Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$1148.89
L1 Closed / Open
2295 / 1
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.50
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
1073m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-19 12:51 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 13:01 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.360 -0.270 $-3.25 1466m
2026-06-19 12:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:50 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.360 -0.270 $-3.25 1476m
2026-06-19 12:23 L1 0xe39783f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:40 2026-06-20 13:27 0.620 0.760 0.360 -0.260 $-7.00 1487m
2026-06-19 11:01 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:07 2026-06-20 13:27 0.630 0.760 0.390 -0.240 $-6.50 1580m
2026-06-19 10:43 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-3.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:43 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:44 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:44 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:46 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 13:27 0.640 0.760 0.370 -0.270 $-6.00 1590m
2026-06-19 10:38 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-1.25 1599m
2026-06-19 10:39 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-2.50 1599m
2026-06-19 10:39 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-2.50 1599m
2026-06-19 10:39 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-2.50 1599m
2026-06-19 10:40 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:40 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:42 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:42 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:42 L1 0x014c4e7a… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:47 2026-06-20 13:27 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 1599m
2026-06-19 10:09 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.360 -0.290 $-2.75 1629m
2026-06-19 10:09 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.360 -0.290 $-2.75 1629m
2026-06-19 10:01 L1 0x4d417fb3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-20 13:27 0.650 0.760 0.381 -0.269 $-5.50 1639m
2026-06-20 13:08 L1 0x4bf45919… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 13:17 2026-06-20 13:26 0.680 0.720 0.730 +0.050 $+4.00 9m
2026-06-20 11:20 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:27 2026-06-20 13:24 0.580 0.690 0.410 -0.170 $-5.50 117m
2026-06-20 11:20 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:27 2026-06-20 13:24 0.580 0.690 0.410 -0.170 $-2.75 117m
2026-06-20 11:30 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:37 2026-06-20 13:24 0.590 0.690 0.410 -0.180 $-5.00 107m
2026-06-20 11:24 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:37 2026-06-20 13:24 0.590 0.690 0.410 -0.180 $-5.00 107m
2026-06-20 11:49 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 11:57 2026-06-20 13:24 0.590 0.690 0.380 -0.210 $-5.00 87m
2026-06-20 12:42 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:57 2026-06-20 13:24 0.670 0.690 0.710 +0.040 $+2.00 27m
2026-06-20 08:28 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 08:39 2026-06-20 12:37 0.570 0.670 0.430 -0.140 $-10.00 238m
2026-06-20 08:17 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 08:29 2026-06-20 12:37 0.570 0.670 0.430 -0.140 $-10.00 248m
2026-06-20 12:11 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 12:17 2026-06-20 12:34 0.630 0.660 0.670 +0.040 $+3.00 17m
2026-06-20 05:12 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:19 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+2.75 177m
2026-06-20 05:45 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-20 05:51 2026-06-20 08:09 0.710 0.690 0.670 -0.040 $+2.00 138m
2026-06-20 05:11 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.569 +0.119 $+1.38 167m
2026-06-20 05:11 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+2.75 167m
2026-06-20 05:13 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:22 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+2.75 167m
2026-06-20 05:03 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+1.50 177m
2026-06-20 05:03 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+1.50 177m
2026-06-20 05:03 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:04 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:05 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:05 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+6.00 177m
2026-06-20 05:06 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:12 2026-06-20 08:09 0.440 0.560 0.560 +0.120 $+6.00 177m
2026-06-20 04:54 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 08:09 0.450 0.560 0.570 +0.120 $+5.50 187m
2026-06-20 05:57 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-20 06:11 2026-06-20 08:08 0.710 0.690 0.680 -0.030 $+2.00 117m
2026-06-20 07:42 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-20 07:49 2026-06-20 08:06 0.710 0.690 0.680 -0.030 $+2.00 17m
2026-06-20 04:53 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 07:30 0.450 0.530 0.550 +0.100 $+8.00 148m
2026-06-20 05:29 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:28 0.460 0.530 0.550 +0.090 $+7.00 107m
2026-06-20 05:42 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:51 2026-06-20 07:28 0.460 0.530 0.540 +0.080 $+7.00 97m
2026-06-20 04:53 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 07:10 0.450 0.520 0.537 +0.087 $+7.00 128m
2026-06-20 05:32 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+6.00 87m
2026-06-20 05:34 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+6.00 87m
2026-06-20 05:33 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:41 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+6.00 87m
2026-06-20 05:40 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:51 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+3.00 77m
2026-06-20 05:47 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:01 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.540 +0.080 $+3.00 67m
2026-06-20 06:15 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:21 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.520 +0.060 $+3.00 47m
2026-06-20 06:22 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:31 2026-06-20 07:08 0.460 0.520 0.520 +0.060 $+1.50 37m
2026-06-20 06:36 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:37 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:38 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:42 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:42 L1 0x9495d622… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:50 2026-06-20 06:51 0.520 0.500 0.490 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:44 0.450 0.510 0.530 +0.080 $+6.00 102m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:44 0.450 0.510 0.530 +0.080 $+6.00 102m
2026-06-20 06:28 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.480 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:29 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.480 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:33 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.490 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:33 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.490 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:34 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.530 0.500 0.490 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-20 06:29 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:40 2026-06-20 06:41 0.460 0.500 0.510 +0.050 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-20 04:47 L1 0x61ea8375… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:39 0.440 0.500 0.490 +0.050 $+6.00 97m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x92e53057… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:39 0.440 0.500 0.480 +0.040 $+6.00 97m
2026-06-20 04:52 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 05:02 2026-06-20 06:39 0.440 0.500 0.470 +0.030 $+6.00 97m
2026-06-20 06:24 L1 0x08458f7e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-20 06:31 2026-06-20 06:39 0.460 0.500 0.520 +0.060 $+1.00 8m
2026-06-19 11:52 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:04 2026-06-20 05:12 0.600 0.420 0.420 -0.180 $+9.00 1028m
2026-06-19 11:38 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-20 05:12 0.600 0.420 0.411 -0.189 $+9.00 1041m
2026-06-19 11:08 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:34 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.400 -0.230 $+5.25 1059m
2026-06-19 11:11 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:34 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.410 -0.220 $+10.50 1059m
2026-06-19 10:56 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:07 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.410 -0.220 $+10.50 1085m
2026-06-19 11:02 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:07 2026-06-20 05:12 0.630 0.420 0.400 -0.230 $+10.50 1085m
2026-06-19 10:50 L1 0x0a6d26d3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:57 2026-06-20 05:12 0.640 0.420 0.420 -0.220 $+11.00 1095m
2026-06-19 10:01 L1 0xc682d794… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-20 05:12 0.650 0.420 0.400 -0.250 $+5.75 1144m
2026-06-19 11:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-20 05:02 0.600 0.440 0.430 -0.170 $+8.00 1031m
2026-06-19 11:36 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-20 05:02 0.600 0.440 0.430 -0.170 $+8.00 1031m
2026-06-19 09:58 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-20 05:02 0.650 0.440 0.440 -0.210 $+10.50 1134m
2026-06-20 03:37 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 03:42 2026-06-20 04:54 0.570 0.470 0.450 -0.120 $+10.00 72m
2026-06-20 03:37 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 03:42 2026-06-20 04:54 0.570 0.470 0.450 -0.120 $+10.00 72m
2026-06-20 03:38 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-20 03:52 2026-06-20 04:54 0.570 0.470 0.450 -0.120 $+10.00 62m
2026-06-19 16:09 L1 0xb40e8967… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 16:18 2026-06-20 04:02 0.650 0.530 0.700 +0.050 $-12.00 705m
2026-06-19 16:09 L1 0xb40e8967… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 16:18 2026-06-20 04:02 0.650 0.530 0.700 +0.050 $-12.00 705m
2026-06-18 19:49 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:59 2026-06-19 20:16 0.060 0.047 0.030 -0.030 $+0.65 1457m
2026-06-18 19:50 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:59 2026-06-19 20:16 0.060 0.047 0.030 -0.030 $+0.65 1457m
2026-06-18 19:52 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:59 2026-06-19 20:16 0.060 0.047 0.030 -0.030 $+0.65 1457m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.600 0.650 0.660 +0.060 $+1.25 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.600 0.650 0.660 +0.060 $+2.50 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.600 0.650 0.660 +0.060 $+5.00 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+0.75 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+0.75 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+1.50 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+1.50 186m

Open Trades (1)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+1.50
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.210 0.157 -0.083 $+1.50 186m