Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-878.91
L1 Closed / Open
1992 / 1
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.44
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
648m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-21 15:28 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:39 2026-06-21 15:40 0.942 0.922 0.910 -0.032 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 15:33 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:39 2026-06-21 15:40 0.942 0.922 0.910 -0.032 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 15:33 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:39 2026-06-21 15:40 0.942 0.922 0.910 -0.032 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 15:33 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:39 2026-06-21 15:40 0.942 0.922 0.910 -0.032 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 15:33 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:39 2026-06-21 15:40 0.942 0.922 0.910 -0.032 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 13:36 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:47 2026-06-21 15:34 0.640 0.520 0.500 -0.140 $+12.00 107m
2026-06-21 14:57 L1 0xcb59ea1b… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:17 2026-06-21 15:17 0.946 0.904 0.900 -0.046 $+4.20 1m
2026-06-21 15:04 L1 0xcb59ea1b… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:17 2026-06-21 15:17 0.946 0.904 0.900 -0.046 $+4.20 1m
2026-06-21 15:12 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 15:17 2026-06-21 15:17 0.944 0.904 0.900 -0.044 $+4.00 1m
2026-06-21 14:24 L1 0x506f3851… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 14:37 2026-06-21 14:41 0.620 0.540 0.530 -0.090 $+8.00 4m
2026-06-21 14:23 L1 0x506f3851… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 14:37 2026-06-21 14:41 0.620 0.540 0.530 -0.090 $+8.00 4m
2026-06-21 14:28 L1 0x506f3851… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 14:37 2026-06-21 14:41 0.620 0.540 0.530 -0.090 $+8.00 4m
2026-06-21 12:59 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:06 2026-06-21 14:29 0.610 0.540 0.520 -0.090 $+7.00 82m
2026-06-21 12:52 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:06 2026-06-21 14:29 0.630 0.540 0.520 -0.110 $+9.00 82m
2026-06-21 13:01 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:06 2026-06-21 14:29 0.630 0.540 0.520 -0.110 $+9.00 82m
2026-06-21 12:52 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:07 2026-06-21 14:29 0.630 0.540 0.520 -0.110 $+9.00 82m
2026-06-21 12:59 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:06 2026-06-21 14:29 0.610 0.540 0.530 -0.080 $+7.00 82m
2026-06-21 13:10 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 13:17 2026-06-21 14:29 0.630 0.540 0.530 -0.100 $+4.50 72m
2026-06-21 12:48 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:56 2026-06-21 14:28 0.590 0.540 0.530 -0.060 $+5.00 92m
2026-06-21 12:51 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:56 2026-06-21 14:28 0.630 0.540 0.520 -0.110 $+9.00 92m
2026-06-21 14:02 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 14:17 2026-06-21 14:28 0.640 0.520 0.510 -0.130 $+12.00 11m
2026-06-21 14:06 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 14:17 2026-06-21 14:28 0.640 0.520 0.500 -0.140 $+12.00 11m
2026-06-21 14:02 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 14:17 2026-06-21 14:28 0.640 0.520 0.510 -0.130 $+12.00 11m
2026-06-21 14:15 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 14:27 2026-06-21 14:27 0.880 0.860 0.840 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 14:15 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 14:27 2026-06-21 14:27 0.880 0.860 0.840 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:33 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 13:53 0.530 0.630 0.500 -0.030 $-10.00 67m
2026-06-21 12:38 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 13:53 0.530 0.630 0.490 -0.040 $-10.00 67m
2026-06-21 12:34 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 13:53 0.530 0.630 0.500 -0.030 $-10.00 67m
2026-06-21 13:13 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 13:26 2026-06-21 13:27 0.890 0.840 0.860 -0.030 $+2.50 1m
2026-06-21 13:14 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 13:26 2026-06-21 13:27 0.890 0.840 0.860 -0.030 $+2.50 1m
2026-06-21 13:14 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 13:26 2026-06-21 13:27 0.890 0.840 0.860 -0.030 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-21 10:45 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 13:26 0.890 0.840 0.850 -0.040 $+1.25 150m
2026-06-21 10:45 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 13:26 0.890 0.840 0.850 -0.040 $+1.25 150m
2026-06-21 10:47 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 13:26 0.890 0.840 0.850 -0.040 $+5.00 150m
2026-06-21 10:49 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 13:26 0.890 0.840 0.850 -0.040 $+5.00 150m
2026-06-21 12:31 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 12:47 0.580 0.530 0.520 -0.060 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:30 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 12:47 0.580 0.530 0.520 -0.060 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:31 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 12:47 0.580 0.530 0.520 -0.060 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:33 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 12:47 0.580 0.530 0.530 -0.050 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:35 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:46 2026-06-21 12:47 0.580 0.530 0.530 -0.050 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-21 11:49 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-21 11:57 2026-06-21 12:44 0.500 0.530 0.530 +0.030 $+3.00 47m
2026-06-21 11:50 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-21 11:57 2026-06-21 12:44 0.500 0.530 0.550 +0.050 $+3.00 47m
2026-06-21 12:21 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:37 2026-06-21 12:37 0.520 0.490 0.490 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:21 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 12:37 2026-06-21 12:37 0.520 0.490 0.490 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-21 12:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 12:27 2026-06-21 12:27 0.187 0.158 0.140 -0.047 $+1.45
2026-06-21 04:18 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 04:29 2026-06-21 12:17 0.680 0.460 0.460 -0.220 $+5.50 467m
2026-06-21 12:00 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 12:07 2026-06-21 12:07 0.186 0.155 0.140 -0.046 $+3.10 1m
2026-06-21 10:46 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 11:14 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+1.00 17m
2026-06-21 10:49 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 11:14 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-21 10:49 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 11:14 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-21 10:45 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 11:14 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+1.00 17m
2026-06-21 10:46 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 11:14 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+1.00 17m
2026-06-21 10:48 L1 0x54b56146… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:57 2026-06-21 11:14 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-21 04:59 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 05:09 2026-06-21 11:07 0.680 0.490 0.480 -0.200 $+2.38 358m
2026-06-21 10:28 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:37 2026-06-21 10:38 0.187 0.155 0.140 -0.047 $+1.60 1m
2026-06-21 09:14 L1 0x15433540… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-21 09:27 2026-06-21 10:24 0.870 0.880 0.900 +0.030 $+1.00 57m
2026-06-21 09:14 L1 0x15433540… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-21 09:27 2026-06-21 10:24 0.870 0.880 0.900 +0.030 $+1.00 57m
2026-06-21 09:14 L1 0x15433540… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-21 09:27 2026-06-21 10:24 0.870 0.880 0.900 +0.030 $+1.00 57m
2026-06-21 09:12 L1 0x15433540… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-21 09:27 2026-06-21 10:24 0.870 0.880 0.900 +0.030 $+1.00 57m
2026-06-21 09:13 L1 0x15433540… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-21 09:27 2026-06-21 10:24 0.870 0.880 0.900 +0.030 $+1.00 57m
2026-06-21 10:08 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 10:17 2026-06-21 10:18 0.187 0.155 0.140 -0.047 $+1.60 1m
2026-06-21 07:42 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:47 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.560 -0.110 $+3.75 140m
2026-06-21 07:13 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.520 -0.150 $+7.50 160m
2026-06-21 07:18 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.530 -0.140 $+7.50 160m
2026-06-21 07:18 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.540 -0.130 $+7.50 160m
2026-06-21 07:13 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.530 -0.140 $+15.00 160m
2026-06-21 07:13 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.530 -0.140 $+15.00 160m
2026-06-21 07:14 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.530 -0.140 $+15.00 160m
2026-06-21 07:13 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:27 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.510 -0.160 $+15.00 160m
2026-06-21 07:13 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 07:18 2026-06-21 10:07 0.670 0.520 0.500 -0.170 $+7.50 170m
2026-06-21 05:01 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 05:09 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.540 -0.140 $+4.00 298m
2026-06-21 04:52 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 04:59 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.510 -0.170 $+4.00 308m
2026-06-21 04:23 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 04:29 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.520 -0.160 $+8.00 338m
2026-06-21 04:10 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 04:20 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.560 -0.120 $+16.00 348m
2026-06-21 03:44 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 03:50 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.590 -0.090 $+16.00 377m
2026-06-21 03:26 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 03:40 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.580 -0.100 $+16.00 387m
2026-06-20 20:22 L1 0xe47439f4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 20:28 2026-06-21 10:07 0.680 0.520 0.734 +0.054 $-8.00 820m
2026-06-20 14:20 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 14:26 2026-06-21 10:07 0.690 0.520 0.740 +0.050 $-8.50 1181m
2026-06-20 13:25 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-21 10:07 0.690 0.520 0.750 +0.060 $-17.00 1231m
2026-06-20 13:25 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-21 10:07 0.690 0.520 0.730 +0.040 $-17.00 1231m
2026-06-20 13:25 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-21 10:07 0.690 0.550 0.730 +0.040 $-14.00 1231m
2026-06-20 13:10 L1 0xe47439f4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 13:17 2026-06-21 10:07 0.690 0.550 0.800 +0.110 $-14.00 1250m
2026-06-20 12:52 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-20 13:07 2026-06-21 10:07 0.690 0.550 0.800 +0.110 $-14.00 1260m
2026-06-21 08:58 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 09:07 2026-06-21 10:04 0.740 0.530 0.540 -0.200 $+10.50 57m
2026-06-21 08:59 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 09:07 2026-06-21 10:04 0.740 0.530 0.540 -0.200 $+10.50 57m
2026-06-21 08:56 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 09:07 2026-06-21 10:04 0.680 0.530 0.540 -0.140 $+3.75 57m
2026-06-21 08:18 L1 0xed19489c… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 08:27 2026-06-21 10:04 0.670 0.530 0.550 -0.120 $+3.50 97m
2026-06-21 00:40 L1 0x4cfed358… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 00:53 2026-06-21 09:17 0.900 0.850 0.840 -0.060 $+1.25 504m
2026-06-21 03:13 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-21 03:21 2026-06-21 07:18 0.680 0.660 0.650 -0.030 $+2.00 237m
2026-06-21 06:54 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 07:08 2026-06-21 07:08 0.180 0.152 0.140 -0.040 $+2.80 1m
2026-06-21 06:56 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 07:08 2026-06-21 07:08 0.180 0.152 0.140 -0.040 $+2.80 1m
2026-06-20 08:41 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 08:49 2026-06-21 06:08 0.188 0.125 0.130 -0.058 $+0.79 1280m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+0.78 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+0.78 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+1.55 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+1.55 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+1.55 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+3.10 1546m
2026-06-20 00:07 L1 0x21064fd3… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 00:16 2026-06-21 06:08 0.185 0.125 0.120 -0.065 $+3.00 1792m
2026-06-20 00:07 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 00:16 2026-06-21 06:08 0.185 0.125 0.120 -0.065 $+3.00 1792m

Open Trades (1)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+1.50
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.210 0.157 -0.083 $+1.50 109m