Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$2230.66
L1 Closed / Open
4363 / 73
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.51
L1 Capital Deployed
$141198
L1 Return (book / avg trade)
+1.58% / +4.11%
L1 Win Rate
67%
L1 Avg Catchup
733m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Capital Deployed
$1530
L2 Return (book / avg trade)
-17.19% / -23.42%
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).
Cost = entry price × position size — the capital actually deployed, which is not the position size (size is a contract count; each contract settles at $1). Return = P&L ÷ cost.

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Cost P&L Return Catchup
2026-07-09 14:26 L1 0x2cc798c8… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 14:44 2026-07-09 21:41 0.130 0.110 0.090 -0.040 $3.25 $+0.50 +15.4% 417m
2026-07-09 13:38 L1 0x4fff3c11… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 14:00 2026-07-09 21:41 0.130 0.110 0.090 -0.040 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 461m
2026-07-09 13:23 L1 0x4fff3c11… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 13:45 2026-07-09 21:41 0.130 0.110 0.090 -0.040 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 476m
2026-07-09 13:13 L1 0x4fff3c11… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 13:29 2026-07-09 21:41 0.130 0.110 0.090 -0.040 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 492m
2026-07-09 13:15 L1 0x4fff3c11… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 13:29 2026-07-09 21:41 0.130 0.110 0.090 -0.040 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 492m
2026-07-09 13:13 L1 0xcf070b9e… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 13:29 2026-07-09 21:41 0.130 0.110 0.090 -0.040 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 492m
2026-07-09 13:37 L1 0x7bbf09fc… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-09 14:00 2026-07-09 15:02 0.490 0.410 0.390 -0.100 $49.00 $+8.00 +16.3% 62m
2026-07-09 13:05 L1 0xcf070b9e… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 13:15 2026-07-09 13:16 0.120 0.110 0.090 -0.030 $6.00 $+0.50 +8.3% 1m
2026-07-09 12:41 L1 0xcf070b9e… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 12:49 2026-07-09 12:50 0.120 0.110 0.090 -0.030 $6.00 $+0.50 +8.3% 1m
2026-07-09 12:15 L1 0xcf070b9e… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 12:27 2026-07-09 12:27 0.120 0.110 0.090 -0.030 $6.00 $+0.50 +8.3% 1m
2026-07-09 11:59 L1 0xcf070b9e… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-09 12:16 2026-07-09 12:16 0.120 0.110 0.090 -0.030 $6.00 $+0.50 +8.3% 1m
2026-07-09 08:38 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-09 08:50 2026-07-09 12:04 0.640 0.510 0.722 +0.082 $64.00 $-13.00 -20.3% 194m
2026-07-08 11:08 L1 0xc3cd1d61… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VPUTRUS
putin-out-before-2027
Putin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 11:16 2026-07-09 11:31 0.150 0.110 0.090 -0.060 $7.50 $+2.00 +26.7% 1454m
2026-07-08 21:06 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-08 21:23 2026-07-09 06:12 0.650 0.760 0.390 -0.260 $32.50 $-5.50 -16.9% 530m
2026-07-09 05:09 L1 0x9495d622… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-09 05:18 2026-07-09 05:40 0.650 0.720 0.727 +0.077 $65.00 $+7.00 +10.8% 22m
2026-07-09 00:50 L1 0x85a85805… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-09 01:04 2026-07-09 02:11 0.650 0.700 0.700 +0.050 $65.00 $+5.00 +7.7% 67m
2026-07-09 00:46 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-09 00:53 2026-07-09 02:10 0.650 0.700 0.699 +0.049 $65.00 $+5.00 +7.7% 77m
2026-07-08 23:03 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 23:13 2026-07-08 23:13 0.062 0.050 0.032 -0.030 $3.10 $+0.60 +19.4% 1m
2026-07-08 19:26 L1 0x6b0ebbef… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 19:32 2026-07-08 19:33 0.320 0.290 0.290 -0.030 $32.00 $+3.00 +9.4% 1m
2026-07-08 18:13 L1 0x6b0ebbef… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 18:29 2026-07-08 18:29 0.320 0.290 0.290 -0.030 $32.00 $+3.00 +9.4% 1m
2026-07-08 09:41 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $4.72 $+0.72 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:41 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $4.72 $+0.72 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:42 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $9.45 $+1.45 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:43 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $9.45 $+1.45 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:44 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $9.45 $+1.45 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:44 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $18.90 $+2.90 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:45 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $18.90 $+2.90 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:46 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $18.90 $+2.90 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:46 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $18.90 $+2.90 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 09:47 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 09:56 2026-07-08 16:33 0.189 0.160 0.150 -0.039 $18.90 $+2.90 +15.3% 396m
2026-07-08 02:26 L1 0x4ea6d9bb… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-08 02:34 2026-07-08 14:02 0.590 0.450 0.840 +0.250 $29.50 $-7.00 -23.7% 688m
2026-07-07 07:45 L1 0xee67fa47… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-07 07:59 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $7.63 $-1.37 -18.0% 1761m
2026-07-07 07:45 L1 0xee67fa47… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-07 07:59 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $7.63 $-1.37 -18.0% 1761m
2026-07-07 01:35 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-07 01:43 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $15.25 $-2.75 -18.0% 2137m
2026-07-07 00:16 L1 0x0e64bde2… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-07 00:26 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $15.25 $-2.75 -18.0% 2214m
2026-07-07 00:16 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-07 00:26 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $15.25 $-2.75 -18.0% 2214m
2026-07-06 23:45 L1 0x0e64bde2… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-07 00:00 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $30.50 $-5.50 -18.0% 2240m
2026-07-06 23:22 L1 0x0e64bde2… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-06 23:34 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $30.50 $-5.50 -18.0% 2266m
2026-07-06 22:33 L1 0x0e64bde2… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-06 22:43 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $30.50 $-5.50 -18.0% 2317m
2026-07-06 21:47 L1 0x0e64bde2… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-06 22:04 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $30.50 $-5.50 -18.0% 2355m
2026-07-06 21:37 L1 0x0e64bde2… KXSULYOKOUT-26MAY-AUG01
tamas-sulyok-out-as-president-of-hungary-by-july-31-20260626200424352
Tamas Sulyok out as President of Hungary by July 31?
YES 2026-07-06 21:52 2026-07-08 13:20 0.610 0.500 0.850 +0.240 $30.50 $-5.50 -18.0% 2368m
2026-07-08 07:42 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 07:49 2026-07-08 11:40 0.230 0.150 0.190 -0.040 $23.00 $+8.00 +34.8% 231m
2026-07-08 07:00 L1 0x48eec168… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 07:15 2026-07-08 11:40 0.230 0.150 0.186 -0.044 $23.00 $+8.00 +34.8% 265m
2026-07-08 08:24 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 08:36 2026-07-08 10:42 0.230 0.210 0.190 -0.040 $23.00 $+2.00 +8.7% 126m
2026-07-08 07:51 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 08:00 2026-07-08 10:42 0.230 0.210 0.190 -0.040 $23.00 $+2.00 +8.7% 161m
2026-07-08 08:24 L1 0x25257a6a… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 08:36 2026-07-08 08:36 0.230 0.220 0.200 -0.030 $23.00 $+1.00 +4.3% 1m
2026-07-08 05:53 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 06:08 2026-07-08 06:09 0.064 0.053 0.034 -0.030 $3.20 $+0.55 +17.2% 1m
2026-07-07 19:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 19:20 2026-07-08 03:50 0.206 0.145 0.140 -0.066 $2.57 $+0.76 +29.6% 510m
2026-07-07 15:18 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:32 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $2.49 $+0.68 +27.1% 739m
2026-07-07 15:19 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:32 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $2.49 $+0.68 +27.1% 739m
2026-07-07 15:21 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:32 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $4.98 $+1.35 +27.1% 739m
2026-07-07 15:11 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:21 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $4.98 $+1.35 +27.1% 749m
2026-07-07 15:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:21 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $4.98 $+1.35 +27.1% 749m
2026-07-07 15:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:21 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $9.95 $+2.70 +27.1% 749m
2026-07-07 15:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:21 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $9.95 $+2.70 +27.1% 749m
2026-07-07 15:14 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 15:21 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.140 -0.059 $9.95 $+2.70 +27.1% 749m
2026-07-07 14:04 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 14:26 2026-07-08 03:50 0.199 0.145 0.150 -0.049 $19.90 $+5.40 +27.1% 805m
2026-07-07 13:12 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 13:27 2026-07-08 03:50 0.193 0.145 0.140 -0.053 $9.65 $+2.40 +24.9% 863m
2026-07-07 13:12 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 13:27 2026-07-08 03:50 0.188 0.145 0.150 -0.038 $18.80 $+4.30 +22.9% 863m
2026-07-07 13:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 13:27 2026-07-08 03:50 0.188 0.145 0.150 -0.038 $18.80 $+4.30 +22.9% 863m
2026-07-07 11:49 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 12:12 2026-07-08 03:50 0.181 0.145 0.140 -0.041 $18.10 $+3.60 +19.9% 939m
2026-07-07 11:38 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-07 11:56 2026-07-08 03:50 0.186 0.145 0.140 -0.046 $18.60 $+4.10 +22.0% 955m
2026-07-08 02:02 L1 0xe8076697… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 02:12 2026-07-08 02:12 0.064 0.054 0.034 -0.030 $3.20 $+0.50 +15.6% 1m
2026-07-08 00:35 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-08 00:43 2026-07-08 00:44 0.064 0.053 0.034 -0.030 $3.20 $+0.55 +17.2% 1m
2026-07-06 20:23 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 20:34 2026-07-07 05:55 0.197 0.155 0.140 -0.057 $9.85 $+2.10 +21.3% 561m
2026-07-06 20:23 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 20:34 2026-07-07 05:55 0.197 0.155 0.140 -0.057 $9.85 $+2.10 +21.3% 561m
2026-07-06 20:06 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 20:21 2026-07-07 05:55 0.174 0.155 0.140 -0.034 $17.40 $+1.90 +10.9% 574m
2026-07-06 20:06 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 20:21 2026-07-07 05:55 0.174 0.155 0.140 -0.034 $17.40 $+1.90 +10.9% 574m
2026-07-06 18:33 L1 0x9a3fa403… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 18:49 2026-07-06 21:26 0.880 0.903 0.910 +0.030 $44.00 $+1.15 +2.6% 157m
2026-07-06 18:35 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 18:49 2026-07-06 21:26 0.880 0.903 0.920 +0.040 $44.00 $+1.15 +2.6% 157m
2026-07-06 18:36 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 18:49 2026-07-06 21:26 0.880 0.903 0.920 +0.040 $88.00 $+2.30 +2.6% 157m
2026-07-06 18:36 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 18:49 2026-07-06 21:26 0.880 0.903 0.920 +0.040 $88.00 $+2.30 +2.6% 157m
2026-07-06 18:37 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 18:49 2026-07-06 21:26 0.880 0.903 0.920 +0.040 $88.00 $+2.30 +2.6% 157m
2026-07-06 18:37 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 18:49 2026-07-06 21:26 0.880 0.903 0.920 +0.040 $88.00 $+2.30 +2.6% 157m
2026-07-06 18:46 L1 0x9a3fa403… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 19:02 2026-07-06 19:34 0.880 0.890 0.910 +0.030 $22.00 $+0.25 +1.1% 32m
2026-07-06 18:45 L1 0x9a3fa403… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 19:02 2026-07-06 19:34 0.880 0.890 0.910 +0.030 $22.00 $+0.25 +1.1% 32m
2026-07-06 18:46 L1 0x9a3fa403… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-06 19:02 2026-07-06 19:34 0.880 0.890 0.910 +0.030 $44.00 $+0.50 +1.1% 32m
2026-07-06 17:09 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 17:28 2026-07-06 18:00 0.201 0.156 0.140 -0.061 $10.05 $+2.25 +22.4% 32m
2026-07-06 16:37 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 16:48 2026-07-06 16:49 0.187 0.158 0.140 -0.047 $9.35 $+1.45 +15.5% 1m
2026-07-06 16:37 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 16:48 2026-07-06 16:49 0.069 0.050 0.035 -0.034 $3.45 $+0.95 +27.5% 1m
2026-07-06 10:10 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 10:27 2026-07-06 16:49 0.069 0.050 0.035 -0.034 $3.45 $+0.95 +27.5% 382m
2026-07-06 14:49 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $4.72 $+0.90 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:48 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $4.72 $+0.90 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:50 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $9.45 $+1.80 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:49 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $4.72 $+0.90 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:52 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $9.45 $+1.80 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:51 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $9.45 $+1.80 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:51 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $9.45 $+1.80 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 14:52 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 15:01 2026-07-06 15:02 0.189 0.153 0.140 -0.049 $9.45 $+1.80 +19.1% 1m
2026-07-06 08:55 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 09:09 2026-07-06 09:09 0.070 0.043 0.035 -0.035 $3.50 $+1.35 +38.6% 1m
2026-07-06 08:56 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 09:09 2026-07-06 09:09 0.070 0.043 0.036 -0.034 $3.50 $+1.35 +38.6% 1m
2026-07-06 08:57 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 09:09 2026-07-06 09:09 0.070 0.043 0.036 -0.034 $3.50 $+1.35 +38.6% 1m
2026-07-06 07:18 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 07:26 2026-07-06 07:26 0.070 0.050 0.037 -0.033 $3.50 $+1.00 +28.6% 1m
2026-07-06 02:06 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 02:21 2026-07-06 07:03 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $18.00 $+1.40 +7.8% 282m
2026-07-06 01:33 L1 0xf2d14074… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 01:43 2026-07-06 07:03 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $18.00 $+1.40 +7.8% 320m
2026-07-05 23:45 L1 0xf2d14074… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 00:01 2026-07-06 07:03 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $18.00 $+1.40 +7.8% 422m
2026-07-06 05:31 L1 0xf2d14074… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 05:48 2026-07-06 07:00 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $18.00 $+1.40 +7.8% 72m
2026-07-06 05:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 05:48 2026-07-06 07:00 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $18.00 $+1.40 +7.8% 72m
2026-07-06 05:46 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 06:01 2026-07-06 06:58 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $9.00 $+0.70 +7.8% 57m
2026-07-06 05:46 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-06 06:01 2026-07-06 06:58 0.180 0.166 0.150 -0.030 $4.50 $+0.35 +7.8% 57m

Open Trades (73)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid; Return = that ÷ cost.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+54.75
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Cost Unrealized P&L Return Age
2026-08-05 21:35 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 21:58 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2743m
2026-08-05 21:33 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 21:58 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2743m
2026-08-05 21:52 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:13 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2728m
2026-08-05 21:48 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:13 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2728m
2026-08-05 22:37 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:57 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2684m
2026-08-05 22:53 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 23:12 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2669m
2026-08-05 23:06 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 23:27 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2654m
2026-08-06 00:21 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:40 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $21.00 $+0.00 +0.0% 2581m
2026-08-06 00:18 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:40 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2581m
2026-08-06 00:39 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:55 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2566m
2026-08-06 00:57 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 01:09 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2552m
2026-08-06 00:56 L1 0x4c4ed674… SENATEME-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 01:09 0.370 0.360 0.320 -0.050 $37.00 $+1.00 +2.7% 2552m
2026-08-06 01:10 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 01:24 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $5.25 $+0.00 +0.0% 2537m
2026-08-06 01:51 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 02:06 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2495m
2026-08-06 01:46 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 02:06 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $5.25 $+0.00 +0.0% 2495m
2026-08-06 02:07 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 02:21 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $7.38 $+0.25 +3.4% 2480m
2026-08-06 05:55 L1 0x01309d49… GOVPARTYWI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 06:09 0.410 0.390 0.590 +0.180 $20.50 $-1.00 -4.9% 2252m
2026-08-06 05:54 L1 0x01309d49… GOVPARTYWI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 06:09 0.410 0.390 0.580 +0.170 $20.50 $-1.00 -4.9% 2252m
2026-08-06 06:24 L1 0x6f679c4a… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 06:37 0.160 0.190 0.120 -0.040 $8.00 $-1.50 -18.8% 2224m
2026-08-06 07:39 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2149m
2026-08-06 07:39 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2149m
2026-08-06 07:38 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2149m
2026-08-06 07:38 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2149m
2026-08-06 09:28 L1 0x7803ddf6… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 09:50 0.590 0.570 0.380 -0.210 $7.38 $+0.25 +3.4% 2031m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1900m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0xa91edaba… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1900m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1900m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $6.50 $+0.38 +5.8% 1900m
2026-08-06 12:15 L1 0xa91edaba… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:29 0.510 0.490 0.390 -0.120 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1872m
2026-08-06 12:08 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:29 0.510 0.490 0.400 -0.110 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1872m
2026-08-06 12:31 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:44 0.510 0.490 0.400 -0.110 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1857m
2026-08-06 12:39 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:59 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1842m
2026-08-06 12:49 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:13 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1828m
2026-08-06 13:19 L1 0xe5f51861… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 13:42 0.210 0.190 0.117 -0.093 $10.50 $+1.00 +9.5% 1799m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1785m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0x09789b8b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1785m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1785m
2026-08-06 14:20 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 14:39 0.210 0.190 0.130 -0.080 $10.50 $+1.00 +9.5% 1742m
2026-08-06 14:18 L1 0xe5f51861… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 14:39 0.210 0.190 0.114 -0.096 $10.50 $+1.00 +9.5% 1742m
2026-08-06 16:05 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:16 0.500 0.490 0.410 -0.090 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 1645m
2026-08-06 16:19 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1631m
2026-08-06 16:19 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1631m
2026-08-06 16:18 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1631m
2026-08-06 16:27 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:44 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $12.75 $+0.50 +3.9% 1617m
2026-08-06 16:50 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 17:12 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $12.75 $+0.50 +3.9% 1589m
2026-08-06 17:35 L1 0xee5457ad… SENATEME-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 17:55 0.370 0.360 0.320 -0.050 $37.00 $+1.00 +2.7% 1546m
2026-08-06 21:42 L1 0xe2349595… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 22:01 0.500 0.490 0.410 -0.090 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 1300m
2026-08-06 23:10 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.111 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.30 +5.1% 1217m
2026-08-06 23:10 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.111 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.30 +5.1% 1217m
2026-08-06 23:08 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.111 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.30 +5.1% 1217m
2026-08-06 23:57 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $5.80 $+0.25 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-06 23:57 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $5.80 $+0.25 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-06 23:56 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.13 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-06 23:55 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.13 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-06 23:55 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.13 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-06 23:54 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $1.45 $+0.06 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-06 23:54 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $1.45 $+0.06 +4.3% 1174m
2026-08-07 03:20 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-no-change-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724869
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-07 03:41 0.560 0.530 0.500 -0.060 $56.00 $+3.00 +5.4% 960m
2026-08-07 04:43 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-07 04:54 0.210 0.190 0.131 -0.079 $10.50 $+1.00 +9.5% 887m
2026-08-07 05:38 L1 0x7e5972bf… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-a-25-bps-increase-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724870
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 2026-08-07 05:54 0.420 0.450 0.590 +0.170 $21.00 $+1.50 +7.1% 827m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 738m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x6139c42e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $12.50 $+0.25 +2.0% 738m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $12.50 $+0.25 +2.0% 738m
2026-08-07 08:09 L1 0x7803ddf6… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-07 08:23 0.580 0.570 0.610 +0.030 $58.00 $-1.00 -1.7% 678m
2026-08-07 11:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 12:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 459m
2026-08-07 12:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 399m
2026-08-07 12:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 399m
2026-08-07 12:45 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 399m
2026-08-07 13:26 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:46 0.140 0.111 0.090 -0.050 $7.00 $+1.45 +20.7% 355m
2026-08-07 13:25 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:46 0.140 0.111 0.090 -0.050 $3.50 $+0.73 +20.7% 355m
2026-08-07 14:07 L1 0xe23b2940… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 14:27 0.100 0.099 0.070 -0.030 $5.00 $+0.05 +1.0% 314m
2026-08-07 14:51 L1 0xbd14da50… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-a-25-bps-increase-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724870
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 2026-08-07 15:10 0.460 0.450 0.570 +0.110 $46.00 $-1.00 -2.2% 271m
2026-08-07 19:18 L1 0xa8c63f77… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 19:40 0.130 0.110 0.070 -0.060 $6.50 $+1.00 +15.4% 1m