Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-577.46
L1 Closed / Open
2161 / 17
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.27
L1 Win Rate
61%
L1 Avg Catchup
604m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-17 08:17 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-17 08:21 2026-06-17 09:13 0.180 0.060 0.210 +0.030 $-12.00 52m
2026-06-17 08:45 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
NO 2026-06-17 09:00 2026-06-17 09:01 0.880 0.810 0.792 -0.088 $+7.00 1m
2026-06-17 08:46 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
NO 2026-06-17 09:00 2026-06-17 09:01 0.840 0.810 0.797 -0.043 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-17 08:46 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
NO 2026-06-17 09:00 2026-06-17 09:01 0.880 0.810 0.792 -0.088 $+7.00 1m
2026-06-17 06:34 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 06:44 2026-06-17 09:00 0.760 0.810 0.820 +0.060 $+1.25 136m
2026-06-17 06:18 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 06:25 2026-06-17 09:00 0.760 0.810 0.803 +0.043 $+2.50 156m
2026-06-17 06:08 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 06:15 2026-06-17 09:00 0.760 0.810 0.824 +0.064 $+2.50 165m
2026-06-17 06:08 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 06:15 2026-06-17 09:00 0.760 0.810 0.824 +0.064 $+5.00 165m
2026-06-17 05:10 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 05:17 2026-06-17 09:00 0.750 0.810 0.825 +0.075 $+6.00 223m
2026-06-17 03:40 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 09:00 0.270 0.510 0.370 +0.100 $+6.00 309m
2026-06-17 03:41 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 09:00 0.270 0.510 0.360 +0.090 $+6.00 309m
2026-06-17 01:58 L1 0xff9152ac… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 02:06 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.160 -0.130 $-2.75 414m
2026-06-17 01:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.150 -0.140 $-11.00 424m
2026-06-16 23:19 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 09:00 0.780 0.810 0.820 +0.040 $+3.00 574m
2026-06-16 23:21 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 09:00 0.780 0.810 0.830 +0.050 $+3.00 574m
2026-06-16 23:18 L1 0x7e80049e… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 09:00 0.780 0.810 0.820 +0.040 $+3.00 574m
2026-06-16 23:11 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 23:18 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.390 +0.100 $+2.75 583m
2026-06-16 22:27 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 22:40 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.410 +0.120 $+2.75 620m
2026-06-16 22:31 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 22:40 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.430 +0.140 $+5.50 620m
2026-06-16 22:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 22:40 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.430 +0.140 $+5.50 620m
2026-06-16 22:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 22:40 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.410 +0.120 $+5.50 620m
2026-06-16 22:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 22:40 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.410 +0.120 $+11.00 620m
2026-06-16 22:07 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 22:22 2026-06-17 09:00 0.780 0.810 0.810 +0.030 $+3.00 639m
2026-06-16 22:01 L1 0x5b242dc2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 22:13 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.417 +0.127 $+11.00 648m
2026-06-16 20:09 L1 0x6e4976c2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 20:20 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.360 +0.070 $+22.00 761m
2026-06-16 20:09 L1 0x6e4976c2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 20:20 2026-06-17 09:00 0.290 0.510 0.360 +0.070 $+22.00 761m
2026-06-16 18:31 L1 0xfa323e40… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:37 2026-06-17 09:00 0.270 0.510 0.350 +0.080 $+6.00 863m
2026-06-16 17:46 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:00 2026-06-17 09:00 0.270 0.510 0.370 +0.100 $+12.00 901m
2026-06-16 17:46 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 18:00 2026-06-17 09:00 0.790 0.810 0.830 +0.040 $+0.50 901m
2026-06-16 17:46 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:00 2026-06-17 09:00 0.270 0.510 0.380 +0.110 $+12.00 901m
2026-06-16 15:17 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 15:30 2026-06-17 09:00 0.240 0.510 0.360 +0.120 $+13.50 1050m
2026-06-16 15:22 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 15:30 2026-06-17 09:00 0.240 0.510 0.360 +0.120 $+13.50 1050m
2026-06-16 15:13 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 15:20 2026-06-17 09:00 0.240 0.510 0.360 +0.120 $+13.50 1060m
2026-06-16 15:06 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 15:11 2026-06-17 09:00 0.240 0.510 0.360 +0.120 $+13.50 1069m
2026-06-16 14:35 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 14:43 2026-06-17 09:00 0.790 0.810 0.830 +0.040 $+1.00 1097m
2026-06-16 14:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 14:43 2026-06-17 09:00 0.790 0.810 0.830 +0.040 $+2.00 1097m
2026-06-16 14:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 14:43 2026-06-17 09:00 0.790 0.810 0.830 +0.040 $+2.00 1097m
2026-06-16 14:35 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-16 14:43 2026-06-17 09:00 0.790 0.810 0.830 +0.040 $+2.00 1097m
2026-06-17 07:19 L1 0xf45748cb… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:33 2026-06-17 09:00 0.260 0.510 0.130 -0.130 $-12.50 87m
2026-06-17 07:19 L1 0xf45748cb… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:33 2026-06-17 09:00 0.260 0.510 0.133 -0.127 $-12.50 87m
2026-06-17 07:26 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:33 2026-06-17 09:00 0.270 0.510 0.140 -0.130 $-3.00 87m
2026-06-17 07:30 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:42 2026-06-17 08:59 0.260 0.510 0.150 -0.110 $-12.50 77m
2026-06-17 07:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:42 2026-06-17 08:59 0.260 0.510 0.160 -0.100 $-12.50 77m
2026-06-17 07:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:42 2026-06-17 08:59 0.260 0.510 0.160 -0.100 $-12.50 77m
2026-06-17 08:05 L1 0xe39783f9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 08:21 2026-06-17 08:58 0.240 0.510 0.210 -0.030 $-27.00 37m
2026-06-17 08:21 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.490 0.380 +0.050 $+16.00 27m
2026-06-17 08:21 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.490 0.390 +0.060 $+8.00 27m
2026-06-17 08:21 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.490 0.390 +0.060 $+16.00 27m
2026-06-17 08:21 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.490 0.380 +0.050 $+16.00 27m
2026-06-17 08:26 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.490 0.450 +0.120 $+8.00 27m
2026-06-17 08:22 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.490 0.420 +0.090 $+8.00 27m
2026-06-17 08:31 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:41 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.430 0.380 +0.050 $+5.00 17m
2026-06-17 08:30 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:41 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.430 0.390 +0.060 $+2.50 17m
2026-06-17 08:28 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:41 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.430 0.420 +0.090 $+1.25 17m
2026-06-17 08:31 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:41 2026-06-17 08:58 0.330 0.430 0.370 +0.040 $+5.00 17m
2026-06-17 08:45 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:58 0.320 0.420 0.390 +0.070 $+10.00 7m
2026-06-17 08:31 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:57 0.310 0.350 0.350 +0.040 $+2.00 6m
2026-06-17 08:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:57 0.310 0.350 0.350 +0.040 $+4.00 6m
2026-06-17 08:36 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:57 0.310 0.350 0.350 +0.040 $+4.00 6m
2026-06-17 08:37 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:57 0.310 0.350 0.350 +0.040 $+4.00 6m
2026-06-17 08:39 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:57 0.310 0.350 0.350 +0.040 $+4.00 6m
2026-06-17 08:37 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 08:57 0.310 0.350 0.350 +0.040 $+4.00 6m
2026-06-17 07:48 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 08:02 2026-06-17 08:49 0.580 0.530 0.510 -0.070 $+5.00 47m
2026-06-17 08:15 L1 0xe39783f9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 08:31 2026-06-17 08:42 0.330 0.300 0.290 -0.040 $+3.00 11m
2026-06-17 08:22 L1 0x9cb35555… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 08:41 2026-06-17 08:41 0.102 0.083 0.072 -0.030 $+0.95 1m
2026-06-17 03:41 L1 0xd426adbc… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 08:31 0.270 0.320 0.310 +0.040 $+1.25 280m
2026-06-17 03:41 L1 0xd426adbc… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 08:31 0.270 0.320 0.310 +0.040 $+1.25 280m
2026-06-16 20:09 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 20:20 2026-06-17 08:31 0.290 0.320 0.330 +0.040 $+3.00 731m
2026-06-16 18:13 L1 0xd426adbc… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:19 2026-06-17 08:31 0.270 0.320 0.330 +0.060 $+5.00 852m
2026-06-16 18:13 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:19 2026-06-17 08:31 0.270 0.320 0.340 +0.070 $+2.50 852m
2026-06-16 18:13 L1 0x215adbb6… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:19 2026-06-17 08:31 0.270 0.320 0.330 +0.060 $+5.00 852m
2026-06-16 16:03 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 16:17 2026-06-17 08:31 0.240 0.320 0.330 +0.090 $+1.00 974m
2026-06-16 16:04 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 16:17 2026-06-17 08:31 0.240 0.320 0.330 +0.090 $+1.00 974m
2026-06-16 16:07 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 16:17 2026-06-17 08:31 0.240 0.320 0.330 +0.090 $+2.00 974m
2026-06-16 16:11 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 16:17 2026-06-17 08:31 0.240 0.320 0.330 +0.090 $+2.00 974m
2026-06-16 15:58 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 16:07 2026-06-17 08:31 0.240 0.320 0.330 +0.090 $+2.00 984m
2026-06-16 16:00 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 16:07 2026-06-17 08:31 0.240 0.320 0.330 +0.090 $+4.00 984m
2026-06-17 07:49 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 08:02 2026-06-17 08:29 0.200 0.320 0.140 -0.060 $-6.00 27m
2026-06-17 07:57 L1 0x6e4976c2… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 08:02 2026-06-17 08:29 0.200 0.320 0.150 -0.050 $-6.00 27m
2026-06-17 07:57 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 08:02 2026-06-17 08:29 0.200 0.320 0.150 -0.050 $-6.00 27m
2026-06-17 06:12 L1 0x9def9524… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 06:25 2026-06-17 08:27 0.760 0.780 0.800 +0.040 $+1.00 122m
2026-06-17 06:47 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 06:54 2026-06-17 08:26 0.760 0.780 0.800 +0.040 $+0.50 92m
2026-06-17 07:57 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 08:02 2026-06-17 08:02 0.200 0.190 0.170 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-17 07:03 L1 0xe39783f9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:14 2026-06-17 07:56 0.270 0.190 0.210 -0.060 $+2.00 42m
2026-06-17 06:59 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:14 2026-06-17 07:56 0.270 0.190 0.210 -0.060 $+4.00 42m
2026-06-17 07:07 L1 0xe39783f9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:14 2026-06-17 07:56 0.270 0.190 0.210 -0.060 $+2.00 42m
2026-06-17 07:07 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:14 2026-06-17 07:56 0.270 0.190 0.200 -0.070 $+2.00 42m
2026-06-17 04:33 L1 0xf0d5eb1c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 04:39 2026-06-17 07:52 0.270 0.190 0.202 -0.068 $+4.00 193m
2026-06-17 01:44 L1 0x7e80049e… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.180 -0.110 $+2.50 356m
2026-06-17 01:47 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.210 -0.080 $+2.50 356m
2026-06-17 01:47 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.200 -0.090 $+2.50 356m
2026-06-17 01:47 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.200 -0.090 $+5.00 356m
2026-06-17 01:47 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.210 -0.080 $+5.00 356m
2026-06-17 01:47 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.200 -0.090 $+5.00 356m
2026-06-17 01:50 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 07:52 0.290 0.190 0.180 -0.110 $+5.00 356m
2026-06-16 21:40 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.360 +0.050 $-12.00 599m
2026-06-16 21:48 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.180 -0.130 $+6.00 599m
2026-06-16 21:25 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:44 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.460 +0.150 $-6.00 608m
2026-06-16 21:34 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:44 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.380 +0.070 $-12.00 608m
2026-06-16 21:34 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:44 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.370 +0.060 $-12.00 608m

Open Trades (17)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+3.85
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1029m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1019m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1009m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1009m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.280 0.200 -0.130 $+2.50 765m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.280 0.190 -0.140 $+1.25 765m
2026-06-24 01:56 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 02:01 0.330 0.280 0.210 -0.120 $+2.50 214m
2026-06-24 03:10 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 03:19 0.270 0.280 0.220 -0.050 $-1.00 136m
2026-06-24 03:18 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 03:29 0.270 0.280 0.230 -0.040 $-1.00 127m
2026-06-24 03:18 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 03:29 0.270 0.280 0.210 -0.060 $-1.00 127m
2026-06-24 04:33 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 04:46 0.199 0.193 0.150 -0.049 $+0.60 50m