Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$1175.59
L1 Closed / Open
2305 / 17
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.51
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
1068m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-18 01:19 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-18 01:28 2026-06-18 04:50 0.850 0.980 0.999 +0.149 $+13.00 202m
2026-06-18 01:12 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-18 01:18 2026-06-18 04:50 0.850 0.980 0.999 +0.149 $+13.00 212m
2026-06-18 01:12 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-18 01:18 2026-06-18 04:50 0.850 0.980 0.999 +0.149 $+13.00 212m
2026-06-17 12:44 L1 0x15f7ddbc… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 12:54 2026-06-18 04:50 0.900 0.980 0.997 +0.097 $+2.00 956m
2026-06-17 12:36 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-18 04:50 0.900 0.980 0.996 +0.096 $+2.00 966m
2026-06-17 12:06 L2 0x4e3de510… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-18 04:50 0.910 0.980 0.993 +0.083 $+3.50 995m
2026-06-17 10:55 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-17 11:07 2026-06-18 04:50 0.900 0.980 0.993 +0.093 $+4.00 1063m
2026-06-17 10:08 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 10:18 2026-06-18 04:50 0.860 0.970 0.440 -0.420 $-5.50 1112m
2026-06-17 10:07 L1 0x4c2da46b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
NO 2026-06-17 10:18 2026-06-18 04:50 0.860 0.970 0.450 -0.410 $-5.50 1112m
2026-06-18 03:23 L1 0xdf17f4a8… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUL01
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-30-20260615191216221
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 30?
YES 2026-06-18 03:32 2026-06-18 04:49 0.860 0.980 0.999 +0.139 $+12.00 77m
2026-06-18 01:40 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 02:39 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+4.00 52m
2026-06-18 01:38 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 02:39 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+2.00 52m
2026-06-18 01:37 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 02:39 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+2.00 52m
2026-06-18 01:39 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 02:39 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+4.00 52m
2026-06-18 01:42 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 02:39 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+4.00 52m
2026-06-18 01:41 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 02:39 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+4.00 52m
2026-06-18 01:51 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:56 2026-06-18 02:38 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+2.00 42m
2026-06-18 01:50 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:56 2026-06-18 02:38 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+1.00 42m
2026-06-18 01:49 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:56 2026-06-18 02:38 0.210 0.250 0.260 +0.050 $+1.00 42m
2026-06-18 01:19 L1 0xcf19c420… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 01:28 2026-06-18 02:15 0.210 0.230 0.240 +0.030 $+2.00 47m
2026-06-18 01:34 L1 0x0d42cc5f… KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01
miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30-935-772
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
NO 2026-06-18 01:47 2026-06-18 01:47 0.100 0.080 0.060 -0.040 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-17 23:39 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01
miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30-935-772
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
NO 2026-06-17 23:44 2026-06-17 23:44 0.100 0.080 0.060 -0.040 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-17 23:24 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01
miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30-935-772
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
NO 2026-06-17 23:34 2026-06-17 23:35 0.110 0.080 0.060 -0.050 $+1.50 1m
2026-06-17 20:25 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 20:37 2026-06-17 23:34 0.250 0.220 0.210 -0.040 $+3.00 177m
2026-06-17 21:42 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 21:48 2026-06-17 23:30 0.240 0.220 0.200 -0.040 $+2.00 102m
2026-06-17 23:20 L1 0x215adbb6… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 23:25 2026-06-17 23:26 0.240 0.220 0.200 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-17 23:04 L1 0x70d94a4f… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 23:16 2026-06-17 23:16 0.067 0.052 0.037 -0.030 $+0.75 1m
2026-06-17 23:09 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXDIAZOUT-MDC-26JUL01
miguel-daz-canel-out-as-leader-of-cuba-by-june-30-935-772
Miguel Díaz-Canel out as leader of Cuba by June 30?
NO 2026-06-17 23:16 2026-06-17 23:16 0.100 0.080 0.060 -0.040 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-17 22:24 L1 0x0a6d26d3… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-06-17 22:38 2026-06-17 22:38 0.066 0.049 0.033 -0.033 $+0.85 1m
2026-06-17 22:14 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 22:28 2026-06-17 22:29 0.420 0.380 0.380 -0.040 $+4.00 1m
2026-06-17 22:05 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 22:09 2026-06-17 22:10 0.430 0.380 0.370 -0.060 $+5.00 1m
2026-06-17 21:32 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 21:48 2026-06-17 21:49 0.410 0.380 0.370 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-17 12:50 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 13:04 2026-06-17 21:08 0.680 0.570 0.993 +0.313 $-5.50 484m
2026-06-17 12:32 L1 0xa9f2d6b4… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.985 +0.315 $-1.25 504m
2026-06-17 12:30 L1 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.990 +0.320 $-2.50 504m
2026-06-17 12:32 L1 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.990 +0.320 $-2.50 504m
2026-06-17 12:35 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.986 +0.316 $-2.50 504m
2026-06-17 12:29 L1 0xa9f2d6b4… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:34 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.992 +0.322 $-5.00 513m
2026-06-17 12:25 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:34 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.990 +0.320 $-5.00 513m
2026-06-17 12:25 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:34 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.993 +0.323 $-5.00 513m
2026-06-17 12:29 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:34 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.990 +0.320 $-5.00 513m
2026-06-17 12:10 L1 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:25 2026-06-17 21:08 0.670 0.570 0.972 +0.302 $-5.00 523m
2026-06-17 12:07 L2 0x2598ea80… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.981 +0.271 $-3.50 533m
2026-06-17 12:07 L2 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.985 +0.275 $-3.50 533m
2026-06-17 12:08 L2 0xd8e5d96b… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.996 +0.286 $-7.00 533m
2026-06-17 12:06 L1 0x3d1487b9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.979 +0.269 $-7.00 533m
2026-06-17 12:06 L1 0x3d1487b9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.979 +0.269 $-7.00 533m
2026-06-17 12:06 L1 0x3d1487b9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.979 +0.269 $-7.00 533m
2026-06-17 12:06 L1 0x3d1487b9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.710 0.570 0.981 +0.271 $-7.00 533m
2026-06-17 12:06 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 12:15 2026-06-17 21:08 0.690 0.570 0.962 +0.272 $-6.00 533m
2026-06-17 11:33 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:46 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.979 +0.279 $-1.62 562m
2026-06-17 11:34 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:46 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.979 +0.279 $-3.25 562m
2026-06-17 11:36 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:46 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.979 +0.279 $-3.25 562m
2026-06-17 11:37 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:46 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.979 +0.279 $-3.25 562m
2026-06-17 11:39 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:46 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.979 +0.279 $-6.50 562m
2026-06-17 11:04 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.982 +0.282 $-6.50 591m
2026-06-17 11:05 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.982 +0.282 $-6.50 591m
2026-06-17 11:07 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.982 +0.282 $-6.50 591m
2026-06-17 11:10 L1 0x9e807759… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 11:17 2026-06-17 21:08 0.700 0.570 0.978 +0.278 $-6.50 591m
2026-06-17 12:31 L1 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 20:57 0.820 0.600 0.996 +0.176 $-22.00 493m
2026-06-17 12:33 L1 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 20:57 0.820 0.600 0.998 +0.178 $-22.00 493m
2026-06-17 12:35 L1 0x0778f428… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 12:44 2026-06-17 20:57 0.820 0.600 0.988 +0.168 $-22.00 493m
2026-06-17 10:38 L1 0x4aa87d51… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 20:57 0.860 0.600 0.980 +0.120 $-26.00 610m
2026-06-17 10:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 10:48 2026-06-17 20:57 0.850 0.600 0.970 +0.120 $-25.00 610m
2026-06-17 01:44 L1 0xd087c72c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 01:57 2026-06-17 20:57 0.770 0.600 0.943 +0.173 $-8.50 1141m
2026-06-17 01:25 L2 0xd087c72c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 01:38 2026-06-17 20:57 0.770 0.600 0.950 +0.180 $-17.00 1160m
2026-06-17 01:17 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 01:28 2026-06-17 20:57 0.770 0.600 0.941 +0.171 $-17.00 1169m
2026-06-17 01:17 L1 0x8a98109f… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN20
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-19-20260615191216217
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 19?
YES 2026-06-17 01:28 2026-06-17 20:57 0.770 0.600 0.949 +0.179 $-17.00 1169m
2026-06-17 19:45 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:57 2026-06-17 20:54 0.880 0.630 0.998 +0.118 $-25.00 57m
2026-06-17 17:40 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 18:03 2026-06-17 20:47 0.890 0.790 0.997 +0.107 $-10.00 165m
2026-06-17 17:51 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 18:03 2026-06-17 20:47 0.890 0.790 0.997 +0.107 $-10.00 165m
2026-06-17 17:41 L1 0xf0d5eb1c… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 18:03 2026-06-17 20:47 0.890 0.790 0.998 +0.108 $-10.00 165m
2026-06-17 19:19 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:28 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-11.00 72m
2026-06-17 19:14 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:28 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-11.00 72m
2026-06-17 19:18 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:28 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-11.00 72m
2026-06-17 19:14 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:28 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-11.00 72m
2026-06-17 19:25 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:38 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-5.50 62m
2026-06-17 19:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:48 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-5.50 52m
2026-06-17 19:36 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 19:48 2026-06-17 20:40 0.900 0.790 0.998 +0.098 $-5.50 52m
2026-06-17 17:35 L2 0x35e36faa… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 17:49 2026-06-17 20:37 0.900 0.800 0.998 +0.098 $-10.00 168m
2026-06-17 17:35 L1 0x7c3db723… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 17:49 2026-06-17 20:37 0.920 0.800 0.997 +0.077 $-12.00 168m
2026-06-17 17:36 L1 0x7c3db723… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 17:49 2026-06-17 20:37 0.920 0.800 0.996 +0.076 $-12.00 168m
2026-06-17 17:37 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 17:49 2026-06-17 20:37 0.920 0.800 0.998 +0.078 $-12.00 168m
2026-06-17 16:18 L1 0x95074f70… KXUSIRANMOU-27JAN01-26JUN19
will-the-text-of-the-us-iran-agreement-be-released-by-june-17-20260615191216216
Will the text of the US-Iran agreement be released by June 17?
YES 2026-06-17 16:26 2026-06-17 20:37 0.920 0.800 0.996 +0.076 $-12.00 251m
2026-06-17 06:52 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 07:04 2026-06-17 20:17 0.340 0.240 0.380 +0.040 $-10.00 793m
2026-06-17 06:53 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 07:04 2026-06-17 20:17 0.340 0.240 0.380 +0.040 $-10.00 793m
2026-06-17 06:42 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 06:54 2026-06-17 20:17 0.340 0.240 0.390 +0.050 $-10.00 803m
2026-06-17 06:48 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-17 06:54 2026-06-17 20:17 0.340 0.240 0.380 +0.040 $-10.00 803m
2026-06-17 10:27 L1 0x46ebe92a… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 19:28 0.530 0.310 0.400 -0.130 $+11.00 530m
2026-06-17 10:29 L1 0x46ebe92a… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 19:28 0.530 0.310 0.400 -0.130 $+22.00 530m
2026-06-17 10:25 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 19:28 0.530 0.310 0.390 -0.140 $+11.00 530m
2026-06-17 10:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 19:28 0.530 0.310 0.410 -0.120 $+22.00 530m
2026-06-17 10:25 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 19:28 0.530 0.310 0.390 -0.140 $+11.00 530m
2026-06-17 10:31 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:38 2026-06-17 19:28 0.530 0.310 0.410 -0.120 $+22.00 530m
2026-06-17 10:14 L2 0x46ebe92a… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 10:28 2026-06-17 19:28 0.540 0.310 0.402 -0.138 $+11.50 540m
2026-06-17 09:17 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 09:29 2026-06-17 19:28 0.560 0.310 0.410 -0.150 $+3.13 599m
2026-06-17 08:56 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 09:00 2026-06-17 19:28 0.540 0.310 0.430 -0.110 $+23.00 628m
2026-06-17 08:56 L1 0x215adbb6… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 09:00 2026-06-17 19:28 0.540 0.310 0.430 -0.110 $+23.00 628m
2026-06-17 08:37 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 19:28 0.560 0.310 0.430 -0.130 $+6.25 638m
2026-06-17 08:37 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-17 08:51 2026-06-17 19:28 0.560 0.310 0.430 -0.130 $+12.50 638m

Open Trades (17)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$-22.00
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.280 0.157 -0.083 $-2.00 511m
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 255m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 245m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 234m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 234m
2026-06-23 15:49 L1 0x9495d622… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 15:55 0.240 0.280 0.200 -0.040 $-4.00 46m
2026-06-23 15:58 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.280 0.200 -0.040 $-4.00 34m
2026-06-23 15:58 L1 0x9495d622… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.280 0.200 -0.040 $-4.00 34m
2026-06-23 16:00 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.280 0.190 -0.050 $-4.00 34m
2026-06-23 16:00 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.280 0.190 -0.050 $-2.00 34m
2026-06-23 16:00 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 16:07 0.240 0.280 0.190 -0.050 $-2.00 34m