Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$1158.39
L1 Closed / Open
2296 / 9
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.50
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
1072m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+1.50 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+1.50 186m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+3.00 186m
2026-06-19 14:30 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+3.00 186m
2026-06-19 14:30 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+3.00 186m
2026-06-19 14:30 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+3.00 186m
2026-06-19 14:30 L1 0xeb54562f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 17:48 0.620 0.650 0.670 +0.050 $+3.00 186m
2026-06-19 14:27 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+1.00 87m
2026-06-19 14:30 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+4.00 87m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+2.00 87m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+2.00 87m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+4.00 87m
2026-06-19 14:29 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+4.00 87m
2026-06-19 14:30 L1 0x93fb8127… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 16:09 0.600 0.640 0.660 +0.060 $+4.00 87m
2026-06-19 15:59 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 16:08 2026-06-19 16:08 0.089 0.059 0.049 -0.040 $+1.50 1m
2026-06-19 14:56 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 15:08 2026-06-19 15:09 0.084 0.059 0.049 -0.035 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-19 14:57 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 15:08 2026-06-19 15:09 0.084 0.059 0.049 -0.035 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-19 14:58 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 15:08 2026-06-19 15:09 0.084 0.059 0.049 -0.035 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-19 14:33 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:42 2026-06-19 14:42 0.084 0.059 0.049 -0.035 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-19 14:26 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:32 2026-06-19 14:32 0.084 0.059 0.049 -0.035 $+1.25 1m
2026-06-19 13:50 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:01 2026-06-19 14:02 0.088 0.059 0.049 -0.039 $+1.45 1m
2026-06-19 13:51 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 14:01 2026-06-19 14:02 0.088 0.059 0.049 -0.039 $+1.45 1m
2026-06-19 13:02 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 13:21 2026-06-19 13:38 0.700 0.630 0.650 -0.050 $+7.00 17m
2026-06-19 12:22 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:40 2026-06-19 13:22 0.590 0.690 0.370 -0.220 $-5.00 42m
2026-06-19 12:27 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:40 2026-06-19 13:22 0.590 0.690 0.360 -0.230 $-5.00 42m
2026-06-19 12:11 L1 0x7e80049e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 12:28 2026-06-19 13:20 0.590 0.690 0.420 -0.170 $-5.00 52m
2026-06-19 12:57 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-19 13:11 2026-06-19 13:11 0.720 0.700 0.690 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 11:37 L1 0x2b9dd0a3… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:51 2026-06-19 12:13 0.600 0.550 0.553 -0.047 $+5.00 22m
2026-06-19 09:57 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-19 11:35 0.650 0.560 0.540 -0.110 $+9.00 87m
2026-06-19 09:57 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-19 11:35 0.650 0.560 0.540 -0.110 $+9.00 87m
2026-06-19 09:57 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-19 11:35 0.650 0.560 0.540 -0.110 $+9.00 87m
2026-06-19 11:02 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 11:34 2026-06-19 11:34 0.630 0.620 0.600 -0.030 $+1.00
2026-06-19 10:32 L1 0x40cfb294… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:37 2026-06-19 10:38 0.700 0.680 0.660 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 10:02 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-19 10:18 0.670 0.650 0.630 -0.040 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-19 10:02 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-19 10:18 0.670 0.650 0.630 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 10:08 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-19 10:18 0.670 0.650 0.640 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 10:01 L1 0x40cfb294… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:18 2026-06-19 10:18 0.670 0.650 0.640 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 09:31 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 10:10 0.540 0.640 0.490 -0.050 $-10.00 22m
2026-06-19 09:40 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 10:10 0.540 0.640 0.490 -0.050 $-10.00 22m
2026-06-19 09:40 L1 0x93511d72… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 10:10 0.540 0.640 0.480 -0.060 $-10.00 22m
2026-06-19 10:01 L1 0x5e73afb2… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 10:08 2026-06-19 10:10 0.650 0.640 0.620 -0.030 $+0.50 2m
2026-06-19 07:48 L1 0x5b6331e7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 07:58 2026-06-19 10:08 0.410 0.640 0.590 +0.180 $+11.50 130m
2026-06-19 07:22 L1 0xc682d794… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 07:27 2026-06-19 10:08 0.410 0.640 0.580 +0.170 $+11.50 160m
2026-06-19 06:47 L1 0xb40e8967… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 06:57 2026-06-19 10:08 0.410 0.640 0.610 +0.200 $+11.50 191m
2026-06-19 08:32 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 08:48 2026-06-19 10:05 0.410 0.630 0.590 +0.180 $+11.00 77m
2026-06-19 08:41 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 08:48 2026-06-19 10:05 0.410 0.630 0.580 +0.170 $+11.00 77m
2026-06-19 08:48 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 08:58 2026-06-19 10:05 0.420 0.630 0.580 +0.160 $+10.50 67m
2026-06-19 09:20 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 09:28 2026-06-19 10:05 0.430 0.630 0.580 +0.150 $+10.00 37m
2026-06-19 09:20 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 09:28 2026-06-19 10:05 0.430 0.630 0.580 +0.150 $+10.00 37m
2026-06-19 09:16 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 09:28 2026-06-19 10:05 0.430 0.630 0.580 +0.150 $+10.00 37m
2026-06-19 09:20 L1 0xb48b1a8f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 09:28 2026-06-19 10:05 0.430 0.630 0.570 +0.140 $+10.00 37m
2026-06-19 09:26 L1 0x4a2be7a7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:38 2026-06-19 10:05 0.520 0.630 0.450 -0.070 $-11.00 27m
2026-06-19 09:32 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.510 -0.030 $+0.50 1m
2026-06-19 09:37 L1 0x0d968f77… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.500 -0.040 $+0.50 1m
2026-06-19 09:34 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.510 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-19 09:32 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.510 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-19 09:35 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.510 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 09:35 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.510 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-19 09:32 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 09:48 2026-06-19 09:48 0.540 0.520 0.510 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 06:45 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 06:57 2026-06-19 09:28 0.400 0.500 0.330 -0.070 $-10.00 151m
2026-06-19 06:45 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 06:57 2026-06-19 09:28 0.400 0.500 0.340 -0.060 $-10.00 151m
2026-06-19 06:45 L1 0x66e7ce01… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 06:57 2026-06-19 09:28 0.400 0.500 0.340 -0.060 $-10.00 151m
2026-06-19 06:57 L1 0xcc2620f9… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 07:07 2026-06-19 08:19 0.410 0.430 0.443 +0.033 $+2.00 72m
2026-06-19 02:03 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 02:17 2026-06-19 06:57 0.350 0.390 0.380 +0.030 $+4.00 280m
2026-06-19 02:03 L1 0x7bc14171… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 02:17 2026-06-19 06:57 0.350 0.390 0.380 +0.030 $+4.00 280m
2026-06-19 02:03 L1 0x7bc14171… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 02:17 2026-06-19 06:57 0.350 0.390 0.380 +0.030 $+4.00 280m
2026-06-19 02:03 L1 0x7bc14171… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 02:17 2026-06-19 06:57 0.350 0.390 0.380 +0.030 $+4.00 280m
2026-06-19 02:03 L1 0x7bc14171… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 02:17 2026-06-19 06:57 0.350 0.390 0.380 +0.030 $+4.00 280m
2026-06-19 01:38 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 01:47 2026-06-19 06:57 0.360 0.390 0.400 +0.040 $+3.00 310m
2026-06-19 01:28 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 01:38 2026-06-19 06:57 0.360 0.390 0.390 +0.030 $+3.00 319m
2026-06-19 01:32 L1 0x7bc14171… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 01:38 2026-06-19 06:57 0.360 0.390 0.390 +0.030 $+3.00 319m
2026-06-19 05:19 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 05:37 2026-06-19 05:38 0.340 0.320 0.310 -0.030 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-19 00:47 L1 0x0d968f77… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 00:58 2026-06-19 04:47 0.400 0.300 0.600 +0.200 $-5.00 229m
2026-06-19 00:26 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-19 00:38 2026-06-19 04:47 0.410 0.300 0.570 +0.160 $-5.50 248m
2026-06-19 03:19 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 03:27 2026-06-19 03:27 0.330 0.320 0.300 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-18 23:00 L1 0x384fdc42… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 23:09 2026-06-19 02:37 0.430 0.320 0.574 +0.144 $-5.50 208m
2026-06-18 22:56 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 23:09 2026-06-19 02:37 0.430 0.320 0.560 +0.130 $-5.50 208m
2026-06-18 21:48 L1 0xeec50ede… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 21:59 2026-06-19 02:37 0.430 0.320 0.570 +0.140 $-5.50 278m
2026-06-18 21:48 L1 0xac6a1ca4… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 21:59 2026-06-19 02:37 0.430 0.320 0.570 +0.140 $-5.50 278m
2026-06-19 02:14 L1 0x4a2be7a7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 02:27 2026-06-19 02:28 0.350 0.320 0.300 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-19 02:14 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 02:27 2026-06-19 02:28 0.350 0.320 0.300 -0.050 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-18 15:59 L1 0x21064fd3… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 16:14 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.140 -0.049 $+0.51 574m
2026-06-18 15:57 L1 0x21064fd3… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 16:04 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.140 -0.049 $+0.51 584m
2026-06-18 15:48 L1 0x21064fd3… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 15:53 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.140 -0.049 $+1.03 594m
2026-06-18 15:48 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 15:53 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.130 -0.059 $+1.03 594m
2026-06-18 15:48 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 15:53 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.130 -0.059 $+1.03 594m
2026-06-18 12:13 L1 0x8db4f2bc… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 12:25 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.130 -0.059 $+2.05 803m
2026-06-18 12:13 L1 0x7e80049e… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 12:25 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.130 -0.059 $+2.05 803m
2026-06-18 12:13 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 12:25 2026-06-19 01:47 0.189 0.148 0.130 -0.059 $+2.05 803m
2026-06-18 08:40 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 09:05 2026-06-19 01:28 0.183 0.161 0.150 -0.033 $+2.20 982m
2026-06-18 08:41 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 09:05 2026-06-19 01:28 0.183 0.161 0.150 -0.033 $+2.20 982m
2026-06-18 22:52 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 22:59 2026-06-19 01:01 0.440 0.330 0.560 +0.120 $-2.75 122m
2026-06-18 23:25 L1 0xfb5148fc… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 23:39 2026-06-19 01:01 0.440 0.330 0.570 +0.130 $-1.37 82m
2026-06-18 23:33 L1 0xb10047d6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 23:39 2026-06-19 01:01 0.440 0.330 0.590 +0.150 $-1.37 82m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.620 +0.180 $-2.75 319m
2026-06-18 19:31 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.600 +0.160 $-2.75 319m
2026-06-18 19:31 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.600 +0.160 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-18 19:32 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.590 +0.150 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.620 +0.180 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.620 +0.180 $-5.50 319m

Open Trades (9)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$-4.00
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.210 0.157 -0.083 $+1.50 262m
2026-06-23 12:09 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 12:16 0.120 0.110 0.080 -0.040 $+0.50 16m
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.280 +0.050 $-1.00 6m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.270 +0.040 $-1.00 6m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.270 +0.040 $-1.00 6m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.270 +0.040 $-1.00 6m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.270 +0.040 $-1.00 6m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.270 +0.040 $-0.50 6m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.220 0.280 +0.050 $-0.50 6m