Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-852.21
L1 Closed / Open
2002 / 11
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.43
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
645m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-21 06:56 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 07:08 2026-06-21 07:08 0.180 0.152 0.140 -0.040 $+2.80 1m
2026-06-20 08:41 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 08:49 2026-06-21 06:08 0.188 0.125 0.130 -0.058 $+0.79 1280m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+0.78 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+0.78 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+1.55 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+1.55 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+1.55 1546m
2026-06-20 04:18 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 04:22 2026-06-21 06:08 0.187 0.125 0.120 -0.067 $+3.10 1546m
2026-06-20 00:07 L1 0x21064fd3… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 00:16 2026-06-21 06:08 0.185 0.125 0.120 -0.065 $+3.00 1792m
2026-06-20 00:07 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 00:16 2026-06-21 06:08 0.185 0.125 0.120 -0.065 $+3.00 1792m
2026-06-21 01:40 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:52 2026-06-21 01:53 0.890 0.880 0.860 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:34 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:42 2026-06-21 01:43 0.890 0.880 0.860 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:18 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:33 2026-06-21 01:33 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:19 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:33 2026-06-21 01:33 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:19 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:33 2026-06-21 01:33 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:19 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:33 2026-06-21 01:33 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:22 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:33 2026-06-21 01:33 0.890 0.870 0.850 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:27 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:33 2026-06-21 01:33 0.890 0.870 0.860 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-21 01:18 L1 0x44c1dfe4… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:23 2026-06-21 01:23 0.900 0.880 0.870 -0.030 $+0.50 1m
2026-06-21 01:06 L1 0x44c1dfe4… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 01:13 2026-06-21 01:13 0.900 0.880 0.870 -0.030 $+0.50 1m
2026-06-21 00:35 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 00:43 2026-06-21 00:44 0.880 0.870 0.850 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-21 00:10 L1 0xd501dd1c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-21 00:24 2026-06-21 00:24 0.880 0.870 0.850 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-20 21:49 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 22:07 2026-06-20 22:10 0.850 0.820 0.810 -0.040 $+3.00 3m
2026-06-20 21:49 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 22:07 2026-06-20 22:07 0.850 0.830 0.810 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 21:50 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 22:07 2026-06-20 22:07 0.850 0.830 0.810 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 20:24 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:38 2026-06-20 21:55 0.850 0.810 0.790 -0.060 $+4.00 77m
2026-06-20 20:45 L1 0xca972cdf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:57 2026-06-20 21:54 0.830 0.810 0.790 -0.040 $+2.00 57m
2026-06-20 20:45 L1 0x7c3db723… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:57 2026-06-20 21:54 0.830 0.810 0.790 -0.040 $+2.00 57m
2026-06-20 20:45 L1 0x35e36faa… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:57 2026-06-20 21:54 0.830 0.810 0.790 -0.040 $+2.00 57m
2026-06-20 20:45 L1 0x06cb7353… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:57 2026-06-20 21:54 0.830 0.810 0.790 -0.040 $+2.00 57m
2026-06-20 20:53 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:07 2026-06-20 21:54 0.840 0.810 0.790 -0.050 $+3.00 47m
2026-06-20 21:11 L1 0xb6ce892d… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:54 0.860 0.810 0.790 -0.070 $+2.50 37m
2026-06-20 21:12 L1 0x06cb7353… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:54 0.860 0.810 0.790 -0.070 $+5.00 37m
2026-06-20 21:08 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:54 0.860 0.810 0.790 -0.070 $+5.00 37m
2026-06-20 21:11 L1 0xca972cdf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:54 0.860 0.810 0.790 -0.070 $+5.00 37m
2026-06-20 21:12 L1 0x35e36faa… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:34 0.860 0.820 0.800 -0.060 $+1.00 17m
2026-06-20 21:12 L1 0x35e36faa… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:34 0.860 0.820 0.800 -0.060 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-20 21:11 L1 0x7c3db723… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:34 0.860 0.820 0.800 -0.060 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-20 21:12 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:34 0.860 0.820 0.800 -0.060 $+4.00 17m
2026-06-20 21:11 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:17 2026-06-20 21:34 0.860 0.820 0.800 -0.060 $+4.00 17m
2026-06-20 21:13 L1 0x06cb7353… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:27 2026-06-20 21:30 0.900 0.820 0.800 -0.100 $+2.00 3m
2026-06-20 21:13 L1 0xca972cdf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:27 2026-06-20 21:30 0.900 0.820 0.800 -0.100 $+2.00 3m
2026-06-20 21:22 L1 0x35e36faa… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 21:27 2026-06-20 21:28 0.850 0.830 0.810 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 20:34 L1 0xfe41328c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 20:48 2026-06-20 20:48 0.840 0.820 0.800 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 13:24 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 20:18 0.928 0.800 0.800 -0.128 $+6.40 401m
2026-06-20 13:25 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 20:18 0.928 0.800 0.800 -0.128 $+6.40 401m
2026-06-20 13:25 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 20:18 0.928 0.800 0.800 -0.128 $+12.80 401m
2026-06-20 13:25 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 20:18 0.900 0.800 0.800 -0.100 $+10.00 401m
2026-06-20 14:45 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 14:56 2026-06-20 16:08 0.908 0.880 0.860 -0.048 $+0.70 72m
2026-06-20 15:12 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 15:28 2026-06-20 15:29 0.945 0.912 0.910 -0.035 $+3.30 1m
2026-06-20 15:11 L1 0x40cfb294… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 15:28 2026-06-20 15:29 0.946 0.912 0.910 -0.036 $+3.40 1m
2026-06-20 15:12 L1 0x40cfb294… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 15:28 2026-06-20 15:29 0.946 0.912 0.910 -0.036 $+3.40 1m
2026-06-20 15:01 L1 0x40cfb294… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 15:18 2026-06-20 15:24 0.930 0.906 0.900 -0.030 $+2.40 6m
2026-06-18 20:58 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 21:10 2026-06-20 14:46 0.770 0.670 0.800 +0.030 $-10.00 2497m
2026-06-18 20:58 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 21:10 2026-06-20 14:46 0.770 0.670 0.800 +0.030 $-10.00 2497m
2026-06-18 20:58 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 21:10 2026-06-20 14:46 0.770 0.670 0.800 +0.030 $-10.00 2497m
2026-06-20 13:27 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 14:44 0.920 0.840 0.820 -0.100 $+8.00 67m
2026-06-20 14:28 L1 0xd6ddc655… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 14:36 2026-06-20 14:37 0.880 0.860 0.850 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 13:27 L1 0xd8d5289c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 14:34 0.900 0.850 0.830 -0.070 $+5.00 57m
2026-06-20 13:29 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 14:29 0.928 0.880 0.880 -0.048 $+4.80 52m
2026-06-20 13:30 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 14:29 0.928 0.880 0.880 -0.048 $+4.80 52m
2026-06-20 13:30 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:37 2026-06-20 14:29 0.928 0.880 0.880 -0.048 $+4.80 52m
2026-06-20 13:36 L1 0x5ccf62ac… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:47 2026-06-20 14:29 0.930 0.880 0.880 -0.050 $+1.25 42m
2026-06-20 13:32 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:47 2026-06-20 14:29 0.929 0.880 0.890 -0.039 $+2.45 42m
2026-06-20 13:36 L1 0x5ccf62ac… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:47 2026-06-20 14:29 0.930 0.880 0.880 -0.050 $+1.25 42m
2026-06-20 13:37 L1 0x5ccf62ac… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:47 2026-06-20 14:29 0.930 0.880 0.880 -0.050 $+2.50 42m
2026-06-19 10:24 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.350 -0.340 $-2.75 1619m
2026-06-19 10:24 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.350 -0.340 $-2.75 1619m
2026-06-19 10:24 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.350 -0.340 $-5.50 1619m
2026-06-19 10:29 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.360 -0.330 $-5.50 1619m
2026-06-19 10:29 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.360 -0.330 $-5.50 1619m
2026-06-19 10:29 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.360 -0.330 $-11.00 1619m
2026-06-19 10:23 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.690 0.910 0.370 -0.320 $-11.00 1619m
2026-06-19 10:27 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-20 13:37 0.680 0.910 0.360 -0.320 $-11.50 1619m
2026-06-19 10:19 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.350 -0.320 $-3.00 1629m
2026-06-19 10:19 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.350 -0.320 $-3.00 1629m
2026-06-19 10:19 L1 0x97520e8e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.350 -0.320 $-6.00 1629m
2026-06-19 10:22 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.680 0.910 0.340 -0.340 $-11.50 1629m
2026-06-19 10:22 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.680 0.910 0.340 -0.340 $-11.50 1629m
2026-06-19 10:16 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.340 -0.330 $-6.00 1629m
2026-06-19 10:22 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.340 -0.330 $-6.00 1629m
2026-06-19 10:16 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:27 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.340 -0.330 $-12.00 1629m
2026-06-19 10:08 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.370 -0.300 $-6.00 1639m
2026-06-19 10:12 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.370 -0.300 $-6.00 1639m
2026-06-19 10:10 L1 0x93511d72… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.350 -0.320 $-12.00 1639m
2026-06-19 10:08 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:37 0.670 0.910 0.370 -0.300 $-12.00 1639m
2026-06-20 13:21 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 13:27 2026-06-20 13:30 0.760 0.860 0.730 -0.030 $-10.00 3m
2026-06-20 12:10 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 12:17 2026-06-20 13:29 0.630 0.800 0.330 -0.300 $-4.25 72m
2026-06-20 12:53 L1 0xd6ddc655… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 13:07 2026-06-20 13:29 0.670 0.800 0.720 +0.050 $+13.00 22m
2026-06-20 12:52 L1 0xd6ddc655… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:57 2026-06-20 13:29 0.670 0.800 0.730 +0.060 $+13.00 32m
2026-06-20 12:45 L1 0xd6ddc655… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:57 2026-06-20 13:29 0.670 0.800 0.730 +0.060 $+13.00 32m
2026-06-20 12:42 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:57 2026-06-20 13:29 0.670 0.800 0.720 +0.050 $+13.00 32m
2026-06-20 11:01 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:07 2026-06-20 13:27 0.580 0.760 0.400 -0.180 $-9.00 139m
2026-06-20 10:46 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 10:58 2026-06-20 13:27 0.580 0.760 0.430 -0.150 $-9.00 149m
2026-06-20 10:36 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 10:48 2026-06-20 13:27 0.580 0.760 0.430 -0.150 $-9.00 159m
2026-06-20 10:23 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 10:28 2026-06-20 13:27 0.580 0.760 0.430 -0.150 $-9.00 179m
2026-06-19 19:37 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 19:52 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.350 -0.300 $-1.37 1055m
2026-06-19 19:13 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 19:18 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.330 -0.320 $-1.37 1088m
2026-06-19 18:50 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 18:58 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.340 -0.320 $-1.25 1109m
2026-06-19 17:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 17:38 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.340 -0.310 $-2.75 1189m

Open Trades (11)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+0.50
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.230 0.157 -0.083 $+0.50 462m
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 205m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 195m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 185m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 185m