Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 09:57 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.440 | 0.540 | -0.100 | $4 | 14848m |
| 2026-05-13 09:57 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.440 | 0.540 | -0.100 | $4 | 14842m |
| 2026-05-13 09:57 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.440 | 0.540 | -0.100 | $4 | 14837m |
| 2026-05-13 08:55 | 0x04b954ec… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.253 | 0.300 | -0.047 | $1053 | 8553m |
| 2026-05-13 08:55 | 0x04b954ec… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.253 | 0.300 | -0.047 | $1053 | 8548m |
| 2026-05-13 08:55 | 0x04b954ec… | L1 |
KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination? |
SELL | 0.253 | 0.300 | -0.047 | $1053 | 8542m |
| 2026-05-13 08:26 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.330 | +0.360 | $6 | 6128m |
| 2026-05-13 08:26 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.330 | +0.360 | $6 | 6128m |
| 2026-05-13 08:26 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.330 | +0.360 | $6 | 6123m |
| 2026-05-13 08:26 | 0xc03fd7f5… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.330 | +0.360 | $6 | 6123m |
| 2026-05-13 07:33 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.360 | +0.330 | $41 | 199m |
| 2026-05-13 07:33 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.360 | +0.330 | $41 | 193m |
| 2026-05-13 07:33 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.690 | 0.360 | +0.330 | $41 | 188m |
| 2026-05-13 05:08 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
SELL | 0.490 | 0.520 | -0.030 | $9 | 1m |
| 2026-05-13 04:33 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.470 | +0.050 | $6 | 37m |
| 2026-05-13 04:33 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.470 | +0.050 | $6 | 27m |
| 2026-05-13 04:33 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.520 | 0.470 | +0.050 | $6 | 27m |
| 2026-05-13 04:32 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.470 | +0.060 | $10 | 37m |
| 2026-05-13 04:32 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.470 | +0.060 | $10 | 32m |
| 2026-05-13 04:32 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.530 | 0.470 | +0.060 | $10 | 27m |
| 2026-05-13 04:26 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.410 | 0.540 | -0.130 | $2 | 15178m |
| 2026-05-13 04:26 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.410 | 0.540 | -0.130 | $2 | 15173m |
| 2026-05-13 04:26 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027 |
SELL | 0.410 | 0.540 | -0.130 | $2 | 15167m |
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.370 | +0.180 | $1680 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.420 | +0.130 | $1680 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.450 | +0.100 | $1680 | 6415m |
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x78048aa2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.370 | +0.180 | $2750 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x78048aa2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.420 | +0.130 | $2750 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:31 | 0x78048aa2… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.450 | +0.100 | $2750 | 6415m |
| 2026-05-13 03:30 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.370 | +0.190 | $16 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:30 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.420 | +0.140 | $16 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:30 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.450 | +0.110 | $16 | 6415m |
| 2026-05-13 03:27 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $456 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:27 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.370 | +0.200 | $456 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:27 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.420 | +0.150 | $456 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $142 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $142 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $142 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $277 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $277 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:26 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $277 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $302 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $302 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $302 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $73 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $73 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.370 | +0.200 | $73 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $341 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $341 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.370 | +0.190 | $341 | 6425m |