Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-1127.26
L1 Closed / Open
2296 / 37
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.49
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
572m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked — for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-01 01:16 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 01:23 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.510 +0.100 $-11.00 2356m
2026-06-01 01:05 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 01:14 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.510 +0.100 $-11.00 2364m
2026-06-01 01:11 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 01:14 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.510 +0.100 $-11.00 2364m
2026-05-31 20:20 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:29 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.520 +0.110 $-11.00 2649m
2026-05-31 20:13 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:22 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.520 +0.110 $-11.00 2657m
2026-05-31 20:14 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:22 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.520 +0.110 $-11.00 2657m
2026-05-31 20:00 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:05 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.520 +0.110 $-11.00 2674m
2026-05-31 19:34 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 19:40 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.520 +0.110 $-11.00 2698m
2026-05-31 19:36 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 19:40 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.520 +0.110 $-11.00 2698m
2026-05-31 17:31 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:42 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.500 +0.090 $-11.00 2816m
2026-05-31 17:29 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:33 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.500 +0.090 $-11.00 2825m
2026-05-31 17:13 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:24 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.500 +0.090 $-11.00 2835m
2026-05-31 17:02 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:15 2026-06-02 16:38 0.410 0.300 0.500 +0.090 $-11.00 2843m
2026-05-31 16:55 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:06 2026-06-02 16:38 0.400 0.300 0.500 +0.100 $-10.00 2852m
2026-05-31 16:56 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:06 2026-06-02 16:38 0.400 0.300 0.500 +0.100 $-10.00 2852m
2026-05-31 16:57 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:06 2026-06-02 16:38 0.400 0.300 0.500 +0.100 $-10.00 2852m
2026-05-31 16:57 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 17:06 2026-06-02 16:38 0.400 0.300 0.500 +0.100 $-10.00 2852m
2026-05-31 16:40 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:47 2026-06-02 16:38 0.400 0.300 0.510 +0.110 $-10.00 2872m
2026-06-01 10:46 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:55 2026-06-02 13:33 0.260 0.010 0.540 +0.280 $-12.50 1598m
2026-06-01 10:12 L1 0x5874f18a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:24 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.420 +0.190 $-22.00 1629m
2026-06-01 10:03 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:13 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.430 +0.200 $-22.00 1640m
2026-06-01 08:29 L1 0xfc2f4f50… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 08:44 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.420 +0.190 $-22.00 1729m
2026-06-01 08:31 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 08:44 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.560 +0.330 $-5.50 1729m
2026-06-01 08:20 L1 0xfc2f4f50… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 08:34 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.420 +0.170 $-24.00 1739m
2026-06-01 08:20 L1 0xfc2f4f50… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 08:34 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.420 +0.170 $-24.00 1739m
2026-06-01 08:22 L1 0xfc2f4f50… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 08:34 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.420 +0.170 $-24.00 1739m
2026-06-01 08:27 L1 0xfc2f4f50… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 08:34 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.420 +0.170 $-24.00 1739m
2026-06-01 07:43 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:59 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.580 +0.330 $-6.00 1774m
2026-06-01 07:43 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:59 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.580 +0.330 $-6.00 1774m
2026-06-01 07:48 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:59 2026-06-02 13:33 0.250 0.010 0.580 +0.330 $-6.00 1774m
2026-06-01 07:36 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:48 2026-06-02 13:33 0.240 0.010 0.590 +0.350 $-5.75 1785m
2026-06-01 07:27 L1 0x5e73afb2… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:37 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.410 +0.180 $-22.00 1796m
2026-06-01 07:27 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:37 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.580 +0.350 $-5.50 1796m
2026-06-01 07:27 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:37 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.590 +0.360 $-5.50 1796m
2026-06-01 07:28 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:37 2026-06-02 13:33 0.230 0.010 0.590 +0.360 $-5.50 1796m
2026-06-01 07:20 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:27 2026-06-02 13:33 0.240 0.010 0.560 +0.320 $-5.75 1806m
2026-06-01 04:48 L2 0xc90240c2… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:00 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.500 +0.190 $-30.00 1953m
2026-06-01 04:47 L1 0x5e73afb2… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 04:51 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.480 +0.170 $-30.00 1962m
2026-06-01 03:29 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 03:38 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.510 +0.210 $-14.50 2035m
2026-06-01 02:30 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 02:37 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.520 +0.220 $-14.50 2096m
2026-06-01 01:59 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 02:08 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.530 +0.230 $-14.50 2125m
2026-06-01 01:31 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 01:41 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.520 +0.220 $-14.50 2151m
2026-06-01 01:04 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 01:14 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.510 +0.210 $-14.50 2179m
2026-06-01 00:46 L2 0x8a4e8f6e… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 00:50 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.496 +0.196 $-29.00 2203m
2026-06-01 00:46 L1 0xbacd00c9… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 00:50 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.500 +0.200 $-14.50 2203m
2026-05-31 23:43 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 23:51 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.460 +0.160 $-29.00 2262m
2026-05-31 21:32 L1 0x40cfb294… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 21:36 2026-06-02 13:33 0.300 0.010 0.520 +0.220 $-14.50 2397m
2026-05-31 21:10 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 21:21 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2412m
2026-05-31 20:54 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 21:04 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2429m
2026-05-31 20:50 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:54 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2439m
2026-05-31 20:37 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:47 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2446m
2026-05-31 20:22 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:29 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2464m
2026-05-31 20:26 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:29 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2464m
2026-05-31 20:09 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 20:13 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2480m
2026-05-31 19:48 L1 0xcca90a5d… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 19:56 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2496m
2026-05-31 18:21 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 18:25 2026-06-02 13:33 0.310 0.010 0.460 +0.150 $-30.00 2587m
2026-05-31 16:40 L1 0x8e4f8d29… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:47 2026-06-02 13:33 0.290 0.010 0.440 +0.150 $-28.00 2686m
2026-05-31 16:35 L1 0x5874f18a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:47 2026-06-02 13:33 0.290 0.010 0.550 +0.260 $-14.00 2686m
2026-05-31 16:35 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:38 2026-06-02 13:33 0.280 0.010 0.520 +0.240 $-13.50 2695m
2026-05-31 16:35 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:38 2026-06-02 13:33 0.280 0.010 0.530 +0.250 $-13.50 2695m
2026-05-31 16:35 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:38 2026-06-02 13:33 0.280 0.010 0.480 +0.200 $-27.00 2695m
2026-05-31 16:26 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 16:29 2026-06-02 13:33 0.280 0.010 0.490 +0.210 $-13.50 2704m
2026-05-31 15:14 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 		YES 2026-05-31 15:27 2026-06-02 13:33 0.550 0.450 0.740 +0.190 $-10.00 2765m
2026-05-31 15:14 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-31 15:27 2026-06-02 13:33 0.290 0.010 0.520 +0.230 $-14.00 2765m
2026-05-31 15:14 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 		YES 2026-05-31 15:27 2026-06-02 13:33 0.550 0.450 0.750 +0.200 $-10.00 2765m
2026-05-31 16:28 L1 0xa3ee2ddf… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 		YES 2026-05-31 16:38 2026-06-02 13:14 0.560 0.460 0.750 +0.190 $-10.00 2676m
2026-06-01 05:56 L1 0x0c0e270c… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 06:08 2026-06-02 08:53 0.420 0.310 0.520 +0.100 $-11.00 1606m
2026-06-01 05:48 L1 0x0c0e270c… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:58 2026-06-02 08:53 0.420 0.310 0.520 +0.100 $-11.00 1616m
2026-06-01 05:45 L1 0x8a98109f… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:58 2026-06-02 08:53 0.420 0.310 0.470 +0.050 $-11.00 1616m
2026-06-01 05:44 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:58 2026-06-02 08:53 0.420 0.310 0.530 +0.110 $-11.00 1616m
2026-06-01 05:44 L1 0x0c0e270c… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:48 2026-06-02 08:53 0.420 0.310 0.520 +0.100 $-11.00 1625m
2026-06-01 05:38 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:48 2026-06-02 08:53 0.420 0.310 0.510 +0.090 $-11.00 1625m
2026-06-02 03:04 L1 0x5235578e… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 		NO 2026-06-02 03:12 2026-06-02 03:13 0.180 0.150 0.150 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-01 18:49 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 		NO 2026-06-01 18:53 2026-06-01 19:10 0.180 0.150 0.150 -0.030 $+3.00 17m
2026-06-01 15:53 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? 		NO 2026-06-01 16:04 2026-06-01 16:05 0.170 0.160 0.140 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-01 15:00 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? 		NO 2026-06-01 15:10 2026-06-01 15:11 0.170 0.160 0.140 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-01 09:03 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 		NO 2026-06-01 09:20 2026-06-01 14:44 0.190 0.160 0.150 -0.040 $+3.00 324m
2026-06-01 09:01 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 		NO 2026-06-01 09:09 2026-06-01 14:44 0.190 0.160 0.150 -0.040 $+3.00 335m
2026-06-01 07:44 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 		NO 2026-06-01 07:59 2026-06-01 14:44 0.180 0.160 0.150 -0.030 $+2.00 405m
2026-06-01 07:25 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay? 		NO 2026-06-01 07:37 2026-06-01 14:44 0.180 0.160 0.150 -0.030 $+2.00 427m
2026-06-01 10:50 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:55 2026-06-01 11:17 0.870 0.600 0.987 +0.117 $-27.00 22m
2026-06-01 10:40 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:55 2026-06-01 11:17 0.870 0.600 0.987 +0.117 $-27.00 22m
2026-06-01 10:41 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:55 2026-06-01 11:17 0.870 0.600 0.987 +0.117 $-27.00 22m
2026-06-01 10:39 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:45 2026-06-01 11:17 0.870 0.600 0.985 +0.115 $-27.00 32m
2026-06-01 10:40 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:45 2026-06-01 11:17 0.870 0.600 0.987 +0.117 $-27.00 32m
2026-06-01 10:55 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 11:06 2026-06-01 11:15 0.870 0.590 0.987 +0.117 $-28.00 9m
2026-06-01 10:54 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 11:06 2026-06-01 11:15 0.870 0.590 0.987 +0.117 $-28.00 9m
2026-06-01 10:55 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 11:06 2026-06-01 11:15 0.870 0.590 0.987 +0.117 $-28.00 9m
2026-06-01 10:10 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:24 2026-06-01 10:24 0.870 0.770 0.985 +0.115 $-10.00 1m
2026-06-01 10:11 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:24 2026-06-01 10:24 0.870 0.770 0.985 +0.115 $-10.00 1m
2026-06-01 10:17 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:24 2026-06-01 10:24 0.870 0.770 0.985 +0.115 $-10.00 1m
2026-06-01 10:18 L1 0x93511d72… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26MAY31-T20
will-20-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-on-any-day-by-may-31
Will 20 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz on any day by May 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 10:24 2026-06-01 10:24 0.870 0.770 0.985 +0.115 $-10.00 1m
2026-06-01 08:33 L1 0xa6b7ebd5… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026? 		NO 2026-06-01 08:44 2026-06-01 08:45 0.190 0.160 0.144 -0.046 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-01 07:21 L1 0x56d9a144… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 07:27 2026-06-01 08:34 0.340 0.370 0.380 +0.040 $+3.00 67m
2026-06-01 05:08 L1 0x5e73afb2… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26AUG
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-july-31
US-Iran nuclear deal by July 31? 		YES 2026-06-01 05:21 2026-06-01 07:37 0.320 0.220 0.480 +0.160 $-10.00 136m
2026-05-30 15:40 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-30 15:46 2026-06-01 07:27 0.440 0.330 0.520 +0.080 $-11.00 2380m
2026-05-30 14:32 L1 0x5a1c1697… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-30 14:35 2026-06-01 07:27 0.440 0.330 0.480 +0.040 $-11.00 2452m
2026-05-30 14:09 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-30 14:12 2026-06-01 07:27 0.440 0.330 0.500 +0.060 $-11.00 2474m
2026-05-30 14:09 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-30 14:12 2026-06-01 07:27 0.440 0.330 0.510 +0.070 $-11.00 2474m
2026-05-30 13:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31? 		YES 2026-05-30 14:04 2026-06-01 07:27 0.440 0.330 0.500 +0.060 $-11.00 2482m

Open Trades (37)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+34.40
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1481m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1471m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1461m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026? 		YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1461m
2026-06-24 09:36 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.550 0.320 -0.200 $-1.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.550 0.320 -0.200 $-1.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.550 0.320 -0.200 $-1.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:33 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.550 0.320 -0.200 $-1.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.550 0.320 -0.200 $-1.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.550 0.690 +0.190 $+2.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.550 0.690 +0.190 $+2.50 198m
2026-06-24 09:53 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.550 0.420 -0.190 $+3.00 188m
2026-06-24 09:51 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.550 0.420 -0.190 $+3.00 188m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.550 0.410 -0.200 $+3.00 188m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.550 0.410 -0.200 $+1.50 188m
2026-06-24 09:49 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.550 0.360 -0.250 $+1.50 188m
2026-06-24 09:47 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.550 0.360 -0.250 $+1.50 188m
2026-06-24 09:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.270 0.220 -0.190 $+3.50 188m
2026-06-24 09:41 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.270 0.220 -0.190 $+3.50 188m
2026-06-24 10:01 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:10 0.182 0.165 0.140 -0.042 $+1.70 178m
2026-06-24 09:57 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26? 		YES 2026-06-24 10:10 0.350 0.270 0.470 +0.120 $-4.00 178m
2026-06-24 10:07 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.179 0.165 0.130 -0.049 $+0.70 168m
2026-06-24 10:12 L1 0x9f66aa95… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.640 0.550 0.355 -0.285 $+4.50 168m
2026-06-24 10:32 L1 0xc6dd7225… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 10:40 0.590 0.550 0.350 -0.240 $+2.00 148m
2026-06-24 11:16 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		YES 2026-06-24 11:30 0.510 0.550 0.630 +0.120 $+4.00 98m
2026-06-24 12:03 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 12:09 0.590 0.550 0.410 -0.180 $+2.00 58m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.550 0.410 -0.200 $+1.50 48m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.550 0.410 -0.200 $+1.50 48m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.550 0.410 -0.200 $+0.75 48m
2026-06-24 12:13 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.550 0.400 -0.210 $+0.75 48m
2026-06-24 12:45 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1? 		NO 2026-06-24 12:59 0.570 0.550 0.410 -0.160 $+1.00 9m