Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$910.54
L1 Closed / Open
2598 / 32
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.35
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
956m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-05-27 17:20 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 17:29 2026-05-28 10:22 0.210 0.190 0.180 -0.030 $+2.00 1013m
2026-05-27 16:48 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 16:52 2026-05-28 10:22 0.210 0.190 0.180 -0.030 $+2.00 1051m
2026-05-27 16:16 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 16:23 2026-05-28 10:22 0.210 0.190 0.180 -0.030 $+2.00 1079m
2026-05-27 16:16 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 16:23 2026-05-28 10:22 0.210 0.190 0.180 -0.030 $+2.00 1079m
2026-05-27 15:05 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 15:20 2026-05-28 10:22 0.210 0.190 0.180 -0.030 $+2.00 1142m
2026-05-27 11:36 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 11:48 2026-05-28 10:22 0.250 0.190 0.180 -0.070 $+6.00 1354m
2026-05-27 11:40 L1 0xa66790e2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 11:48 2026-05-28 10:22 0.250 0.190 0.180 -0.070 $+6.00 1354m
2026-05-28 08:31 L1 0xc0402e52… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
NO 2026-05-28 08:47 2026-05-28 08:47 0.120 0.110 0.090 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-28 08:31 L1 0xc0402e52… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
NO 2026-05-28 08:47 2026-05-28 08:47 0.120 0.110 0.090 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-27 15:46 L1 0x56d9a144… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260801
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-july-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by July 31?
YES 2026-05-27 16:02 2026-05-28 07:56 0.550 0.580 0.600 +0.050 $+3.00 954m
2026-05-27 15:53 L1 0x7c3db723… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
YES 2026-05-27 16:02 2026-05-28 07:47 0.070 0.120 0.133 +0.063 $+5.00 946m
2026-05-27 15:53 L1 0xf5b057f8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
YES 2026-05-27 16:02 2026-05-28 07:47 0.070 0.120 0.140 +0.070 $+5.00 946m
2026-05-27 15:53 L1 0x559ba14b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
YES 2026-05-27 16:02 2026-05-28 07:47 0.070 0.120 0.140 +0.070 $+5.00 946m
2026-05-27 15:53 L1 0x06cb7353… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
YES 2026-05-27 16:02 2026-05-28 07:47 0.070 0.120 0.140 +0.070 $+5.00 946m
2026-05-27 15:53 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES 2026-05-27 16:02 2026-05-28 07:30 0.270 0.170 0.630 +0.360 $-2.50 928m
2026-05-27 15:30 L1 0xd2aefe83… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260615
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-june-15
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by June 15?
YES 2026-05-27 15:34 2026-05-28 07:30 0.060 0.110 0.120 +0.060 $+5.00 956m
2026-05-27 15:27 L1 0x56d9a144… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES 2026-05-27 15:34 2026-05-28 05:21 0.280 0.180 0.410 +0.130 $-10.00 827m
2026-05-27 15:32 L1 0x24c8cf69… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES 2026-05-27 15:34 2026-05-28 05:21 0.280 0.180 0.370 +0.090 $-10.00 827m
2026-05-27 14:12 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NO 2026-05-27 14:19 2026-05-27 18:50 0.220 0.180 0.160 -0.060 $+4.00 271m
2026-05-27 14:13 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NO 2026-05-27 14:19 2026-05-27 18:50 0.220 0.180 0.160 -0.060 $+4.00 271m
2026-05-27 08:35 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 08:50 2026-05-27 13:04 0.250 0.200 0.190 -0.060 $+5.00 254m
2026-05-27 08:36 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-27 08:50 2026-05-27 13:04 0.250 0.200 0.200 -0.050 $+5.00 254m
2026-05-26 10:10 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER
will-germany-recognize-palestine-before-2027
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?
NO 2026-05-26 10:13 2026-05-26 10:13 0.120 0.025 0.078 -0.042 $+9.50 1m
2026-05-24 16:03 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 16:05 2026-05-24 18:21 0.100 0.080 0.067 -0.033 $+2.00 136m
2026-05-24 15:56 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 15:59 2026-05-24 18:21 0.100 0.080 0.067 -0.033 $+2.00 142m
2026-05-24 15:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 15:30 2026-05-24 18:21 0.100 0.080 0.067 -0.033 $+2.00 171m
2026-05-24 02:35 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 02:37 2026-05-24 18:21 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 944m
2026-05-24 17:14 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 17:16 2026-05-24 18:18 0.100 0.080 0.067 -0.033 $+2.00 62m
2026-05-24 18:14 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 18:14 2026-05-24 18:17 0.100 0.080 0.067 -0.033 $+2.00 3m
2026-05-24 08:57 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIVISITA-27JAN01
will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-december-31-898-927
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NO 2026-05-24 09:01 2026-05-24 09:02 0.130 0.100 0.100 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-05-24 08:37 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIVISITA-27JAN01
will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-december-31-898-927
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NO 2026-05-24 08:43 2026-05-24 08:43 0.130 0.100 0.100 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-05-24 08:13 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 08:19 2026-05-24 08:19 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 08:17 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 08:19 2026-05-24 08:19 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 08:06 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 08:07 2026-05-24 08:08 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 08:06 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 08:07 2026-05-24 08:08 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-23 15:36 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:45 2026-05-24 08:02 0.140 0.039 0.177 +0.037 $-10.10 976m
2026-05-23 15:40 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:45 2026-05-24 08:02 0.140 0.039 0.172 +0.032 $-10.10 976m
2026-05-23 15:40 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:45 2026-05-24 08:02 0.140 0.039 0.172 +0.032 $-10.10 976m
2026-05-23 15:40 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:45 2026-05-24 08:02 0.140 0.039 0.171 +0.031 $-10.10 976m
2026-05-23 15:26 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:39 2026-05-24 07:55 0.150 0.042 0.185 +0.035 $-10.80 976m
2026-05-23 14:45 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 14:52 2026-05-24 07:55 0.150 0.042 0.192 +0.042 $-10.80 1023m
2026-05-23 14:48 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 14:52 2026-05-24 07:55 0.150 0.042 0.192 +0.042 $-10.80 1023m
2026-05-23 14:48 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 14:52 2026-05-24 07:55 0.150 0.042 0.192 +0.042 $-10.80 1023m
2026-05-23 14:51 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 14:52 2026-05-24 07:55 0.150 0.042 0.189 +0.039 $-10.80 1023m
2026-05-23 14:51 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 14:52 2026-05-24 07:55 0.150 0.042 0.188 +0.038 $-10.80 1023m
2026-05-18 07:37 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:42 2026-05-24 07:55 0.360 0.250 0.630 +0.270 $-11.00 8653m
2026-05-18 07:33 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:36 2026-05-24 07:55 0.360 0.250 0.630 +0.270 $-11.00 8659m
2026-05-18 07:30 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:31 2026-05-24 07:55 0.360 0.250 0.640 +0.280 $-11.00 8665m
2026-05-24 07:39 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 07:43 2026-05-24 07:44 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 07:40 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIVISITA-27JAN01
will-reza-pahlavi-enter-iran-by-december-31-898-927
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?
NO 2026-05-24 07:43 2026-05-24 07:44 0.130 0.100 0.100 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-05-23 15:12 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:16 2026-05-24 07:44 0.160 0.059 0.200 +0.040 $-10.10 987m
2026-05-23 15:14 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:16 2026-05-24 07:44 0.160 0.059 0.203 +0.043 $-10.10 987m
2026-05-23 15:15 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 15:16 2026-05-24 07:44 0.160 0.059 0.203 +0.043 $-10.10 987m
2026-05-24 07:34 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 07:37 2026-05-24 07:38 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 07:24 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 07:25 2026-05-24 07:26 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 07:08 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 07:13 2026-05-24 07:14 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 06:41 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 06:43 2026-05-24 06:44 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 06:32 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 06:37 2026-05-24 06:38 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 06:33 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 06:37 2026-05-24 06:38 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 06:16 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 06:20 2026-05-24 06:20 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 06:08 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 06:14 2026-05-24 06:14 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 06:05 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 06:08 2026-05-24 06:08 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 04:25 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 04:28 2026-05-24 04:29 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 04:20 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 04:23 2026-05-24 04:23 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 03:20 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 03:24 2026-05-24 03:24 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 03:07 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 03:12 2026-05-24 03:13 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 02:24 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 02:31 2026-05-24 02:31 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 02:26 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 02:31 2026-05-24 02:31 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 02:21 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 02:25 2026-05-24 02:26 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 02:24 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 02:25 2026-05-24 02:26 0.100 0.090 0.070 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-24 01:07 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 01:08 2026-05-24 01:30 0.110 0.090 0.071 -0.039 $+2.00 22m
2026-05-24 00:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 00:32 2026-05-24 01:29 0.110 0.090 0.071 -0.039 $+2.00 57m
2026-05-24 00:58 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 01:02 2026-05-24 01:29 0.110 0.090 0.071 -0.039 $+2.00 27m
2026-05-24 01:24 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-24 01:26 2026-05-24 01:27 0.110 0.090 0.072 -0.038 $+2.00 2m
2026-05-23 18:38 L1 0x4a2be7a7… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-23 18:49 2026-05-24 00:57 0.096 0.130 0.147 +0.051 $+3.40 368m
2026-05-24 00:27 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-24 00:32 2026-05-24 00:54 0.097 0.130 0.130 +0.033 $+3.30 22m
2026-05-24 00:27 L1 0x9cb35555… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B260601
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-end-of-may
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by end of May?
YES 2026-05-24 00:32 2026-05-24 00:54 0.097 0.130 0.130 +0.033 $+3.30 22m
2026-05-13 10:00 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 10:15 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.440 -0.100 $-13.00 14831m
2026-05-13 09:57 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 10:10 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.440 -0.100 $-13.00 14837m
2026-05-13 10:00 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 10:10 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.440 -0.100 $-13.00 14837m
2026-05-13 09:57 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 10:04 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.440 -0.100 $-13.00 14842m
2026-05-13 10:00 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 10:04 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.440 -0.100 $-13.00 14842m
2026-05-13 09:57 L1 0x9cb35555… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 09:59 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.440 -0.100 $-13.00 14848m
2026-05-13 04:26 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 04:39 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15167m
2026-05-13 04:26 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 04:34 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15173m
2026-05-13 04:26 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 04:28 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15178m
2026-05-13 01:40 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:55 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15332m
2026-05-13 01:39 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:50 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15337m
2026-05-13 01:40 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:50 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15337m
2026-05-13 01:39 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:44 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15343m
2026-05-13 01:40 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:44 2026-05-23 17:27 0.540 0.670 0.410 -0.130 $-13.00 15343m
2026-05-23 01:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 02:03 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 563m
2026-05-23 01:25 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 01:27 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 599m
2026-05-23 01:17 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 01:21 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 605m
2026-05-23 00:44 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 00:46 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 640m
2026-05-23 00:38 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 00:40 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 646m
2026-05-23 00:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 00:34 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 652m
2026-05-23 00:02 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 00:04 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 682m
2026-05-23 00:02 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-23 00:04 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 682m
2026-05-22 23:44 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-22 23:46 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 700m

Open Trades (32)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+11.55
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1421m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1411m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1401m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1401m
2026-06-24 09:36 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:33 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.570 0.690 +0.190 $+3.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.570 0.690 +0.190 $+3.50 138m
2026-06-24 09:53 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.420 -0.190 $+2.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:51 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.420 -0.190 $+2.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+2.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+1.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:49 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.360 -0.250 $+1.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:47 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.360 -0.250 $+1.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.290 0.220 -0.190 $+3.00 128m
2026-06-24 09:41 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.290 0.220 -0.190 $+3.00 128m
2026-06-24 10:01 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 10:10 0.182 0.164 0.140 -0.042 $+1.80 118m
2026-06-24 09:57 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-24 10:10 0.350 0.290 0.470 +0.120 $-3.00 118m
2026-06-24 10:07 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.179 0.164 0.130 -0.049 $+0.75 108m
2026-06-24 10:12 L1 0x9f66aa95… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.640 0.570 0.355 -0.285 $+3.50 108m
2026-06-24 10:32 L1 0xc6dd7225… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:40 0.590 0.570 0.350 -0.240 $+1.00 88m
2026-06-24 10:42 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-24 11:00 0.370 0.290 0.420 +0.050 $-8.00 68m
2026-06-24 11:16 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 11:30 0.510 0.570 0.630 +0.120 $+6.00 38m