Each row is a detected lead-lag signal — a tracked wallet traded on Polymarket before Kalshi's price moved to match. Gap = how far Kalshi lagged at signal time. All times are Pacific Time (PT).
| Signal Time (PT) | Wallet | Layer | Market | Side | PM Price | K Price | Gap | Size | Catchup |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.360 | +0.220 | $302 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.370 | +0.210 | $302 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:25 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.580 | 0.420 | +0.160 | $302 | 6420m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $73 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $73 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:21 | 0x2b9dd0a3… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.370 | +0.200 | $73 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $341 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $341 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.370 | +0.190 | $341 | 6425m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $1 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $1 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $3 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:18 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $3 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $56 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $56 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $48 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:17 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $48 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:16 | 0x9dd9e18b… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $88 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:16 | 0x9dd9e18b… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.350 | +0.210 | $88 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:16 | 0x9dd9e18b… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.560 | 0.360 | +0.200 | $88 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $110 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $275 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $34 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $110 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.350 | +0.200 | $275 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.350 | +0.220 | $34 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xc602e347… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.360 | +0.190 | $110 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xde0463ea… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.550 | 0.360 | +0.190 | $275 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0x9cb35555… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.570 | 0.360 | +0.210 | $34 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.350 | +0.240 | $472 | 6442m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.350 | +0.240 | $472 | 6436m |
| 2026-05-13 03:15 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548 |
BUY | 0.590 | 0.360 | +0.230 | $472 | 6431m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $1 | 7347m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $1 | 7342m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7347m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7342m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7347m |
| 2026-05-13 02:43 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $3 | 7342m |
| 2026-05-13 02:42 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $2 | 7347m |
| 2026-05-13 02:42 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman |
BUY | 0.700 | 0.300 | +0.400 | $2 | 7342m |
| 2026-05-13 02:02 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.293 | 0.692 | -0.399 | $29 | — |
| 2026-05-13 02:02 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.293 | 0.692 | -0.399 | $29 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.296 | 0.692 | -0.396 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.296 | 0.692 | -0.396 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.296 | 0.692 | -0.396 | $6 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.296 | 0.692 | -0.396 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.296 | 0.692 | -0.396 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:54 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.296 | 0.692 | -0.396 | $5 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:51 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.298 | 0.692 | -0.394 | $7 | — |
| 2026-05-13 01:51 | 0xa5e3044f… | L1 |
KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026 Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026? |
SELL | 0.298 | 0.692 | -0.394 | $7 | — |