Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$917.54
L1 Closed / Open
2602 / 39
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.35
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
954m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-05-13 03:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:39 2026-05-17 14:39 0.420 0.710 0.570 +0.150 $+29.00 6420m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x78048aa2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.550 +0.180 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:21 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.570 +0.200 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:25 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.580 +0.210 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:26 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.580 +0.210 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:26 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.580 +0.210 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:30 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.560 +0.190 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:31 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.550 +0.180 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.560 +0.190 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.370 0.710 0.570 +0.200 $+34.00 6425m
2026-05-13 03:16 L1 0x9dd9e18b… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.560 +0.200 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.570 +0.210 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.550 +0.190 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:21 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.570 +0.210 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:25 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.580 +0.220 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:26 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.580 +0.220 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:26 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.580 +0.220 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xc602e347… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.550 +0.190 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.590 +0.230 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:17 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.560 +0.200 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:17 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.560 +0.200 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.560 +0.200 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.560 +0.200 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.560 +0.200 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.360 0.710 0.570 +0.210 $+35.00 6431m
2026-05-13 03:16 L1 0x9dd9e18b… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.570 +0.220 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.550 +0.200 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:21 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.570 +0.220 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xc602e347… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.550 +0.200 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.590 +0.240 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:17 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:17 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:18 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6436m
2026-05-13 03:16 L1 0x9dd9e18b… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.560 +0.210 $+36.00 6442m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.570 +0.220 $+36.00 6442m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xde0463ea… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.550 +0.200 $+36.00 6442m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xc602e347… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.550 +0.200 $+36.00 6442m
2026-05-13 03:15 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 03:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.350 0.710 0.590 +0.240 $+36.00 6442m
2026-05-13 01:18 L1 0x7c3db723… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.540 0.500 0.490 -0.050 $+4.00 6546m
2026-05-13 01:18 L1 0x7c3db723… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.540 0.500 0.490 -0.050 $+4.00 6551m
2026-05-13 01:18 L1 0x7c3db723… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27
us-iran-nuclear-deal-before-2027
NO 2026-05-13 01:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.540 0.500 0.490 -0.050 $+4.00 6557m
2026-05-13 00:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6595m
2026-05-13 00:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6595m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6595m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6595m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:44 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6595m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:28 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:38 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6600m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:28 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:30 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:31 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:33 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6606m
2026-05-13 00:14 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6611m
2026-05-13 00:27 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:28 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6611m
2026-05-13 00:14 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6617m
2026-05-13 00:07 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:22 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6617m
2026-05-13 00:14 L1 0x1d5f88f1… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6622m
2026-05-13 00:07 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:17 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6622m
2026-05-13 00:07 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 00:11 2026-05-17 14:39 0.320 0.710 0.660 +0.340 $+39.00 6628m
2026-05-13 10:08 L1 0x56e3d9a0… KXEUROVISIONRANK-26TOP10-GRE
will-greece-be-in-the-top-10-at-eurovision-2026
Will Greece be in the top 10 at Eurovision 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 10:21 2026-05-13 12:08 0.840 0.720 0.876 +0.036 $-12.00 107m
2026-05-13 10:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 10:59 2026-05-13 11:46 0.330 0.220 0.680 +0.350 $-11.00 47m
2026-05-13 10:53 L1 0x5235578e… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 10:54 2026-05-13 10:55 0.350 0.240 0.680 +0.330 $-11.00 1m
2026-05-13 07:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 07:46 2026-05-13 10:54 0.360 0.240 0.690 +0.330 $-12.00 188m
2026-05-13 07:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 07:41 2026-05-13 10:54 0.360 0.240 0.690 +0.330 $-12.00 193m
2026-05-13 07:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXMUSKOAI-26
will-elon-musk-win-his-case-against-sam-altman
Will Elon Musk win his case against Sam Altman?
YES 2026-05-13 07:35 2026-05-13 10:54 0.360 0.240 0.690 +0.330 $-12.00 199m
2026-05-13 05:08 L1 0xc602e347… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-05-13 05:12 2026-05-13 05:13 0.520 0.510 0.490 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-05-13 04:32 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 04:45 2026-05-13 05:12 0.470 0.510 0.530 +0.060 $+4.00 27m
2026-05-13 04:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 04:45 2026-05-13 05:12 0.470 0.510 0.520 +0.050 $+4.00 27m
2026-05-13 04:32 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 04:39 2026-05-13 05:11 0.470 0.510 0.530 +0.060 $+4.00 32m
2026-05-13 04:32 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 04:34 2026-05-13 05:11 0.470 0.510 0.530 +0.060 $+4.00 37m
2026-05-13 04:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 04:34 2026-05-13 05:11 0.470 0.510 0.520 +0.050 $+4.00 37m
2026-05-13 04:33 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-05-13 04:39 2026-05-13 05:06 0.470 0.500 0.520 +0.050 $+3.00 27m
2026-05-12 20:38 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:51 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.354 -0.255 $-10.70 326m
2026-05-12 20:33 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:45 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.354 -0.255 $-10.70 332m
2026-05-12 20:38 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:45 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.354 -0.255 $-10.70 332m
2026-05-12 20:33 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:40 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.354 -0.255 $-10.70 337m
2026-05-12 20:38 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:40 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.354 -0.255 $-10.70 337m
2026-05-12 20:33 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:34 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.354 -0.255 $-10.70 343m
2026-05-12 19:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:13 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 364m
2026-05-12 19:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:07 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 370m
2026-05-12 19:59 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 20:02 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 375m
2026-05-12 19:03 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 19:13 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 424m
2026-05-12 19:03 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 19:13 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 424m
2026-05-12 18:55 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 19:08 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 429m
2026-05-12 19:03 L1 0xa5e3044f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T0
will-no-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will no Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-05-12 19:08 2026-05-13 02:17 0.609 0.716 0.362 -0.247 $-10.70 429m

Open Trades (39)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+24.95
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1556m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1546m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 1536m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 1536m
2026-06-24 09:36 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:33 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0x73653992… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 09:50 0.520 0.570 0.320 -0.200 $-2.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:35 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.570 0.690 +0.190 $+3.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:32 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-24 09:50 0.500 0.570 0.690 +0.190 $+3.50 273m
2026-06-24 09:53 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.420 -0.190 $+2.00 263m
2026-06-24 09:51 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.420 -0.190 $+2.00 263m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+2.00 263m
2026-06-24 09:50 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+1.00 263m
2026-06-24 09:49 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.360 -0.250 $+1.00 263m
2026-06-24 09:47 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.610 0.570 0.360 -0.250 $+1.00 263m
2026-06-24 09:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.300 0.220 -0.190 $+2.75 263m
2026-06-24 09:41 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-24 10:00 0.410 0.300 0.220 -0.190 $+2.75 263m
2026-06-24 10:01 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 10:10 0.182 0.168 0.140 -0.042 $+1.40 253m
2026-06-24 09:57 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
YES 2026-06-24 10:10 0.350 0.300 0.470 +0.120 $-2.50 253m
2026-06-24 10:07 L1 0x25b23e01… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.179 0.168 0.130 -0.049 $+0.55 243m
2026-06-24 10:12 L1 0x9f66aa95… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:20 0.640 0.570 0.355 -0.285 $+3.50 243m
2026-06-24 10:32 L1 0xc6dd7225… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 10:40 0.590 0.570 0.350 -0.240 $+1.00 223m
2026-06-24 12:03 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:09 0.590 0.570 0.410 -0.180 $+1.00 133m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+1.00 123m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+1.00 123m
2026-06-24 12:06 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.570 0.410 -0.200 $+0.50 123m
2026-06-24 12:13 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:19 0.610 0.570 0.400 -0.210 $+0.50 123m
2026-06-24 12:45 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 12:59 0.570 0.570 0.410 -0.160 $+0.00 84m
2026-06-24 12:55 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 13:09 0.620 0.570 0.410 -0.210 $+2.50 74m
2026-06-24 13:22 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 13:29 0.620 0.570 0.410 -0.210 $+2.50 54m
2026-06-24 14:04 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-24 14:18 0.630 0.570 0.420 -0.210 $+3.00 4m