Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-945.46
L1 Closed / Open
1977 / 3
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.48
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
653m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-23 05:09 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 05:23 2026-06-23 05:23 0.160 0.131 0.120 -0.040 $+1.45 1m
2026-06-23 05:10 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 05:23 2026-06-23 05:23 0.160 0.131 0.120 -0.040 $+1.45 1m
2026-06-23 05:11 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 05:23 2026-06-23 05:23 0.160 0.131 0.120 -0.040 $+1.45 1m
2026-06-23 04:55 L1 0xfe41328c… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 05:13 2026-06-23 05:13 0.160 0.131 0.120 -0.040 $+1.45 1m
2026-06-23 04:55 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 05:13 2026-06-23 05:13 0.159 0.131 0.120 -0.039 $+2.80 1m
2026-06-22 21:25 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 21:31 2026-06-23 00:05 0.186 0.149 0.140 -0.046 $+1.85 153m
2026-06-22 17:18 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 17:32 2026-06-23 00:05 0.190 0.149 0.140 -0.050 $+1.03 393m
2026-06-22 15:39 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 15:51 2026-06-23 00:05 0.189 0.149 0.140 -0.049 $+2.00 494m
2026-06-22 14:44 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 14:57 2026-06-23 00:05 0.184 0.149 0.140 -0.044 $+3.50 547m
2026-06-22 13:25 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 13:32 2026-06-23 00:05 0.186 0.149 0.140 -0.046 $+3.70 633m
2026-06-22 13:04 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 13:11 2026-06-23 00:05 0.186 0.149 0.140 -0.046 $+3.70 654m
2026-06-22 12:41 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 12:50 2026-06-23 00:05 0.186 0.149 0.140 -0.046 $+3.70 674m
2026-06-22 22:53 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 23:01 2026-06-23 00:03 0.182 0.149 0.140 -0.042 $+1.65 62m
2026-06-22 17:50 L1 0xc798197a… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 18:03 2026-06-22 22:41 0.390 0.320 0.320 -0.070 $+7.00 278m
2026-06-22 12:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:50 2026-06-22 22:41 0.430 0.320 0.640 +0.210 $-5.50 591m
2026-06-22 12:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:50 2026-06-22 22:41 0.430 0.320 0.640 +0.210 $-5.50 591m
2026-06-22 12:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:50 2026-06-22 22:41 0.430 0.320 0.640 +0.210 $-5.50 591m
2026-06-22 12:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:50 2026-06-22 22:41 0.430 0.320 0.640 +0.210 $-5.50 591m
2026-06-22 12:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.650 +0.210 $-1.50 601m
2026-06-22 12:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.650 +0.210 $-1.50 601m
2026-06-22 12:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.650 +0.210 $-3.00 601m
2026-06-22 12:34 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.640 +0.200 $-3.00 601m
2026-06-22 12:34 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.640 +0.200 $-3.00 601m
2026-06-22 12:34 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.640 +0.200 $-6.00 601m
2026-06-22 12:14 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:29 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.650 +0.210 $-6.00 612m
2026-06-22 11:06 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:16 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.650 +0.210 $-6.00 685m
2026-06-22 11:08 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:16 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.640 +0.200 $-6.00 685m
2026-06-22 11:08 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:16 2026-06-22 22:41 0.440 0.320 0.650 +0.210 $-6.00 685m
2026-06-22 01:28 L1 0xcd1d7d84… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 01:33 2026-06-22 22:41 0.430 0.320 0.570 +0.140 $-5.50 1268m
2026-06-22 21:52 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 22:01 2026-06-22 22:23 0.370 0.350 0.330 -0.040 $+2.00 22m
2026-06-22 18:01 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 18:13 2026-06-22 22:21 0.390 0.350 0.330 -0.060 $+4.00 248m
2026-06-22 18:02 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 18:13 2026-06-22 22:21 0.390 0.350 0.330 -0.060 $+4.00 248m
2026-06-22 11:52 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 12:08 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.640 +0.190 $-1.25 613m
2026-06-22 11:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:58 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-1.25 623m
2026-06-22 11:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:58 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-2.50 623m
2026-06-22 11:44 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:58 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-2.50 623m
2026-06-22 11:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:37 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-2.50 644m
2026-06-22 11:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:37 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-5.00 644m
2026-06-22 11:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:37 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-5.00 644m
2026-06-22 11:24 L1 0x645a9173… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 11:37 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-5.00 644m
2026-06-22 10:30 L1 0x409367ef… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 10:45 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.670 +0.220 $-5.00 696m
2026-06-22 10:30 L1 0xc6dd7225… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 10:45 2026-06-22 22:21 0.450 0.350 0.641 +0.191 $-5.00 696m
2026-06-22 10:14 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 10:24 2026-06-22 19:52 0.460 0.360 0.590 +0.130 $-2.50 568m
2026-06-22 09:59 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 10:14 2026-06-22 19:52 0.460 0.360 0.590 +0.130 $-2.50 578m
2026-06-22 09:55 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 10:04 2026-06-22 19:52 0.460 0.360 0.590 +0.130 $-5.00 589m
2026-06-22 09:52 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 10:04 2026-06-22 19:52 0.460 0.360 0.600 +0.140 $-5.00 589m
2026-06-22 09:45 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 09:53 2026-06-22 19:52 0.460 0.360 0.590 +0.130 $-5.00 599m
2026-06-22 09:45 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 09:53 2026-06-22 19:52 0.460 0.360 0.590 +0.130 $-5.00 599m
2026-06-22 08:56 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 09:10 2026-06-22 19:03 0.470 0.370 0.600 +0.130 $-5.00 592m
2026-06-22 18:47 L1 0xa6dcc89a… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 18:53 2026-06-22 18:54 0.390 0.370 0.350 -0.040 $+2.00 2m
2026-06-22 12:59 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 13:11 2026-06-22 17:22 0.400 0.380 0.370 -0.030 $+2.00 251m
2026-06-22 13:05 L1 0x9f66aa95… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 13:11 2026-06-22 17:12 0.410 0.380 0.360 -0.050 $+3.00 241m
2026-06-22 12:28 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 12:40 2026-06-22 17:12 0.440 0.380 0.360 -0.080 $+6.00 272m
2026-06-22 12:10 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 12:19 2026-06-22 17:12 0.440 0.380 0.360 -0.080 $+6.00 293m
2026-06-22 11:52 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 12:08 2026-06-22 17:12 0.450 0.380 0.360 -0.090 $+7.00 303m
2026-06-22 11:08 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 11:16 2026-06-22 17:12 0.440 0.380 0.360 -0.080 $+6.00 356m
2026-06-22 08:37 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 08:48 2026-06-22 17:12 0.480 0.380 0.610 +0.130 $-5.00 504m
2026-06-22 08:39 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 08:48 2026-06-22 17:12 0.480 0.380 0.610 +0.130 $-5.00 504m
2026-06-22 08:15 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 08:36 2026-06-22 17:12 0.480 0.380 0.620 +0.140 $-5.00 516m
2026-06-22 08:15 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 08:36 2026-06-22 17:12 0.480 0.380 0.620 +0.140 $-5.00 516m
2026-06-22 02:40 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 02:53 2026-06-22 17:12 0.480 0.380 0.560 +0.080 $-10.00 859m
2026-06-22 12:50 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 13:01 2026-06-22 13:01 0.420 0.390 0.370 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-22 12:51 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 13:01 2026-06-22 13:01 0.420 0.390 0.370 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-22 08:15 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 08:36 2026-06-22 13:01 0.480 0.390 0.380 -0.100 $+4.50 265m
2026-06-22 08:15 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 08:36 2026-06-22 13:01 0.480 0.390 0.390 -0.090 $+4.50 265m
2026-06-22 08:15 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 08:36 2026-06-22 13:01 0.490 0.390 0.610 +0.120 $-10.00 265m
2026-06-22 08:05 L1 0xed19489c… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 08:23 2026-06-22 13:01 0.500 0.390 0.390 -0.110 $+11.00 278m
2026-06-22 06:44 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 07:09 2026-06-22 13:01 0.480 0.390 0.390 -0.090 $+9.00 352m
2026-06-22 02:26 L1 0x2eae1023… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 02:33 2026-06-22 13:01 0.490 0.390 0.530 +0.040 $-10.00 628m
2026-06-22 06:45 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 07:09 2026-06-22 12:50 0.480 0.420 0.400 -0.080 $+6.00 341m
2026-06-22 06:45 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 07:09 2026-06-22 12:50 0.480 0.420 0.400 -0.080 $+6.00 341m
2026-06-22 06:45 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 07:09 2026-06-22 12:50 0.480 0.420 0.400 -0.080 $+6.00 341m
2026-06-22 04:06 L1 0x6e4b8009… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 04:36 2026-06-22 12:50 0.520 0.420 0.596 +0.076 $-10.00 495m
2026-06-22 06:47 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 07:09 2026-06-22 11:16 0.480 0.430 0.410 -0.070 $+5.00 247m
2026-06-22 08:48 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 08:59 2026-06-22 09:26 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $+1.80 27m
2026-06-22 05:18 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 05:28 2026-06-22 05:40 0.480 0.460 0.440 -0.040 $+2.00 12m
2026-06-22 04:49 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 05:06 2026-06-22 05:06 0.179 0.155 0.140 -0.039 $+2.40 1m
2026-06-22 04:47 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 05:06 2026-06-22 05:06 0.179 0.155 0.140 -0.039 $+2.40 1m
2026-06-22 04:47 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 05:06 2026-06-22 05:06 0.179 0.155 0.140 -0.039 $+2.40 1m
2026-06-22 01:04 L1 0x93a93d84… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 01:23 2026-06-22 05:06 0.989 0.000 0.930 -0.059 $+98.90 222m
2026-06-20 13:22 L1 0xd24b9555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+22.50 2369m
2026-06-20 13:22 L1 0xd24b9555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+22.50 2369m
2026-06-20 13:22 L1 0xd24b9555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+45.00 2369m
2026-06-20 13:22 L1 0xd24b9555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+45.00 2369m
2026-06-20 13:22 L1 0xd24b9555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+45.00 2369m
2026-06-20 13:22 L1 0xce71bed9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+90.00 2369m
2026-06-20 13:23 L1 0xce71bed9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+90.00 2369m
2026-06-20 13:23 L1 0xce71bed9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-22 05:06 0.900 0.000 0.740 -0.160 $+90.00 2369m
2026-06-22 02:26 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 02:33 2026-06-22 04:30 0.470 0.500 0.520 +0.050 $+3.00 117m
2026-06-22 03:19 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 03:33 2026-06-22 04:30 0.470 0.500 0.520 +0.050 $+3.00 57m
2026-06-22 03:47 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 03:53 2026-06-22 03:54 0.179 0.153 0.140 -0.039 $+2.60 1m
2026-06-22 02:44 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 02:53 2026-06-22 02:53 0.179 0.157 0.140 -0.039 $+2.20 1m
2026-06-22 02:13 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-22 02:33 2026-06-22 02:33 0.490 0.460 0.450 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-22 00:20 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 00:33 2026-06-22 01:50 0.350 0.420 0.430 +0.080 $+7.00 77m
2026-06-22 01:36 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 01:43 2026-06-22 01:44 0.188 0.157 0.140 -0.048 $+1.55 1m
2026-06-22 00:46 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 00:53 2026-06-22 01:35 0.360 0.420 0.430 +0.070 $+6.00 42m
2026-06-22 00:26 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 00:33 2026-06-22 01:35 0.350 0.410 0.430 +0.080 $+6.00 62m
2026-06-22 00:22 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-22 00:33 2026-06-22 01:35 0.350 0.410 0.430 +0.080 $+6.00 62m
2026-06-20 20:21 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:28 2026-06-22 01:13 0.830 0.950 0.760 -0.070 $-12.00 1726m
2026-06-22 00:43 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-22 00:53 2026-06-22 00:54 0.964 0.917 0.920 -0.044 $+4.70 1m

Open Trades (3)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+2.70
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 06:10 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 06:18 0.163 0.146 0.120 -0.043 $+0.85 50m
2026-06-23 06:19 L1 0x9495d622… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 06:28 0.280 0.270 0.180 -0.100 $+0.50 40m
2026-06-23 06:47 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-23 06:58 0.173 0.146 0.120 -0.053 $+1.35 10m