Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$900.54
L1 Closed / Open
2599 / 38
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.35
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
956m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-05-22 23:44 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-22 23:46 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 700m
2026-05-22 23:19 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-22 23:22 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 724m
2026-05-22 23:19 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-22 23:22 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 724m
2026-05-22 23:14 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-22 23:16 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 730m
2026-05-22 23:15 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXPAHLAVIHEAD-27JAN-RPAH
will-reza-pahlavi-lead-iran-in-2026
Will Reza Pahlavi lead Iran in 2026?
NO 2026-05-22 23:16 2026-05-23 11:26 0.100 0.080 0.069 -0.031 $+2.00 730m
2026-05-22 23:46 L1 0x9cb35555… KXRECOGPALESTINE-27-GER
will-germany-recognize-palestine-before-2027
Will Germany recognize Palestine before 2027?
NO 2026-05-22 23:52 2026-05-22 23:52 0.110 0.025 0.039 -0.071 $+8.50 1m
2026-05-18 19:04 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES 2026-05-18 19:06 2026-05-22 16:21 0.260 0.160 0.660 +0.400 $-10.00 5594m
2026-05-18 19:05 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES 2026-05-18 19:06 2026-05-22 16:21 0.260 0.160 0.660 +0.400 $-10.00 5594m
2026-05-19 09:23 L1 0xd8d5289c… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 2026-05-19 09:26 2026-05-20 14:37 0.657 0.682 0.695 +0.038 $+2.50 1751m
2026-05-20 01:53 L1 0xe0f1e775… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 2026-05-20 01:58 2026-05-20 14:31 0.643 0.674 0.694 +0.051 $+3.10 753m
2026-05-20 01:55 L1 0xe0f1e775… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 2026-05-20 01:58 2026-05-20 14:31 0.643 0.674 0.694 +0.051 $+3.10 753m
2026-05-20 01:49 L1 0xe0f1e775… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
YES 2026-05-20 01:52 2026-05-20 14:31 0.645 0.674 0.694 +0.049 $+2.90 758m
2026-05-20 07:52 L1 0xc02147de… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26JUL
us-iran-nuclear-deal-by-june-30
US-Iran nuclear deal by June 30?
YES 2026-05-20 07:54 2026-05-20 07:58 0.250 0.260 0.280 +0.030 $+1.00 4m
2026-05-13 08:55 L1 0x04b954ec… KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NO 2026-05-13 09:09 2026-05-19 07:31 0.300 0.270 0.253 -0.047 $+3.00 8542m
2026-05-13 08:55 L1 0x04b954ec… KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NO 2026-05-13 09:04 2026-05-19 07:31 0.300 0.270 0.253 -0.047 $+3.00 8548m
2026-05-13 08:55 L1 0x04b954ec… KXPRESNOMR-28-MR
will-marco-rubio-win-the-2028-republican-presidential-nomination
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?
NO 2026-05-13 08:58 2026-05-19 07:31 0.300 0.270 0.253 -0.047 $+3.00 8553m
2026-05-13 00:32 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 00:44 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.460 -0.080 $+6.00 7822m
2026-05-13 00:32 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.460 -0.080 $+6.00 7827m
2026-05-13 00:32 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.460 -0.080 $+6.00 7833m
2026-05-12 23:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 00:11 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.460 -0.080 $+6.00 7855m
2026-05-12 23:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 00:06 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.460 -0.080 $+6.00 7860m
2026-05-12 23:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 00:00 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.460 -0.080 $+6.00 7865m
2026-05-12 21:45 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 21:55 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.470 -0.070 $+6.00 7990m
2026-05-12 21:45 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 21:50 2026-05-18 11:06 0.540 0.480 0.470 -0.070 $+6.00 7996m
2026-05-18 10:29 L2 0x7207afc0… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.304 +0.144 $-14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:29 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.220 +0.060 $-14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:29 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.240 +0.080 $-14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:29 L1 0x9cb35555… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.250 +0.090 $-14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:29 L1 0x9cb35555… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.250 +0.090 $-14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
NO 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.130 -0.030 $+14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
NO 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.070 -0.090 $+14.00 1m
2026-05-18 10:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
NO 2026-05-18 10:32 2026-05-18 10:32 0.160 0.020 0.070 -0.090 $+14.00 1m
2026-05-18 07:01 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:03 2026-05-18 07:20 0.380 0.250 0.620 +0.240 $-13.00 17m
2026-05-18 06:58 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:03 2026-05-18 07:20 0.370 0.250 0.596 +0.226 $-12.00 17m
2026-05-18 07:09 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:14 2026-05-18 07:18 0.360 0.250 0.620 +0.260 $-11.00 4m
2026-05-18 07:13 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:14 2026-05-18 07:18 0.360 0.250 0.620 +0.260 $-11.00 4m
2026-05-18 07:13 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 07:14 2026-05-18 07:18 0.360 0.250 0.620 +0.260 $-11.00 4m
2026-05-18 06:56 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 06:57 2026-05-18 07:14 0.420 0.310 0.570 +0.150 $-11.00 17m
2026-05-18 05:07 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 05:11 2026-05-18 07:03 0.460 0.340 0.540 +0.080 $-12.00 112m
2026-05-17 23:56 L1 0x4a2be7a7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:57 2026-05-18 06:57 0.680 0.390 0.380 -0.300 $+29.00 420m
2026-05-17 23:49 L1 0x4a2be7a7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:52 2026-05-18 06:57 0.680 0.390 0.380 -0.300 $+29.00 425m
2026-05-17 23:49 L1 0x4a2be7a7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:52 2026-05-18 06:57 0.680 0.390 0.380 -0.300 $+29.00 425m
2026-05-13 02:42 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:55 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7342m
2026-05-13 02:43 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:55 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7342m
2026-05-13 02:43 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:55 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7342m
2026-05-13 02:43 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:55 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7342m
2026-05-13 02:42 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:50 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7347m
2026-05-13 02:43 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:50 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7347m
2026-05-13 02:43 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:50 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7347m
2026-05-13 02:43 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 02:50 2026-05-18 05:17 0.300 0.150 0.700 +0.400 $-15.00 7347m
2026-05-12 19:06 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 19:19 2026-05-18 05:16 0.270 0.150 0.670 +0.400 $-12.00 7798m
2026-05-12 18:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 19:08 2026-05-18 05:16 0.270 0.150 0.670 +0.400 $-12.00 7809m
2026-05-12 19:06 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 19:08 2026-05-18 05:16 0.270 0.150 0.670 +0.400 $-12.00 7809m
2026-05-12 18:52 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 19:03 2026-05-18 05:16 0.280 0.150 0.660 +0.380 $-13.00 7814m
2026-05-12 18:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 19:03 2026-05-18 05:16 0.280 0.150 0.670 +0.390 $-13.00 7814m
2026-05-12 18:52 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 18:57 2026-05-18 05:16 0.280 0.150 0.660 +0.380 $-13.00 7819m
2026-05-12 18:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-12 18:57 2026-05-18 05:16 0.280 0.150 0.670 +0.390 $-13.00 7819m
2026-05-18 00:32 L1 0x78048aa2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-18 00:48 2026-05-18 05:11 0.540 0.430 0.580 +0.040 $-11.00 263m
2026-05-18 00:38 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-18 00:42 2026-05-18 04:14 0.570 0.450 0.430 -0.140 $+12.00 212m
2026-05-18 01:06 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-18 01:10 2026-05-18 01:11 0.520 0.480 0.490 -0.030 $+4.00 1m
2026-05-17 23:51 L1 0x85b8b010… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:52 2026-05-18 00:09 0.680 0.620 0.630 -0.050 $+6.00 17m
2026-05-17 23:48 L1 0x85b8b010… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:52 2026-05-18 00:09 0.680 0.620 0.630 -0.050 $+6.00 17m
2026-05-17 23:50 L1 0x85b8b010… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:52 2026-05-18 00:09 0.680 0.620 0.630 -0.050 $+6.00 17m
2026-05-17 23:51 L1 0x85b8b010… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:52 2026-05-18 00:09 0.680 0.620 0.630 -0.050 $+6.00 17m
2026-05-17 23:54 L1 0x85b8b010… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:57 2026-05-18 00:08 0.680 0.620 0.630 -0.050 $+6.00 11m
2026-05-17 23:44 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-17 23:46 2026-05-17 23:48 0.690 0.670 0.650 -0.040 $+2.00 2m
2026-05-12 21:02 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 21:12 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7056m
2026-05-12 21:02 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 21:07 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7061m
2026-05-12 19:34 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:46 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7142m
2026-05-12 19:35 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:46 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7142m
2026-05-12 19:34 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:40 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7147m
2026-05-12 19:35 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:40 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7147m
2026-05-12 19:34 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:35 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7153m
2026-05-12 18:49 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:03 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7185m
2026-05-12 18:50 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 19:03 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7185m
2026-05-12 18:49 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 18:57 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7191m
2026-05-12 18:50 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 18:57 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7191m
2026-05-12 18:49 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 18:52 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7196m
2026-05-12 18:50 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-12 18:52 2026-05-17 18:48 0.540 0.490 0.470 -0.070 $+5.00 7196m
2026-05-17 16:42 L1 0x9cb35555… KXTRUMPPHOTO-26MAY17
will-trump-be-photographed-every-day-this-week-511-517
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
NO 2026-05-17 16:46 2026-05-17 16:48 0.570 0.280 0.300 -0.270 $+29.00 2m
2026-05-17 16:41 L1 0x9cb35555… KXTRUMPPHOTO-26MAY17
will-trump-be-photographed-every-day-this-week-511-517
Will Trump be photographed every day this week? (5/11-5/17)
NO 2026-05-17 16:46 2026-05-17 16:46 0.570 0.410 0.430 -0.140 $+16.00 1m
2026-05-13 10:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 11:05 2026-05-17 14:39 0.330 0.210 0.680 +0.350 $-12.00 5974m
2026-05-13 10:08 L1 0x56e3d9a0… KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
will-greece-be-in-the-top-10-at-eurovision-2026
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 10:15 2026-05-17 14:39 0.840 0.940 0.876 +0.036 $+10.00 6024m
2026-05-13 10:08 L2 0x56e3d9a0… KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
will-greece-be-in-the-top-10-at-eurovision-2026
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 10:10 2026-05-17 14:39 0.840 0.940 0.876 +0.036 $+10.00 6029m
2026-05-13 08:26 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 08:36 2026-05-17 14:39 0.330 0.210 0.690 +0.360 $-12.00 6123m
2026-05-13 08:26 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 08:36 2026-05-17 14:39 0.330 0.210 0.690 +0.360 $-12.00 6123m
2026-05-13 08:26 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 08:31 2026-05-17 14:39 0.330 0.210 0.690 +0.360 $-12.00 6128m
2026-05-13 08:26 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 08:31 2026-05-17 14:39 0.330 0.210 0.690 +0.360 $-12.00 6128m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x78048aa2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.450 0.710 0.550 +0.100 $+26.00 6415m
2026-05-13 03:30 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.450 0.710 0.560 +0.110 $+26.00 6415m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.450 0.710 0.550 +0.100 $+26.00 6415m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x78048aa2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.550 +0.130 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:25 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.580 +0.160 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:26 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.580 +0.160 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:26 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.580 +0.160 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:30 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.560 +0.140 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.550 +0.130 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.570 +0.150 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x78048aa2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.550 +0.180 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:21 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.570 +0.200 $+34.00 6425m

Open Trades (38)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+20.20
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1490m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1480m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1470m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1470m
2026-06-24 09:36 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.580 0.320 -0.200 $-3.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.580 0.320 -0.200 $-3.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.580 0.320 -0.200 $-3.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:33 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.580 0.320 -0.200 $-3.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.580 0.320 -0.200 $-3.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.580 0.690 +0.190 $+4.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.580 0.690 +0.190 $+4.00 207m
2026-06-24 09:53 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.580 0.420 -0.190 $+1.50 197m
2026-06-24 09:51 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.580 0.420 -0.190 $+1.50 197m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.580 0.410 -0.200 $+1.50 197m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.580 0.410 -0.200 $+0.75 197m
2026-06-24 09:49 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.580 0.360 -0.250 $+0.75 197m
2026-06-24 09:47 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.580 0.360 -0.250 $+0.75 197m
2026-06-24 09:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.270 0.220 -0.190 $+3.50 197m
2026-06-24 09:41 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.270 0.220 -0.190 $+3.50 197m
2026-06-24 10:01 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 10:10 0.182 0.163 0.140 -0.042 $+1.90 187m
2026-06-24 09:57 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-24 10:10 0.350 0.270 0.470 +0.120 $-4.00 187m
2026-06-24 10:07 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.179 0.163 0.130 -0.049 $+0.80 177m
2026-06-24 10:12 L1 0x9f66aa95… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.640 0.580 0.355 -0.285 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-24 10:32 L1 0xc6dd7225… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:40 0.590 0.580 0.350 -0.240 $+0.50 157m
2026-06-24 11:16 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 11:30 0.510 0.580 0.630 +0.120 $+7.00 107m
2026-06-24 12:03 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:09 0.590 0.580 0.410 -0.180 $+0.50 67m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.580 0.410 -0.200 $+0.75 57m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.580 0.410 -0.200 $+0.75 57m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.580 0.410 -0.200 $+0.38 57m
2026-06-24 12:13 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.580 0.400 -0.210 $+0.38 57m
2026-06-24 12:45 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:59 0.570 0.580 0.410 -0.160 $-0.50 18m
2026-06-24 12:55 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 13:09 0.620 0.580 0.410 -0.210 $+2.00 8m