Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-637.21
L1 Closed / Open
2141 / 25
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.30
L1 Win Rate
61%
L1 Avg Catchup
608m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-17 14:59 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 16:21 0.520 0.500 0.480 -0.040 $+1.00 72m
2026-06-17 15:03 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 16:21 0.520 0.500 0.480 -0.040 $+0.50 72m
2026-06-17 15:03 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 16:21 0.520 0.500 0.480 -0.040 $+2.00 72m
2026-06-17 15:00 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 16:21 0.520 0.500 0.480 -0.040 $+2.00 72m
2026-06-17 15:03 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 16:21 0.520 0.500 0.480 -0.040 $+2.00 72m
2026-06-17 15:03 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 16:21 0.520 0.500 0.480 -0.040 $+2.00 72m
2026-06-17 15:05 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 15:19 2026-06-17 16:21 0.290 0.270 0.250 -0.040 $+2.00 62m
2026-06-17 10:20 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 16:17 0.900 0.960 0.975 +0.075 $+6.00 349m
2026-06-17 10:19 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 16:17 0.920 0.960 0.967 +0.047 $+4.00 349m
2026-06-17 10:20 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 16:17 0.920 0.960 0.973 +0.053 $+4.00 349m
2026-06-17 10:20 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 16:17 0.920 0.960 0.973 +0.053 $+4.00 349m
2026-06-17 10:19 L1 0x35bbbad2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 16:17 0.910 0.960 0.964 +0.054 $+5.00 349m
2026-06-17 10:21 L1 0x35bbbad2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 16:17 0.910 0.960 0.979 +0.069 $+5.00 349m
2026-06-17 01:57 L1 0x35bbbad2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 02:06 2026-06-17 16:17 0.880 0.960 0.969 +0.089 $+4.00 850m
2026-06-16 23:37 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 23:45 2026-06-17 16:17 0.880 0.960 0.969 +0.089 $+8.00 991m
2026-06-16 22:15 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 22:22 2026-06-17 16:17 0.890 0.960 0.964 +0.074 $+1.75 1075m
2026-06-16 21:54 L1 0xf0ed9e68… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 22:13 2026-06-17 16:17 0.900 0.960 0.962 +0.062 $+3.00 1084m
2026-06-17 02:13 L1 0x35bbbad2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 02:26 2026-06-17 15:57 0.880 0.940 0.957 +0.077 $+1.50 811m
2026-06-17 02:18 L1 0x35bbbad2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 02:26 2026-06-17 15:57 0.880 0.940 0.957 +0.077 $+1.50 811m
2026-06-17 02:01 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 02:06 2026-06-17 15:57 0.770 0.920 0.931 +0.161 $+3.75 831m
2026-06-17 01:44 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 15:57 0.770 0.920 0.937 +0.167 $+7.50 840m
2026-06-17 01:39 L1 0xd087c72c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 01:47 2026-06-17 15:57 0.770 0.920 0.940 +0.170 $+15.00 850m
2026-06-16 22:30 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 22:40 2026-06-17 15:57 0.880 0.940 0.951 +0.071 $+6.00 1037m
2026-06-16 22:12 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 22:22 2026-06-17 15:57 0.890 0.940 0.958 +0.068 $+1.25 1055m
2026-06-16 21:54 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 22:13 2026-06-17 15:57 0.900 0.940 0.958 +0.058 $+4.00 1065m
2026-06-16 21:55 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 22:13 2026-06-17 15:57 0.900 0.940 0.958 +0.058 $+4.00 1065m
2026-06-16 17:46 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 18:00 2026-06-17 15:57 0.890 0.940 0.959 +0.069 $+5.00 1317m
2026-06-17 10:20 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 15:48 0.850 0.910 0.924 +0.074 $+6.00 310m
2026-06-17 15:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:38 2026-06-17 15:38 0.520 0.510 0.490 -0.030 $+0.25 1m
2026-06-17 15:28 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:38 2026-06-17 15:38 0.520 0.510 0.490 -0.030 $+0.25 1m
2026-06-17 15:03 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 15:09 2026-06-17 15:14 0.520 0.510 0.490 -0.030 $+0.50 5m
2026-06-17 11:07 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 14:03 0.530 0.470 0.470 -0.060 $+1.50 166m
2026-06-17 05:56 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 06:06 2026-06-17 14:03 0.720 0.470 0.450 -0.270 $+3.12 477m
2026-06-17 05:02 L2 0xe47439f4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 05:08 2026-06-17 14:03 0.720 0.470 0.470 -0.250 $+12.50 535m
2026-06-17 05:02 L1 0xa4bc3bbd… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 05:08 2026-06-17 14:03 0.720 0.470 0.450 -0.270 $+12.50 535m
2026-06-17 13:41 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 13:53 2026-06-17 13:58 0.510 0.480 0.470 -0.040 $+3.00 5m
2026-06-17 10:38 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 13:43 0.530 0.500 0.480 -0.050 $+1.50 176m
2026-06-17 10:38 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 13:43 0.530 0.500 0.480 -0.050 $+1.50 176m
2026-06-17 06:05 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 06:15 2026-06-17 13:43 0.720 0.500 0.480 -0.240 $+2.75 448m
2026-06-17 12:02 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 13:42 0.540 0.500 0.490 -0.050 $+4.00 87m
2026-06-17 13:22 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 13:33 2026-06-17 13:37 0.580 0.490 0.530 -0.050 $+9.00 4m
2026-06-17 13:27 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 13:33 2026-06-17 13:37 0.580 0.490 0.530 -0.050 $+9.00 4m
2026-06-17 10:20 L1 0xa9f2d6b4… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 13:14 0.900 0.770 0.959 +0.059 $-13.00 156m
2026-06-17 10:22 L1 0xa9f2d6b4… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 13:14 0.900 0.770 0.967 +0.067 $-13.00 156m
2026-06-17 10:20 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 13:14 0.900 0.770 0.955 +0.055 $-13.00 156m
2026-06-17 11:36 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 11:46 2026-06-17 13:13 0.870 0.770 0.976 +0.106 $-10.00 87m
2026-06-17 11:44 L1 0xdc83474b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 11:55 2026-06-17 13:12 0.870 0.770 0.992 +0.122 $-10.00 77m
2026-06-17 11:44 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 11:55 2026-06-17 13:12 0.870 0.770 0.976 +0.106 $-10.00 77m
2026-06-17 11:52 L1 0xfe41328c… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 12:05 2026-06-17 12:37 0.210 0.156 0.150 -0.060 $+2.70 32m
2026-06-17 11:52 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 12:05 2026-06-17 12:37 0.210 0.156 0.150 -0.060 $+2.70 32m
2026-06-17 12:07 L1 0xfe41328c… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 12:37 0.198 0.155 0.150 -0.048 $+4.30 22m
2026-06-17 12:24 L1 0x7bbf09fc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 12:34 2026-06-17 12:36 0.207 0.155 0.150 -0.057 $+2.60 2m
2026-06-17 12:24 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 12:34 2026-06-17 12:36 0.207 0.155 0.150 -0.057 $+2.60 2m
2026-06-17 11:01 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 12:19 0.910 0.810 0.972 +0.062 $-5.00 72m
2026-06-17 12:00 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 12:15 0.113 0.065 0.064 -0.049 $+2.40 1m
2026-06-17 10:28 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 12:05 0.910 0.810 0.972 +0.062 $-5.00 87m
2026-06-17 10:30 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 12:05 0.910 0.810 0.972 +0.062 $-10.00 87m
2026-06-17 10:29 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 12:05 0.910 0.810 0.972 +0.062 $-10.00 87m
2026-06-17 10:32 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 12:05 0.910 0.810 0.970 +0.060 $-10.00 87m
2026-06-17 10:32 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 12:05 0.910 0.810 0.972 +0.062 $-10.00 87m
2026-06-17 10:32 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 12:05 0.910 0.810 0.972 +0.062 $-10.00 87m
2026-06-17 11:10 L2 0xf9ac4c4e… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 11:44 0.730 0.630 0.984 +0.254 $-5.00 27m
2026-06-17 11:30 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:36 2026-06-17 11:42 0.770 0.510 0.979 +0.209 $-13.00 6m
2026-06-17 11:26 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:36 2026-06-17 11:42 0.770 0.510 0.979 +0.209 $-13.00 6m
2026-06-17 11:30 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:36 2026-06-17 11:42 0.770 0.510 0.979 +0.209 $-13.00 6m
2026-06-17 11:01 L1 0x8db4f2bc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 11:36 0.179 0.191 0.210 +0.031 $+1.20 19m
2026-06-17 10:31 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 11:30 0.530 0.560 0.580 +0.050 $+3.00 52m
2026-06-17 10:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 11:30 0.530 0.560 0.560 +0.030 $+3.00 52m
2026-06-17 11:19 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:26 2026-06-17 11:29 0.730 0.500 0.983 +0.253 $-11.50 3m
2026-06-17 11:17 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:26 2026-06-17 11:29 0.730 0.500 0.983 +0.253 $-11.50 3m
2026-06-17 11:20 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:26 2026-06-17 11:29 0.730 0.500 0.983 +0.253 $-11.50 3m
2026-06-17 11:20 L1 0x8db4f2bc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 11:26 2026-06-17 11:27 0.116 0.066 0.064 -0.052 $+2.50 1m
2026-06-17 10:56 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.976 +0.166 $-7.00 1m
2026-06-17 11:02 L1 0x68c24bf4… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.225 0.184 0.190 -0.035 $+4.10 1m
2026-06-17 10:55 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.976 +0.166 $-7.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:55 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.976 +0.166 $-3.50 1m
2026-06-17 11:00 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.978 +0.168 $-14.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:56 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.976 +0.166 $-7.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:59 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.976 +0.166 $-14.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:56 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.976 +0.166 $-14.00 1m
2026-06-17 11:01 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.978 +0.168 $-14.00 1m
2026-06-17 11:01 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-17 11:08 0.810 0.670 0.978 +0.168 $-14.00 1m
2026-06-17 09:46 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 09:58 2026-06-17 11:05 0.259 0.212 0.210 -0.049 $+4.70 67m
2026-06-17 10:12 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 10:18 2026-06-17 11:05 0.259 0.212 0.210 -0.049 $+4.70 47m
2026-06-17 10:12 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 10:18 2026-06-17 11:05 0.259 0.212 0.210 -0.049 $+4.70 47m
2026-06-17 10:48 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:57 2026-06-17 10:58 0.830 0.610 0.973 +0.143 $-22.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:52 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:57 2026-06-17 10:58 0.830 0.610 0.976 +0.146 $-22.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:52 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:57 2026-06-17 10:58 0.830 0.610 0.980 +0.150 $-22.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:43 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:57 2026-06-17 10:58 0.830 0.610 0.967 +0.137 $-22.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:52 L1 0x7bbf09fc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 10:57 2026-06-17 10:58 0.108 0.076 0.068 -0.040 $+1.60 1m
2026-06-17 10:43 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:57 2026-06-17 10:58 0.830 0.610 0.964 +0.134 $-22.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:33 L1 0xb6ce892d… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.830 0.600 0.986 +0.156 $-23.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:38 L1 0x4aa87d51… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.830 0.600 0.974 +0.144 $-23.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:39 L1 0x4aa87d51… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.830 0.600 0.975 +0.145 $-23.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:33 L1 0x7c3db723… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.830 0.600 0.985 +0.155 $-23.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:41 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.840 0.600 0.967 +0.127 $-6.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:42 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.840 0.600 0.967 +0.127 $-12.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:41 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.840 0.600 0.967 +0.127 $-12.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:41 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.840 0.600 0.967 +0.127 $-6.00 1m
2026-06-17 10:42 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 10:48 0.840 0.600 0.967 +0.127 $-24.00 1m

Open Trades (25)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+0.75
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 806m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 795m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 785m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 785m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.340 0.200 -0.130 $-0.50 541m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.340 0.190 -0.140 $-0.25 541m
2026-06-23 18:16 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 18:31 0.410 0.340 0.250 -0.160 $+3.50 441m
2026-06-23 18:16 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 18:31 0.410 0.340 0.240 -0.170 $+3.50 441m
2026-06-23 18:22 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 18:31 0.400 0.340 0.250 -0.150 $+3.00 441m
2026-06-23 18:16 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 18:31 0.400 0.340 0.250 -0.150 $+1.50 441m
2026-06-23 18:21 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 18:31 0.390 0.340 0.250 -0.140 $+2.50 441m
2026-06-23 18:21 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 18:31 0.390 0.340 0.250 -0.140 $+2.50 441m
2026-06-23 20:27 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 20:36 0.370 0.340 0.240 -0.130 $+1.50 316m
2026-06-24 01:04 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 01:13 0.300 0.340 0.250 -0.050 $-4.00 39m
2026-06-24 01:21 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 01:32 0.300 0.340 0.240 -0.060 $-4.00 20m
2026-06-24 01:30 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 01:42 0.290 0.340 0.240 -0.050 $-5.00 10m
2026-06-24 01:30 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 01:42 0.300 0.340 0.240 -0.060 $-4.00 10m
2026-06-24 01:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 01:52 0.140 0.120 0.090 -0.050 $+1.00 0m
2026-06-24 01:38 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 01:52 0.330 0.340 0.240 -0.090 $-0.50 0m