Paper Trading P&L

✕ clear
Showing data from 2026-05-26 onwards Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$-839.21
L1 Closed / Open
2008 / 40
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$-0.42
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
643m
L2 Total P&L
$-259.00
L2 Closed / Open
28 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-9.25
L2 Win Rate
25%
L2 Avg Catchup
842m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-20 10:36 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 10:48 2026-06-20 13:27 0.580 0.760 0.430 -0.150 $-9.00 159m
2026-06-20 10:23 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 10:28 2026-06-20 13:27 0.580 0.760 0.430 -0.150 $-9.00 179m
2026-06-19 19:37 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 19:52 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.350 -0.300 $-1.37 1055m
2026-06-19 19:13 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 19:18 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.330 -0.320 $-1.37 1088m
2026-06-19 18:50 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 18:58 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.340 -0.320 $-1.25 1109m
2026-06-19 17:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 17:38 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.340 -0.310 $-2.75 1189m
2026-06-19 15:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 15:38 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.330 -0.320 $-2.75 1309m
2026-06-19 14:49 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 15:08 2026-06-20 13:27 0.620 0.760 0.350 -0.270 $-7.00 1339m
2026-06-19 14:25 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:32 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.330 -0.320 $-2.75 1375m
2026-06-19 13:46 L1 0x25257a6a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.320 -0.320 $-1.50 1405m
2026-06-19 13:47 L1 0x25257a6a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.320 -0.320 $-1.50 1405m
2026-06-19 13:48 L1 0x25257a6a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.320 -0.320 $-3.00 1405m
2026-06-19 13:49 L1 0x25257a6a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.320 -0.320 $-3.00 1405m
2026-06-19 12:56 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 13:11 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.370 -0.260 $-1.62 1456m
2026-06-19 13:00 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 13:11 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.370 -0.260 $-1.62 1456m
2026-06-19 12:49 L1 0x7e80049e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 13:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.360 -0.270 $-3.25 1466m
2026-06-19 12:51 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 13:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.360 -0.270 $-3.25 1466m
2026-06-19 12:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:50 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.360 -0.270 $-3.25 1476m
2026-06-19 12:23 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:40 2026-06-20 13:27 0.620 0.760 0.360 -0.260 $-7.00 1487m
2026-06-19 11:01 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:07 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.390 -0.240 $-6.50 1580m
2026-06-19 10:43 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-3.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:43 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:44 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:44 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:46 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:38 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-1.25 1599m
2026-06-19 10:39 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-2.50 1599m
2026-06-19 10:39 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-2.50 1599m
2026-06-19 10:39 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-2.50 1599m
2026-06-19 10:40 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:40 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:42 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:42 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:42 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:09 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.360 -0.290 $-2.75 1629m
2026-06-19 10:09 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.360 -0.290 $-2.75 1629m
2026-06-19 10:01 L1 0x4d417fb3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.381 -0.269 $-5.50 1639m
2026-06-20 13:08 L1 0x4bf45919… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 13:17 2026-06-20 13:26 0.680 0.720 0.730 +0.050 $+4.00 9m
2026-06-20 11:20 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:27 2026-06-20 13:24 0.580 0.690 0.410 -0.170 $-5.50 117m
2026-06-20 11:20 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:27 2026-06-20 13:24 0.580 0.690 0.410 -0.170 $-2.75 117m
2026-06-20 11:30 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:37 2026-06-20 13:24 0.590 0.690 0.410 -0.180 $-5.00 107m
2026-06-20 11:24 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:37 2026-06-20 13:24 0.590 0.690 0.410 -0.180 $-5.00 107m
2026-06-20 11:49 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:57 2026-06-20 13:24 0.590 0.690 0.380 -0.210 $-5.00 87m
2026-06-20 12:42 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:57 2026-06-20 13:24 0.670 0.690 0.710 +0.040 $+2.00 27m
2026-06-20 08:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 08:39 2026-06-20 12:37 0.570 0.670 0.430 -0.140 $-10.00 238m
2026-06-20 08:17 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 08:29 2026-06-20 12:37 0.570 0.670 0.430 -0.140 $-10.00 248m
2026-06-20 12:11 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:17 2026-06-20 12:34 0.630 0.660 0.670 +0.040 $+3.00 17m
2026-06-20 05:12 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:19 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+2.75 177m
2026-06-20 05:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-20 05:51 2026-06-20 08:09 0.710 0.690 0.670 -0.040 $+2.00 138m
2026-06-20 05:11 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.569 +0.119 $+1.38 167m
2026-06-20 05:11 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+2.75 167m
2026-06-20 05:13 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+2.75 167m
2026-06-20 05:03 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+1.50 177m
2026-06-20 05:03 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+1.50 177m
2026-06-20 05:03 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:04 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:05 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:05 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+6.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:06 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+6.00 177m
2026-06-20 04:54 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+5.50 187m
2026-06-20 05:57 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-20 06:11 2026-06-20 08:08 0.710 0.690 0.680 -0.030 $+2.00 117m
2026-06-20 07:42 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-20 07:49 2026-06-20 08:06 0.710 0.690 0.680 -0.030 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-20 04:53 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 07:30 0.450 0.530 0.550 +0.100 $+8.00 148m
2026-06-20 05:29 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:28 0.460 0.530 0.550 +0.090 $+7.00 107m
2026-06-20 05:42 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:51 2026-06-20 07:28 0.460 0.530 0.540 +0.080 $+7.00 97m
2026-06-20 04:53 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 07:10 0.450 0.520 0.537 +0.087 $+7.00 128m
2026-06-20 05:32 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+6.00 87m
2026-06-20 05:34 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+6.00 87m
2026-06-20 05:33 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+6.00 87m
2026-06-20 05:40 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:51 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+3.00 77m
2026-06-20 05:47 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:01 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+3.00 67m
2026-06-20 06:15 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:21 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.520 +0.060 $+3.00 47m
2026-06-20 06:22 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:31 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.520 +0.060 $+1.50 37m
2026-06-20 06:36 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:37 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:38 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:42 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:42 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:44 0.450 0.510 0.530 +0.080 $+6.00 102m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:44 0.450 0.510 0.530 +0.080 $+6.00 102m
2026-06-20 06:28 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.480 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:29 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.480 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:33 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.490 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:33 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.490 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:34 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.490 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:29 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.460 0.500 0.510 +0.050 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-20 04:47 L1 0x61ea8375… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:39 0.440 0.500 0.490 +0.050 $+6.00 97m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x92e53057… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:39 0.440 0.500 0.480 +0.040 $+6.00 97m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:39 0.440 0.500 0.470 +0.030 $+6.00 97m
2026-06-20 06:24 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:31 2026-06-20 06:39 0.460 0.500 0.520 +0.060 $+1.00 8m
2026-06-19 11:52 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:04 2026-06-20 05:12 0.600 0.420 0.420 -0.180 $+9.00 1028m
2026-06-19 11:38 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-20 05:12 0.600 0.420 0.411 -0.189 $+9.00 1041m
2026-06-19 11:08 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:34 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.400 -0.230 $+5.25 1059m
2026-06-19 11:11 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:34 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.410 -0.220 $+10.50 1059m
2026-06-19 10:56 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:07 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.410 -0.220 $+10.50 1085m
2026-06-19 11:02 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:07 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.400 -0.230 $+10.50 1085m
2026-06-19 10:50 L1 0x0a6d26d3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 05:12 0.640 0.420 0.420 -0.220 $+11.00 1095m
2026-06-19 10:01 L1 0xc682d794… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-20 05:12 0.650 0.420 0.400 -0.250 $+5.75 1144m
2026-06-19 11:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-20 05:02 0.600 0.440 0.430 -0.170 $+8.00 1031m
2026-06-19 11:36 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-20 05:02 0.600 0.440 0.430 -0.170 $+8.00 1031m

Open Trades (40)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$-19.00
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.310 0.157 -0.083 $-3.50 532m
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 276m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 265m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 15:49 L1 0x9495d622… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 15:55 0.240 0.310 0.200 -0.040 $-7.00 67m
2026-06-23 15:58 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.310 0.200 -0.040 $-7.00 55m
2026-06-23 15:58 L1 0x9495d622… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.310 0.200 -0.040 $-7.00 55m
2026-06-23 16:00 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.310 0.190 -0.050 $-7.00 55m
2026-06-23 16:00 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.310 0.190 -0.050 $-3.50 55m
2026-06-23 16:00 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.310 0.190 -0.050 $-3.50 55m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.260 -0.060 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.260 -0.060 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.200 -0.120 $+0.50 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.260 -0.060 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.260 -0.060 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.200 -0.120 $+0.25 11m
2026-06-23 16:34 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.220 0.200 0.110 -0.110 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.320 0.310 0.200 -0.120 $+0.25 11m
2026-06-23 16:34 L1 0xc602e347… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.210 0.200 0.120 -0.090 $+0.50 11m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.310 0.200 -0.130 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.310 0.220 -0.110 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.310 0.230 -0.100 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.310 0.230 -0.100 $+1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:37 L1 0x9a95bff4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.330 0.310 0.190 -0.140 $+0.50 11m
2026-06-23 16:41 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.350 0.310 0.260 -0.090 $+2.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:41 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.350 0.310 0.240 -0.110 $+2.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:41 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.350 0.310 0.270 -0.080 $+4.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:41 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.350 0.310 0.260 -0.090 $+2.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:41 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:51 0.350 0.310 0.230 -0.120 $+2.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:44 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-23 16:51 0.210 0.200 0.260 +0.050 $-1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:42 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-23 16:51 0.210 0.200 0.290 +0.080 $-0.50 11m
2026-06-23 16:40 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-23 16:51 0.210 0.200 0.240 +0.030 $-1.00 11m
2026-06-23 16:38 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-23 16:51 0.210 0.200 0.240 +0.030 $-1.00 11m