040 $86.00 $+2.00 +2.3% 631m
2026-07-01 19:11 L1 0x3eae5798… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-01 19:17 2026-07-02 07:13 0.870 0.880 0.900 +0.030 $87.00 $+1.00 +1.1% 717m
2026-07-01 09:51 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 10:01 2026-07-02 03:17 0.150 0.120 0.120 -0.030 $7.50 $+1.50 +20.0% 1035m
2026-07-01 08:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:27 2026-07-02 03:17 0.176 0.120 0.120 -0.056 $2.20 $+0.70 +31.8% 1130m
2026-07-01 07:23 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 07:34 2026-07-02 03:17 0.169 0.120 0.120 -0.049 $2.11 $+0.61 +29.0% 1182m
2026-07-01 07:15 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 07:24 2026-07-02 03:17 0.169 0.120 0.120 -0.049 $2.11 $+0.61 +29.0% 1193m
2026-07-01 06:43 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 06:52 2026-07-02 03:17 0.168 0.120 0.120 -0.048 $2.10 $+0.60 +28.6% 1225m
2026-07-01 06:33 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 06:42 2026-07-02 03:17 0.164 0.120 0.120 -0.044 $2.05 $+0.55 +26.8% 1235m
2026-07-01 06:17 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 06:31 2026-07-02 03:17 0.177 0.120 0.120 -0.057 $4.42 $+1.42 +32.2% 1245m
2026-07-01 05:29 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 05:39 2026-07-02 03:17 0.163 0.120 0.120 -0.043 $4.08 $+1.08 +26.4% 1298m
2026-07-01 04:39 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 04:48 2026-07-02 03:17 0.168 0.120 0.120 -0.048 $4.20 $+1.20 +28.6% 1349m
2026-07-01 02:55 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 03:06 2026-07-02 03:17 0.168 0.120 0.120 -0.048 $8.40 $+2.40 +28.6% 1451m
2026-07-01 02:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 02:25 2026-07-02 03:17 0.167 0.120 0.120 -0.047 $8.35 $+2.35 +28.1% 1492m
2026-07-01 01:43 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 01:52 2026-07-02 03:17 0.150 0.120 0.120 -0.030 $15.00 $+3.00 +20.0% 1525m
2026-07-01 01:20 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 01:30 2026-07-02 03:17 0.150 0.120 0.120 -0.030 $15.00 $+3.00 +20.0% 1546m
2026-06-30 23:15 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 23:23 2026-07-02 03:17 0.159 0.120 0.120 -0.039 $15.90 $+3.90 +24.5% 1674m
2026-06-30 22:52 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 23:01 2026-07-02 03:17 0.158 0.120 0.120 -0.038 $15.80 $+3.80 +24.1% 1695m
2026-06-30 22:17 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 22:30 2026-07-02 03:17 0.159 0.120 0.120 -0.039 $15.90 $+3.90 +24.5% 1727m
2026-06-30 21:53 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 22:09 2026-07-02 03:17 0.169 0.120 0.120 -0.049 $8.45 $+2.45 +29.0% 1748m
2026-06-30 21:47 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 21:58 2026-07-02 03:17 0.188 0.120 0.120 -0.068 $4.70 $+1.70 +36.2% 1759m
2026-06-30 21:47 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 21:58 2026-07-02 03:17 0.188 0.120 0.120 -0.068 $9.40 $+3.40 +36.2% 1759m
2026-06-30 21:49 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 21:58 2026-07-02 03:17 0.188 0.120 0.120 -0.068 $9.40 $+3.40 +36.2% 1759m
2026-06-30 21:49 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 21:58 2026-07-02 03:17 0.188 0.120 0.120 -0.068 $9.40 $+3.40 +36.2% 1759m
2026-06-30 21:51 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 21:58 2026-07-02 03:17 0.188 0.120 0.120 -0.068 $9.40 $+3.40 +36.2% 1759m
2026-06-30 07:21 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 07:30 2026-07-02 03:17 0.186 0.120 0.120 -0.066 $9.30 $+3.30 +35.5% 2627m
2026-07-02 01:03 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-02 01:10 2026-07-02 01:11 0.193 0.151 0.150 -0.043 $9.65 $+2.10 +21.8% 1m
2026-07-01 23:19 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 23:28 2026-07-01 23:28 0.198 0.161 0.150 -0.048 $19.80 $+3.70 +18.7% 1m
2026-07-01 21:17 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 21:26 2026-07-01 21:27 0.198 0.161 0.150 -0.048 $19.80 $+3.70 +18.7% 1m
2026-07-01 20:17 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 20:32 2026-07-01 20:33 0.197 0.161 0.150 -0.047 $9.85 $+1.80 +18.3% 1m
2026-07-01 20:21 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 20:32 2026-07-01 20:33 0.197 0.161 0.150 -0.047 $9.85 $+1.80 +18.3% 1m
2026-07-01 19:43 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 19:49 2026-07-01 19:49 0.197 0.161 0.150 -0.047 $9.85 $+1.80 +18.3% 1m
2026-07-01 18:13 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 18:31 2026-07-01 18:31 0.198 0.166 0.150 -0.048 $19.80 $+3.20 +16.2% 1m
2026-07-01 18:15 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 18:31 2026-07-01 18:31 0.198 0.166 0.150 -0.048 $19.80 $+3.20 +16.2% 1m
2026-07-01 13:55 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 14:09 2026-07-01 14:10 0.188 0.161 0.150 -0.038 $9.40 $+1.35 +14.4% 1m
2026-07-01 13:22 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:37 2026-07-01 13:38 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:24 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:37 2026-07-01 13:38 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:30 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:37 2026-07-01 13:38 0.178 0.151 0.140 -0.038 $4.45 $+0.67 +15.2% 1m
2026-07-01 13:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:26 2026-07-01 13:26 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:11 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:26 2026-07-01 13:26 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:26 2026-07-01 13:26 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:14 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:26 2026-07-01 13:26 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:07 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:15 2026-07-01 13:16 0.060 0.040 0.030 -0.030 $3.00 $+1.00 +33.3% 1m
2026-07-01 13:08 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 13:15 2026-07-01 13:16 0.178 0.151 0.140 -0.038 $4.45 $+0.67 +15.2% 1m
2026-07-01 09:15 L1 0x4eb3a88c… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 09:30 2026-07-01 09:30 0.160 0.150 0.130 -0.030 $16.00 $+1.00 +6.2% 1m
2026-07-01 08:07 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:16 2026-07-01 09:08 0.420 0.300 0.280 -0.140 $21.00 $+6.00 +28.6% 52m
2026-07-01 08:07 L1 0x215adbb6… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:16 2026-07-01 09:08 0.420 0.300 0.280 -0.140 $21.00 $+6.00 +28.6% 52m
2026-07-01 08:07 L1 0x2a019dc0… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:16 2026-07-01 08:58 0.420 0.310 0.310 -0.110 $21.00 $+5.50 +26.2% 42m
2026-07-01 08:07 L1 0x2a019dc0… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:16 2026-07-01 08:58 0.420 0.310 0.310 -0.110 $21.00 $+5.50 +26.2% 42m
2026-07-01 08:07 L1 0x2a019dc0… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:16 2026-07-01 08:58 0.420 0.310 0.310 -0.110 $21.00 $+5.50 +26.2% 42m
2026-07-01 08:34 L1 0x6b0ebbef… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:48 2026-07-01 08:58 0.410 0.310 0.320 -0.090 $41.00 $+10.00 +24.4% 10m
2026-07-01 08:34 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:48 2026-07-01 08:58 0.410 0.310 0.320 -0.090 $41.00 $+10.00 +24.4% 10m
2026-07-01 08:34 L1 0x215adbb6… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-01 08:48 2026-07-01 08:58 0.410 0.310 0.320 -0.090 $41.00 $+10.00 +24.4% 10m
2026-07-01 01:16 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
YES 2026-07-01 01:30 2026-07-01 03:46 0.650 0.440 0.720 +0.070 $65.00 $-21.00 -32.3% 136m
2026-06-30 20:02 L1 0x9495d622… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 20:12 2026-07-01 00:37 0.530 0.630 0.280 -0.250 $26.50 $-5.00 -18.9% 265m
2026-06-30 20:02 L1 0x6b0ebbef… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 20:12 2026-07-01 00:37 0.530 0.630 0.280 -0.250 $26.50 $-5.00 -18.9% 265m
2026-06-30 20:02 L1 0x92e53057… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 20:12 2026-07-01 00:37 0.530 0.630 0.280 -0.250 $26.50 $-5.00 -18.9% 265m
2026-06-30 20:02 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 20:12 2026-07-01 00:37 0.530 0.630 0.280 -0.250 $26.50 $-5.00 -18.9% 265m
2026-06-30 20:02 L1 0x215adbb6… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 20:12 2026-07-01 00:37 0.530 0.630 0.280 -0.250 $26.50 $-5.00 -18.9% 265m
2026-06-30 22:21 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 22:30 2026-06-30 22:30 0.069 0.036 0.037 -0.032 $3.45 $+1.65 +47.8% 1m
2026-06-30 12:02 L1 0xf2d14074… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 12:12 2026-06-30 18:22 0.189 0.144 0.130 -0.059 $9.45 $+2.25 +23.8% 369m
2026-06-30 07:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 07:30 2026-06-30 18:22 0.186 0.144 0.130 -0.056 $9.30 $+2.10 +22.6% 652m
2026-06-30 07:13 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 07:30 2026-06-30 18:22 0.186 0.144 0.130 -0.056 $9.30 $+2.10 +22.6% 652m
2026-06-30 06:29 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-30 06:42 2026-06-30 18:22 0.186 0.144 0.130 -0.056 $9.30 $+2.10 +22.6% 700m
2026-06-30 16:33 L1 0xe3e4bded… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:54 2026-06-30 16:55 0.290 0.010 0.380 +0.090 $14.50 $-14.00 -96.5% 1m
2026-06-30 16:38 L1 0x7c3db723… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:54 2026-06-30 16:55 0.320 0.010 0.380 +0.060 $32.00 $-31.00 -96.9% 1m
2026-06-30 16:38 L1 0xc73b2cb7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:54 2026-06-30 16:55 0.320 0.010 0.380 +0.060 $32.00 $-31.00 -96.9% 1m
2026-06-30 16:40 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:54 2026-06-30 16:55 0.300 0.010 0.330 +0.030 $30.00 $-29.00 -96.7% 1m
2026-06-30 16:34 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:54 2026-06-30 16:55 0.300 0.010 0.420 +0.120 $15.00 $-14.50 -96.7% 1m
2026-06-30 16:34 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:54 2026-06-30 16:55 0.300 0.010 0.400 +0.100 $15.00 $-14.50 -96.7% 1m
2026-06-29 06:58 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-31-495-138
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
NO 2026-06-29 07:10 2026-06-30 16:54 0.860 0.970 0.783 -0.077 $86.00 $-11.00 -12.8% 2024m
2026-06-29 06:53 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-31-495-138
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
NO 2026-06-29 07:10 2026-06-30 16:54 0.870 0.970 0.798 -0.072 $87.00 $-10.00 -11.5% 2024m
2026-06-29 06:53 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-31-495-138
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
NO 2026-06-29 07:10 2026-06-30 16:54 0.870 0.970 0.798 -0.072 $87.00 $-10.00 -11.5% 2024m
2026-06-29 07:01 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL31
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-31-495-138
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 31?
NO 2026-06-29 07:10 2026-06-30 16:54 0.870 0.970 0.789 -0.081 $87.00 $-10.00 -11.5% 2024m
2026-06-30 15:46 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:05 2026-06-30 16:47 0.280 0.120 0.420 +0.140 $7.00 $-4.00 -57.1% 42m
2026-06-30 15:42 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-30 16:05 2026-06-30 16:47 0.280 0.120 0.410 +0.130 $3.50 $-2.00 -57.1% 42m

Open Trades (75)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid; Return = that ÷ cost.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+57.38
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Cost Unrealized P&L Return Age
2026-08-05 21:35 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 21:58 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2841m
2026-08-05 21:33 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 21:58 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2841m
2026-08-05 21:52 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:13 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2826m
2026-08-05 21:48 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:13 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2826m
2026-08-05 22:37 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:57 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2781m
2026-08-05 22:53 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 23:12 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2766m
2026-08-05 23:06 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 23:27 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2751m
2026-08-06 00:21 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:40 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $21.00 $+0.00 +0.0% 2678m
2026-08-06 00:18 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:40 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2678m
2026-08-06 00:39 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:55 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2664m
2026-08-06 00:57 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 01:09 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2649m
2026-08-06 00:56 L1 0x4c4ed674… SENATEME-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 01:09 0.370 0.360 0.320 -0.050 $37.00 $+1.00 +2.7% 2649m
2026-08-06 01:10 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 01:24 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $5.25 $+0.00 +0.0% 2635m
2026-08-06 01:51 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 02:06 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2592m
2026-08-06 01:46 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 02:06 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $5.25 $+0.00 +0.0% 2592m
2026-08-06 02:07 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 02:21 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $7.38 $+0.25 +3.4% 2578m
2026-08-06 05:55 L1 0x01309d49… GOVPARTYWI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 06:09 0.410 0.390 0.590 +0.180 $20.50 $-1.00 -4.9% 2349m
2026-08-06 05:54 L1 0x01309d49… GOVPARTYWI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 06:09 0.410 0.390 0.580 +0.170 $20.50 $-1.00 -4.9% 2349m
2026-08-06 06:24 L1 0x6f679c4a… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 06:37 0.160 0.180 0.120 -0.040 $8.00 $-1.00 -12.5% 2322m
2026-08-06 07:39 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2246m
2026-08-06 07:39 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2246m
2026-08-06 07:38 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2246m
2026-08-06 07:38 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2246m
2026-08-06 09:28 L1 0x7803ddf6… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 09:50 0.590 0.570 0.380 -0.210 $7.38 $+0.25 +3.4% 2129m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1998m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0xa91edaba… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1998m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1998m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $6.50 $+0.38 +5.8% 1998m
2026-08-06 12:15 L1 0xa91edaba… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:29 0.510 0.490 0.390 -0.120 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1970m
2026-08-06 12:08 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:29 0.510 0.490 0.400 -0.110 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1970m
2026-08-06 12:31 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:44 0.510 0.490 0.400 -0.110 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1955m
2026-08-06 12:39 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:59 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1940m
2026-08-06 12:49 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:13 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1926m
2026-08-06 13:19 L1 0xe5f51861… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 13:42 0.210 0.180 0.117 -0.093 $10.50 $+1.50 +14.3% 1897m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1882m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0x09789b8b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1882m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1882m
2026-08-06 14:20 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 14:39 0.210 0.180 0.130 -0.080 $10.50 $+1.50 +14.3% 1839m
2026-08-06 14:18 L1 0xe5f51861… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 14:39 0.210 0.180 0.114 -0.096 $10.50 $+1.50 +14.3% 1839m
2026-08-06 16:05 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:16 0.500 0.490 0.410 -0.090 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 1742m
2026-08-06 16:19 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1728m
2026-08-06 16:19 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1728m
2026-08-06 16:18 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1728m
2026-08-06 16:27 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:44 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $12.75 $+0.50 +3.9% 1714m
2026-08-06 16:50 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 17:12 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $12.75 $+0.50 +3.9% 1686m
2026-08-06 17:35 L1 0xee5457ad… SENATEME-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 17:55 0.370 0.360 0.320 -0.050 $37.00 $+1.00 +2.7% 1644m
2026-08-06 21:42 L1 0xe2349595… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 22:01 0.500 0.490 0.410 -0.090 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 1398m
2026-08-06 23:10 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.114 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.15 +2.6% 1315m
2026-08-06 23:10 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.114 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.15 +2.6% 1315m
2026-08-06 23:08 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.114 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.15 +2.6% 1315m
2026-08-06 23:57 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $5.80 $+0.10 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-06 23:57 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $5.80 $+0.10 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-06 23:56 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.05 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-06 23:55 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.05 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-06 23:55 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.05 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-06 23:54 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $1.45 $+0.03 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-06 23:54 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.114 0.080 -0.036 $1.45 $+0.03 +1.7% 1272m
2026-08-07 03:20 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-no-change-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724869
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-07 03:41 0.560 0.530 0.500 -0.060 $56.00 $+3.00 +5.4% 1058m
2026-08-07 04:43 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-07 04:54 0.210 0.180 0.131 -0.079 $10.50 $+1.50 +14.3% 984m
2026-08-07 05:38 L1 0x7e5972bf… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-a-25-bps-increase-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724870
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 2026-08-07 05:54 0.420 0.450 0.590 +0.170 $21.00 $+1.50 +7.1% 925m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 835m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x6139c42e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $12.50 $+0.25 +2.0% 835m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $12.50 $+0.25 +2.0% 835m
2026-08-07 08:09 L1 0x7803ddf6… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-07 08:23 0.580 0.570 0.610 +0.030 $58.00 $-1.00 -1.7% 776m
2026-08-07 11:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 12:02 0.141 0.114 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.35 +19.1% 557m
2026-08-07 12:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.114 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.35 +19.1% 497m
2026-08-07 12:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.114 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.35 +19.1% 497m
2026-08-07 12:45 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.114 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.35 +19.1% 497m
2026-08-07 13:26 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:46 0.140 0.114 0.090 -0.050 $7.00 $+1.30 +18.6% 453m
2026-08-07 13:25 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:46 0.140 0.114 0.090 -0.050 $3.50 $+0.65 +18.6% 453m
2026-08-07 14:07 L1 0xe23b2940… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 14:27 0.100 0.099 0.070 -0.030 $5.00 $+0.05 +1.0% 412m
2026-08-07 14:51 L1 0xbd14da50… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-a-25-bps-increase-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724870
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 2026-08-07 15:10 0.460 0.450 0.570 +0.110 $46.00 $-1.00 -2.2% 369m
2026-08-07 19:18 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 19:40 0.130 0.110 0.070 -0.060 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 99m
2026-08-07 19:55 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 20:12 0.130 0.110 0.070 -0.060 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 66m
2026-08-07 20:03 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 20:27 0.130 0.110 0.070 -0.060 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 52m