Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-570.26
L1 Closed / Open
2163 / 16
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.26
L1 Win Rate
61%
L1 Avg Catchup
604m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-16 21:34 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:44 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.380 +0.070 $-12.00 608m
2026-06-16 21:34 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:44 2026-06-17 07:52 0.310 0.190 0.370 +0.060 $-12.00 608m
2026-06-16 21:26 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:35 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.430 +0.130 $-1.37 618m
2026-06-16 21:30 L1 0xb40e8967… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:35 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.370 +0.070 $-2.75 618m
2026-06-16 21:14 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.380 +0.080 $-2.75 627m
2026-06-16 21:14 L1 0xa6b7ebd5… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.380 +0.080 $-2.75 627m
2026-06-16 21:14 L1 0xf0d5eb1c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.380 +0.080 $-2.75 627m
2026-06-16 21:14 L1 0xf0d5eb1c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.445 +0.145 $-5.50 627m
2026-06-16 21:13 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.360 +0.060 $-11.00 627m
2026-06-16 21:13 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.370 +0.070 $-11.00 627m
2026-06-16 21:14 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.380 +0.080 $-5.50 627m
2026-06-16 21:16 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 21:25 2026-06-17 07:52 0.300 0.190 0.390 +0.090 $-5.50 627m
2026-06-17 06:51 L1 0x4afac1fa… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:04 2026-06-17 07:51 0.270 0.190 0.200 -0.070 $+2.00 47m
2026-06-17 06:55 L1 0x4afac1fa… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:04 2026-06-17 07:51 0.270 0.190 0.201 -0.069 $+4.00 47m
2026-06-17 06:58 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:04 2026-06-17 07:36 0.270 0.240 0.220 -0.050 $+3.00 32m
2026-06-17 07:27 L1 0x8db4f2bc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 07:33 2026-06-17 07:33 0.114 0.081 0.067 -0.047 $+1.65 1m
2026-06-17 04:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 04:39 2026-06-17 07:33 0.270 0.240 0.230 -0.040 $+3.00 173m
2026-06-17 02:02 L1 0xeec50ede… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 02:16 2026-06-17 07:33 0.290 0.240 0.220 -0.070 $+1.25 317m
2026-06-17 06:58 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 07:04 2026-06-17 07:31 0.270 0.250 0.230 -0.040 $+2.00 27m
2026-06-17 07:15 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
NO 2026-06-17 07:23 2026-06-17 07:24 0.770 0.750 0.732 -0.038 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-17 06:47 L1 0x8db4f2bc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 06:54 2026-06-17 06:55 0.111 0.081 0.066 -0.045 $+1.50 1m
2026-06-17 04:59 L2 0xe47439f4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 05:08 2026-06-17 06:45 0.720 0.520 0.576 -0.144 $+20.00 97m
2026-06-17 00:50 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 01:00 2026-06-17 06:45 0.710 0.520 0.590 -0.120 $+4.75 344m
2026-06-17 00:50 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 01:00 2026-06-17 06:45 0.710 0.520 0.590 -0.120 $+4.75 344m
2026-06-16 23:54 L1 0xc722c1a1… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 00:04 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.650 -0.060 $+4.75 400m
2026-06-16 23:48 L1 0xc722c1a1… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:55 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.660 -0.050 $+4.75 410m
2026-06-16 23:39 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:45 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.660 -0.050 $+9.50 419m
2026-06-16 23:24 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:36 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.658 -0.052 $+9.50 428m
2026-06-16 23:14 L1 0xc722c1a1… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.660 -0.050 $+19.00 438m
2026-06-16 23:21 L1 0xc722c1a1… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.660 -0.050 $+19.00 438m
2026-06-16 23:21 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.660 -0.050 $+19.00 438m
2026-06-16 22:39 L1 0xc722c1a1… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 22:50 2026-06-17 06:44 0.710 0.520 0.660 -0.050 $+19.00 475m
2026-06-17 04:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 04:39 2026-06-17 06:41 0.730 0.520 0.630 -0.100 $+21.00 122m
2026-06-17 04:26 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 04:39 2026-06-17 06:41 0.730 0.520 0.630 -0.100 $+21.00 122m
2026-06-17 04:35 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 04:39 2026-06-17 06:41 0.730 0.520 0.610 -0.120 $+21.00 122m
2026-06-17 04:14 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-17 04:20 2026-06-17 06:17 0.190 0.230 0.250 +0.060 $+2.00 117m
2026-06-17 04:20 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-17 04:30 2026-06-17 06:17 0.190 0.230 0.250 +0.060 $+2.00 107m
2026-06-17 03:51 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-17 04:01 2026-06-17 06:15 0.190 0.230 0.250 +0.060 $+2.00 134m
2026-06-17 04:17 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 04:30 2026-06-17 05:32 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+0.75 62m
2026-06-17 03:40 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+3.00 97m
2026-06-17 03:40 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+1.50 97m
2026-06-17 03:42 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+3.00 97m
2026-06-17 03:41 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+3.00 97m
2026-06-17 03:44 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 03:51 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.350 +0.040 $+3.00 97m
2026-06-17 03:30 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 03:41 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+3.00 107m
2026-06-17 03:51 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 04:01 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+1.50 87m
2026-06-17 03:52 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 04:01 2026-06-17 05:28 0.310 0.340 0.340 +0.030 $+1.50 87m
2026-06-16 21:46 L1 0x9a3fa403… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 05:17 0.940 0.840 0.971 +0.031 $-10.00 444m
2026-06-16 21:48 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 05:17 0.940 0.840 0.978 +0.038 $-10.00 444m
2026-06-16 21:48 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 05:17 0.940 0.840 0.986 +0.046 $-10.00 444m
2026-06-16 21:48 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 05:17 0.940 0.840 0.978 +0.038 $-10.00 444m
2026-06-16 21:48 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-16 21:53 2026-06-17 05:17 0.940 0.840 0.978 +0.038 $-10.00 444m
2026-06-16 20:58 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 21:07 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.310 +0.070 $-1.37 453m
2026-06-16 20:53 L1 0xcd9607c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 21:07 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.280 +0.040 $-2.75 453m
2026-06-16 20:56 L1 0xcd9607c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 21:07 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.290 +0.050 $-5.50 453m
2026-06-16 20:56 L1 0xcd9607c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 21:07 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.305 +0.065 $-2.75 453m
2026-06-16 20:58 L1 0xcd9607c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 21:07 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.280 +0.040 $-5.50 453m
2026-06-16 20:50 L1 0xcd9607c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 20:57 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.286 +0.046 $-11.00 462m
2026-06-16 20:50 L1 0xcd9607c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 20:57 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.280 +0.040 $-11.00 462m
2026-06-16 19:05 L1 0x9495d622… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 19:15 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.350 +0.110 $-5.50 565m
2026-06-16 19:05 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 19:15 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.350 +0.110 $-5.50 565m
2026-06-16 19:05 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-16 19:15 2026-06-17 04:39 0.240 0.130 0.350 +0.110 $-5.50 565m
2026-06-16 22:22 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 22:31 2026-06-17 02:54 0.280 0.300 0.320 +0.040 $+2.00 263m
2026-06-16 23:50 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-16 23:55 2026-06-17 00:27 0.249 0.221 0.210 -0.039 $+2.80 32m
2026-06-16 23:21 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:27 2026-06-17 00:19 0.710 0.690 0.670 -0.040 $+2.00 52m
2026-06-16 23:24 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-16 23:36 2026-06-17 00:18 0.710 0.690 0.670 -0.040 $+1.00 42m
2026-06-16 20:07 L1 0x7e80049e… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
NO 2026-06-16 20:20 2026-06-16 22:59 0.790 0.760 0.740 -0.050 $+3.00 159m
2026-06-16 18:13 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-16 18:19 2026-06-16 21:44 0.270 0.300 0.310 +0.040 $+1.50 205m
2026-06-16 20:13 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
NO 2026-06-16 20:20 2026-06-16 20:20 0.790 0.780 0.760 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-16 17:20 L1 0x9def9524… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 17:32 2026-06-16 17:59 0.250 0.280 0.290 +0.040 $+3.00 27m
2026-06-16 17:34 L1 0x9def9524… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 17:41 2026-06-16 17:58 0.250 0.280 0.290 +0.040 $+3.00 17m
2026-06-16 17:30 L1 0x9def9524… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 17:41 2026-06-16 17:58 0.250 0.280 0.290 +0.040 $+3.00 17m
2026-06-16 17:39 L1 0x9def9524… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 17:50 2026-06-16 17:57 0.250 0.280 0.290 +0.040 $+1.50 7m
2026-06-16 17:01 L1 0x9def9524… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 17:13 2026-06-16 17:55 0.250 0.270 0.290 +0.040 $+2.00 42m
2026-06-16 17:40 L1 0x9def9524… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-16 17:50 2026-06-16 17:54 0.250 0.270 0.290 +0.040 $+2.00 4m
2026-06-16 15:03 L1 0xed19489c… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:11 2026-06-16 16:53 0.640 0.670 0.690 +0.050 $+3.00 102m
2026-06-16 15:06 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:11 2026-06-16 16:13 0.640 0.660 0.680 +0.040 $+2.00 62m
2026-06-16 15:02 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:11 2026-06-16 16:13 0.640 0.660 0.680 +0.040 $+2.00 62m
2026-06-16 15:19 L1 0x870535b3… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:30 2026-06-16 16:12 0.620 0.660 0.670 +0.050 $+4.00 42m
2026-06-16 15:17 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:30 2026-06-16 16:12 0.620 0.660 0.680 +0.060 $+4.00 42m
2026-06-16 15:17 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:30 2026-06-16 16:12 0.620 0.660 0.680 +0.060 $+4.00 42m
2026-06-16 15:17 L1 0xed19489c… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 15:30 2026-06-16 16:12 0.620 0.660 0.680 +0.060 $+4.00 42m
2026-06-16 14:05 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 14:15 2026-06-16 16:12 0.630 0.660 0.680 +0.050 $+3.00 117m
2026-06-16 14:02 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 14:15 2026-06-16 16:12 0.630 0.660 0.680 +0.050 $+3.00 117m
2026-06-16 14:24 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-16 14:34 2026-06-16 16:11 0.630 0.660 0.680 +0.050 $+3.00 97m
2026-06-13 04:41 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-13 04:55 2026-06-13 04:55 0.202 0.175 0.160 -0.042 $+2.70 1m
2026-06-12 21:47 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 22:02 2026-06-12 22:02 0.064 0.039 0.033 -0.031 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-12 21:49 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 22:02 2026-06-12 22:02 0.064 0.039 0.033 -0.031 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-12 14:49 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 15:00 2026-06-12 15:00 0.209 0.168 0.150 -0.059 $+2.05 1m
2026-06-12 13:12 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 13:24 2026-06-12 14:16 0.190 0.161 0.150 -0.040 $+2.90 52m
2026-06-12 12:09 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 12:18 2026-06-12 14:15 0.190 0.161 0.150 -0.040 $+2.90 117m
2026-06-12 12:09 L1 0x7bbf09fc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 12:18 2026-06-12 14:15 0.190 0.161 0.150 -0.040 $+2.90 117m
2026-06-12 14:02 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 14:13 2026-06-12 14:15 0.209 0.161 0.150 -0.059 $+2.40 2m
2026-06-12 12:59 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 13:05 2026-06-12 13:06 0.078 0.037 0.039 -0.039 $+2.05 1m
2026-06-12 11:57 L1 0xe23b2940… KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NO 2026-06-12 12:09 2026-06-12 12:36 0.160 0.130 0.120 -0.040 $+1.50 27m
2026-06-12 11:57 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NO 2026-06-12 12:09 2026-06-12 12:09 0.160 0.150 0.130 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-12 11:03 L1 0x7bbf09fc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 11:13 2026-06-12 11:13 0.078 0.046 0.042 -0.036 $+1.60 1m
2026-06-12 11:03 L1 0x7bbf09fc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 11:13 2026-06-12 11:13 0.078 0.046 0.042 -0.036 $+1.60 1m
2026-06-12 10:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAEXPANDTERRITORY-27JAN01
will-us-annex-any-territory-in-2026
Will US annex any territory in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 10:44 2026-06-12 10:45 0.120 0.083 0.090 -0.030 $+1.85 1m
2026-06-12 08:25 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-12 08:31 2026-06-12 08:41 0.210 0.159 0.150 -0.060 $+2.55 10m

Open Trades (16)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$-18.00
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1089m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1079m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1069m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1069m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.330 0.200 -0.130 $+0.00 825m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.330 0.190 -0.140 $+0.00 825m
2026-06-24 01:56 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 02:01 0.330 0.330 0.210 -0.120 $+0.00 274m
2026-06-24 03:10 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 03:19 0.270 0.330 0.220 -0.050 $-6.00 197m
2026-06-24 03:18 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 03:29 0.270 0.330 0.230 -0.040 $-6.00 187m
2026-06-24 03:18 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 03:29 0.270 0.330 0.210 -0.060 $-6.00 187m