Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$2230.66
L1 Closed / Open
4363 / 72
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.51
L1 Capital Deployed
$141198
L1 Return (book / avg trade)
+1.58% / +4.11%
L1 Win Rate
67%
L1 Avg Catchup
733m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Capital Deployed
$1530
L2 Return (book / avg trade)
-17.19% / -23.42%
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).
Cost = entry price × position size — the capital actually deployed, which is not the position size (size is a contract count; each contract settles at $1). Return = P&L ÷ cost.

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Cost P&L Return Catchup
2026-07-13 00:50 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-13 01:08 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.984 +0.034 $47.50 $-6.00 -12.6% 300m
2026-07-12 23:10 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 23:33 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.984 +0.034 $47.50 $-6.00 -12.6% 395m
2026-07-12 23:15 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 23:33 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.984 +0.034 $47.50 $-6.00 -12.6% 395m
2026-07-12 23:16 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 23:33 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.984 +0.034 $95.00 $-12.00 -12.6% 395m
2026-07-12 23:03 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 23:18 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.983 +0.033 $95.00 $-12.00 -12.6% 410m
2026-07-12 22:40 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 22:52 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.983 +0.033 $95.00 $-12.00 -12.6% 437m
2026-07-12 22:10 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 22:26 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.980 +0.030 $95.00 $-12.00 -12.6% 463m
2026-07-12 22:10 L1 0x93511d72… KXKNESSET-27-AUG01
israeli-parliament-dissolved-by-july-31-832
Israeli parliament dissolved by July 31?
YES 2026-07-12 22:26 2026-07-13 06:08 0.950 0.830 0.980 +0.030 $95.00 $-12.00 -12.6% 463m
2026-07-12 21:13 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 21:30 2026-07-12 21:30 0.071 0.053 0.039 -0.032 $3.55 $+0.90 +25.4% 1m
2026-07-12 19:36 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 19:51 2026-07-12 19:51 0.073 0.053 0.040 -0.033 $3.65 $+1.00 +27.4% 1m
2026-07-12 19:36 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 19:51 2026-07-12 19:51 0.073 0.053 0.039 -0.034 $3.65 $+1.00 +27.4% 1m
2026-07-12 19:37 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 19:51 2026-07-12 19:51 0.073 0.053 0.039 -0.034 $3.65 $+1.00 +27.4% 1m
2026-07-12 19:38 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 19:51 2026-07-12 19:51 0.073 0.053 0.039 -0.034 $3.65 $+1.00 +27.4% 1m
2026-07-12 19:39 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 19:51 2026-07-12 19:51 0.073 0.053 0.039 -0.034 $3.65 $+1.00 +27.4% 1m
2026-07-11 22:11 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 22:18 2026-07-12 13:29 0.900 0.911 0.930 +0.030 $90.00 $+1.10 +1.2% 911m
2026-07-11 22:01 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 22:07 2026-07-12 13:29 0.900 0.911 0.930 +0.030 $90.00 $+1.10 +1.2% 922m
2026-07-11 21:44 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 21:57 2026-07-12 13:29 0.900 0.911 0.930 +0.030 $90.00 $+1.10 +1.2% 932m
2026-07-12 12:39 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 12:59 2026-07-12 13:00 0.078 0.054 0.042 -0.036 $3.90 $+1.20 +30.8% 1m
2026-07-12 12:41 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 12:59 2026-07-12 13:00 0.078 0.054 0.043 -0.035 $3.90 $+1.20 +30.8% 1m
2026-07-11 22:13 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 22:30 2026-07-12 12:29 0.900 0.910 0.930 +0.030 $22.50 $+0.25 +1.1% 839m
2026-07-11 22:08 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 22:18 2026-07-12 12:29 0.900 0.910 0.930 +0.030 $45.00 $+0.50 +1.1% 850m
2026-07-11 22:09 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 22:18 2026-07-12 12:29 0.900 0.910 0.930 +0.030 $45.00 $+0.50 +1.1% 850m
2026-07-11 22:10 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 22:18 2026-07-12 12:29 0.900 0.910 0.930 +0.030 $45.00 $+0.50 +1.1% 850m
2026-07-11 21:05 L1 0xf7429705… KXTRUMPATTEND
president-trump-to-attend-world-cup-final-20260608152749044
President Trump to Attend World Cup Final?
YES 2026-07-11 21:20 2026-07-12 12:29 0.900 0.910 0.930 +0.030 $90.00 $+1.00 +1.1% 908m
2026-07-12 08:38 L1 0x2bf30e1e… KXVENEZUELALEADER-26DEC31-NMAD
will-nicols-maduro-be-the-leader-of-venezuela-end-of-2026
Will Nicolás Maduro be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?
NO 2026-07-12 08:53 2026-07-12 08:53 0.790 0.770 0.751 -0.039 $79.00 $+2.00 +2.5% 1m
2026-07-12 06:59 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-12 07:08 2026-07-12 07:12 0.090 0.120 0.132 +0.042 $4.50 $+1.50 +33.3% 4m
2026-07-12 03:48 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-12 03:58 2026-07-12 06:56 0.260 0.150 0.150 -0.110 $13.00 $+5.50 +42.3% 178m
2026-07-12 03:48 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-12 03:58 2026-07-12 06:56 0.260 0.150 0.150 -0.110 $13.00 $+5.50 +42.3% 178m
2026-07-12 03:48 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-12 03:58 2026-07-12 06:56 0.260 0.150 0.150 -0.110 $13.00 $+5.50 +42.3% 178m
2026-07-12 03:49 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-12 03:58 2026-07-12 06:56 0.260 0.150 0.150 -0.110 $13.00 $+5.50 +42.3% 178m
2026-07-12 03:37 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-12 03:47 2026-07-12 03:47 0.210 0.160 0.150 -0.060 $10.50 $+2.50 +23.8% 1m
2026-07-12 03:37 L1 0xf2aa8381… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-12 03:47 2026-07-12 03:47 0.210 0.160 0.150 -0.060 $10.50 $+2.50 +23.8% 1m
2026-07-11 21:41 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 21:57 2026-07-12 00:08 0.230 0.110 0.299 +0.069 $11.50 $-6.00 -52.2% 131m
2026-07-11 22:53 L1 0x5a218c7a… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 23:14 2026-07-12 00:06 0.200 0.100 0.254 +0.054 $10.00 $-5.00 -50.0% 52m
2026-07-11 21:52 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 22:07 2026-07-11 23:09 0.260 0.150 0.343 +0.083 $13.00 $-5.50 -42.3% 62m
2026-07-11 21:53 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 22:07 2026-07-11 23:09 0.260 0.150 0.343 +0.083 $13.00 $-5.50 -42.3% 62m
2026-07-11 21:53 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 22:07 2026-07-11 23:09 0.260 0.150 0.344 +0.084 $13.00 $-5.50 -42.3% 62m
2026-07-11 21:54 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 22:07 2026-07-11 23:09 0.260 0.150 0.345 +0.085 $13.00 $-5.50 -42.3% 62m
2026-07-11 21:54 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 22:07 2026-07-11 23:09 0.260 0.150 0.345 +0.085 $13.00 $-5.50 -42.3% 62m
2026-07-11 09:39 L1 0xf769c639… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
YES 2026-07-11 09:58 2026-07-11 18:06 0.190 0.200 0.220 +0.030 $19.00 $+1.00 +5.3% 487m
2026-07-10 11:25 L1 0xf769c639… KXFARAGEOUTREFORM-26JUL-JAN01
nigel-farage-out-as-reform-uk-leader-in-2026-20260622233131512
Nigel Farage out as Reform UK leader in 2026?
YES 2026-07-10 11:31 2026-07-11 18:06 0.190 0.200 0.220 +0.030 $19.00 $+1.00 +5.3% 1834m
2026-07-11 17:43 L1 0xc3cd1d61… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-11 17:53 2026-07-11 17:53 0.250 0.240 0.220 -0.030 $25.00 $+1.00 +4.0% 1m
2026-07-11 16:33 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-11 16:53 2026-07-11 16:53 0.320 0.300 0.290 -0.030 $32.00 $+2.00 +6.2% 1m
2026-07-11 06:23 L1 0xfc04e014… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 06:34 2026-07-11 15:44 0.370 0.230 0.469 +0.099 $18.50 $-7.00 -37.8% 549m
2026-07-10 22:42 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 22:52 2026-07-11 15:44 0.380 0.230 0.554 +0.174 $19.00 $-7.50 -39.5% 1012m
2026-07-10 21:36 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 21:56 2026-07-11 15:44 0.380 0.230 0.553 +0.173 $19.00 $-7.50 -39.5% 1068m
2026-07-10 12:43 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 12:50 2026-07-11 15:44 0.360 0.230 0.504 +0.144 $18.00 $-6.50 -36.1% 1614m
2026-07-10 10:59 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 11:11 2026-07-11 15:44 0.350 0.230 0.518 +0.168 $8.75 $-3.00 -34.3% 1713m
2026-07-10 10:59 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 11:11 2026-07-11 15:44 0.350 0.230 0.518 +0.168 $17.50 $-6.00 -34.3% 1713m
2026-07-10 10:27 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 10:39 2026-07-11 15:44 0.360 0.230 0.517 +0.157 $18.00 $-6.50 -36.1% 1745m
2026-07-10 10:29 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 10:39 2026-07-11 15:44 0.360 0.230 0.515 +0.155 $18.00 $-6.50 -36.1% 1745m
2026-07-10 08:12 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 08:25 2026-07-11 15:44 0.360 0.230 0.531 +0.171 $18.00 $-6.50 -36.1% 1879m
2026-07-11 05:16 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 05:31 2026-07-11 15:32 0.400 0.300 0.432 +0.032 $40.00 $-10.00 -25.0% 601m
2026-07-11 00:30 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 00:36 2026-07-11 15:32 0.410 0.300 0.552 +0.142 $10.25 $-2.75 -26.8% 896m
2026-07-11 00:30 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 00:36 2026-07-11 15:32 0.410 0.300 0.541 +0.131 $10.25 $-2.75 -26.8% 896m
2026-07-11 00:30 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 00:36 2026-07-11 15:32 0.410 0.300 0.588 +0.178 $20.50 $-5.50 -26.8% 896m
2026-07-11 15:02 L1 0x2e1f908b… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-11 15:20 2026-07-11 15:21 0.390 0.310 0.328 -0.062 $39.00 $+8.00 +20.5% 1m
2026-07-11 15:08 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-11 15:20 2026-07-11 15:21 0.380 0.310 0.322 -0.058 $38.00 $+7.00 +18.4% 1m
2026-07-11 09:08 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 09:23 2026-07-11 15:20 0.420 0.310 0.584 +0.164 $21.00 $-5.50 -26.2% 358m
2026-07-11 08:41 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 08:59 2026-07-11 15:20 0.420 0.310 0.599 +0.179 $21.00 $-5.50 -26.2% 381m
2026-07-11 12:59 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-11 13:10 2026-07-11 14:02 0.390 0.340 0.355 -0.035 $39.00 $+5.00 +12.8% 52m
2026-07-11 12:42 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-11 12:59 2026-07-11 14:01 0.390 0.340 0.321 -0.069 $39.00 $+5.00 +12.8% 62m
2026-07-11 12:31 L1 0x6b0ebbef… KXTRUMPPARDON-27JAN01-GMAX
will-trump-pardon-ghislaine-maxwell
Will Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell by end of 2026?
NO 2026-07-11 12:47 2026-07-11 12:48 0.120 0.082 0.070 -0.050 $6.00 $+1.90 +31.7% 1m
2026-07-11 08:22 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-11 08:36 2026-07-11 08:37 0.079 0.054 0.043 -0.036 $3.95 $+1.25 +31.6% 1m
2026-07-11 08:11 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-11 08:24 2026-07-11 08:25 0.079 0.054 0.046 -0.033 $3.95 $+1.25 +31.6% 1m
2026-07-11 02:33 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 02:45 2026-07-11 06:34 0.440 0.330 0.473 +0.033 $44.00 $-11.00 -25.0% 230m
2026-07-10 13:06 L1 0x6b0ebbef… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-10 13:14 2026-07-11 04:12 0.290 0.240 0.230 -0.060 $29.00 $+5.00 +17.2% 897m
2026-07-10 08:30 L1 0xc3cd1d61… KXALITOANNOUNCERETIRE-26JUN-JAN01
will-samuel-alito-announce-his-retirement-by-december-31-2026-573-343-622
Will Samuel Alito announce his retirement by December 31, 2026?
NO 2026-07-10 08:47 2026-07-11 04:12 0.300 0.240 0.240 -0.060 $30.00 $+6.00 +20.0% 1165m
2026-07-11 03:39 L1 0xb687f004… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T2
will-2-fed-rate-cuts-happen-in-2026
Will 2 Fed rate cuts happen in 2026?
NO 2026-07-11 03:50 2026-07-11 03:51 0.079 0.054 0.041 -0.038 $3.95 $+1.25 +31.6% 1m
2026-07-10 13:51 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 14:01 2026-07-11 01:34 0.360 0.480 0.500 +0.140 $9.00 $+3.00 +33.3% 694m
2026-07-10 12:58 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 13:14 2026-07-11 01:34 0.360 0.480 0.496 +0.136 $18.00 $+6.00 +33.3% 740m
2026-07-10 12:20 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 12:27 2026-07-11 01:34 0.340 0.480 0.499 +0.159 $8.50 $+3.50 +41.2% 788m
2026-07-10 08:52 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 09:09 2026-07-11 01:34 0.340 0.480 0.495 +0.155 $17.00 $+7.00 +41.2% 985m
2026-07-10 18:19 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 18:34 2026-07-11 00:59 0.420 0.460 0.451 +0.031 $42.00 $+4.00 +9.5% 385m
2026-07-10 18:08 L1 0xd426adbc… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 18:23 2026-07-11 00:59 0.410 0.460 0.463 +0.053 $41.00 $+5.00 +12.2% 396m
2026-07-10 18:08 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 18:23 2026-07-11 00:59 0.410 0.460 0.451 +0.041 $41.00 $+5.00 +12.2% 396m
2026-07-10 17:26 L1 0xd426adbc… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 17:40 2026-07-11 00:59 0.410 0.460 0.463 +0.053 $41.00 $+5.00 +12.2% 439m
2026-07-10 17:27 L1 0xd426adbc… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 17:40 2026-07-11 00:59 0.410 0.460 0.463 +0.053 $41.00 $+5.00 +12.2% 439m
2026-07-10 16:41 L1 0xd426adbc… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 16:57 2026-07-11 00:59 0.390 0.460 0.463 +0.073 $39.00 $+7.00 +17.9% 482m
2026-07-10 15:59 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 16:15 2026-07-11 00:59 0.370 0.460 0.464 +0.094 $18.50 $+4.50 +24.3% 524m
2026-07-10 15:59 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 16:15 2026-07-11 00:59 0.370 0.460 0.464 +0.094 $18.50 $+4.50 +24.3% 524m
2026-07-10 14:23 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 14:35 2026-07-11 00:59 0.370 0.460 0.465 +0.095 $18.50 $+4.50 +24.3% 624m
2026-07-10 14:23 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 14:35 2026-07-11 00:59 0.370 0.460 0.457 +0.087 $37.00 $+9.00 +24.3% 624m
2026-07-10 14:09 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 14:24 2026-07-11 00:59 0.370 0.460 0.464 +0.094 $18.50 $+4.50 +24.3% 635m
2026-07-10 08:51 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 08:58 2026-07-11 00:59 0.340 0.460 0.451 +0.111 $17.00 $+6.00 +35.3% 961m
2026-07-11 00:30 L1 0xfc04e014… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 00:36 2026-07-11 00:48 0.410 0.450 0.460 +0.050 $10.25 $+1.00 +9.8% 12m
2026-07-11 00:30 L1 0x3f4493ee… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-11 00:36 2026-07-11 00:48 0.410 0.450 0.455 +0.045 $20.50 $+2.00 +9.8% 12m
2026-07-10 09:25 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 09:32 2026-07-11 00:48 0.350 0.430 0.450 +0.100 $17.50 $+4.00 +22.9% 916m
2026-07-10 08:55 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 09:09 2026-07-11 00:48 0.340 0.430 0.450 +0.110 $17.00 $+4.50 +26.5% 938m
2026-07-10 06:36 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 06:46 2026-07-10 08:13 0.310 0.340 0.359 +0.049 $31.00 $+3.00 +9.7% 87m
2026-07-10 05:40 L1 0xe94bf89e… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 05:52 2026-07-10 07:19 0.350 0.240 0.423 +0.073 $35.00 $-11.00 -31.4% 87m
2026-07-10 05:40 L1 0xe94bf89e… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 05:52 2026-07-10 07:19 0.350 0.240 0.400 +0.050 $35.00 $-11.00 -31.4% 87m
2026-07-10 05:47 L1 0xb40e8967… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 06:03 2026-07-10 07:05 0.350 0.200 0.388 +0.038 $35.00 $-15.00 -42.9% 62m
2026-07-10 00:43 L1 0x511f9c77… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 00:49 2026-07-10 04:28 0.410 0.250 0.600 +0.190 $20.50 $-8.00 -39.0% 219m
2026-07-10 03:37 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 03:54 2026-07-10 04:26 0.410 0.250 0.510 +0.100 $41.00 $-16.00 -39.0% 32m
2026-07-10 03:37 L1 0xd426adbc… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 03:54 2026-07-10 04:26 0.410 0.250 0.484 +0.074 $41.00 $-16.00 -39.0% 32m
2026-07-10 03:21 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-10 03:31 2026-07-10 04:23 0.400 0.270 0.453 +0.053 $40.00 $-13.00 -32.5% 52m
2026-07-09 23:52 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-09 23:58 2026-07-10 01:00 0.330 0.400 0.420 +0.090 $16.50 $+3.50 +21.2% 62m
2026-07-09 22:52 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
YES 2026-07-09 23:06 2026-07-10 00:58 0.320 0.400 0.420 +0.100 $16.00 $+4.00 +25.0% 112m
2026-07-09 09:47 L1 0x52071e89… KXHORMUZWEEKLY-26JUL12-T150
will-fewer-than-150-ships-transit-the-strait-of-hormuz-between-july-6-july-12-20260703173313934
Will fewer than 150 ships transit the Strait of Hormuz between July 6-July 12?
NO 2026-07-09 09:59 2026-07-09 22:13 0.640 0.290 0.330 -0.310 $32.00 $+17.50 +54.7% 734m

Open Trades (72)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid; Return = that ÷ cost.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+51.25
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Cost Unrealized P&L Return Age
2026-08-05 21:35 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 21:58 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2707m
2026-08-05 21:33 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 21:58 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2707m
2026-08-05 21:52 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:13 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2691m
2026-08-05 21:48 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:13 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2691m
2026-08-05 22:37 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 22:57 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $29.50 $+1.00 +3.4% 2647m
2026-08-05 22:53 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 23:12 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2632m
2026-08-05 23:06 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-05 23:27 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2617m
2026-08-06 00:21 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:40 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $21.00 $+0.00 +0.0% 2544m
2026-08-06 00:18 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:40 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2544m
2026-08-06 00:39 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 00:55 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2529m
2026-08-06 00:57 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 01:09 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $10.50 $+0.00 +0.0% 2515m
2026-08-06 00:56 L1 0x4c4ed674… SENATEME-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 01:09 0.370 0.360 0.320 -0.050 $37.00 $+1.00 +2.7% 2515m
2026-08-06 01:10 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 01:24 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $5.25 $+0.00 +0.0% 2500m
2026-08-06 01:51 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 02:06 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $14.75 $+0.50 +3.4% 2458m
2026-08-06 01:46 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 02:06 0.420 0.420 0.590 +0.170 $5.25 $+0.00 +0.0% 2458m
2026-08-06 02:07 L1 0xc3cd1d61… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 02:21 0.590 0.570 0.400 -0.190 $7.38 $+0.25 +3.4% 2443m
2026-08-06 05:55 L1 0x01309d49… GOVPARTYWI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 06:09 0.410 0.390 0.590 +0.180 $20.50 $-1.00 -4.9% 2215m
2026-08-06 05:54 L1 0x01309d49… GOVPARTYWI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-wisconsin-governor-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Wisconsin governor race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-06 06:09 0.410 0.390 0.580 +0.170 $20.50 $-1.00 -4.9% 2215m
2026-08-06 06:24 L1 0x6f679c4a… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 06:37 0.160 0.200 0.120 -0.040 $8.00 $-2.00 -25.0% 2187m
2026-08-06 07:39 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2112m
2026-08-06 07:39 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2112m
2026-08-06 07:38 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2112m
2026-08-06 07:38 L1 0x87287f64… KXCBDISRAEL-26AUG31-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-israel-hold-at-the-august-2026-meeting
Will the Bank of Israel hold at the August 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-06 07:52 0.780 0.720 0.500 -0.280 $39.00 $+3.00 +7.7% 2112m
2026-08-06 09:28 L1 0x7803ddf6… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 09:50 0.590 0.570 0.380 -0.210 $7.38 $+0.25 +3.4% 1994m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1863m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0xa91edaba… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1863m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $13.00 $+0.75 +5.8% 1863m
2026-08-06 11:49 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:01 0.520 0.490 0.390 -0.130 $6.50 $+0.38 +5.8% 1863m
2026-08-06 12:15 L1 0xa91edaba… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:29 0.510 0.490 0.390 -0.120 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1835m
2026-08-06 12:08 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:29 0.510 0.490 0.400 -0.110 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1835m
2026-08-06 12:31 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:44 0.510 0.490 0.400 -0.110 $51.00 $+2.00 +3.9% 1820m
2026-08-06 12:39 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 12:59 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1805m
2026-08-06 12:49 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:13 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1791m
2026-08-06 13:19 L1 0xe5f51861… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 13:42 0.210 0.200 0.117 -0.093 $10.50 $+0.50 +4.8% 1762m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1748m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0x09789b8b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1748m
2026-08-06 13:34 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 13:56 0.500 0.490 0.400 -0.100 $50.00 $+1.00 +2.0% 1748m
2026-08-06 14:20 L1 0xc03fd7f5… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 14:39 0.210 0.200 0.130 -0.080 $10.50 $+0.50 +4.8% 1705m
2026-08-06 14:18 L1 0xe5f51861… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-06 14:39 0.210 0.200 0.114 -0.096 $10.50 $+0.50 +4.8% 1705m
2026-08-06 16:05 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:16 0.500 0.490 0.410 -0.090 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 1608m
2026-08-06 16:19 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1594m
2026-08-06 16:19 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1594m
2026-08-06 16:18 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:30 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $25.50 $+1.00 +3.9% 1594m
2026-08-06 16:27 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 16:44 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $12.75 $+0.50 +3.9% 1580m
2026-08-06 16:50 L1 0x328dc4b8… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 17:12 0.510 0.490 0.410 -0.100 $12.75 $+0.50 +3.9% 1552m
2026-08-06 17:35 L1 0xee5457ad… SENATEME-26-R
will-the-republicans-win-the-maine-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Republicans win the Maine Senate race in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 17:55 0.370 0.360 0.320 -0.050 $37.00 $+1.00 +2.7% 1509m
2026-08-06 21:42 L1 0xe2349595… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-06 22:01 0.500 0.490 0.410 -0.090 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 1263m
2026-08-06 23:10 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.111 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.30 +5.1% 1181m
2026-08-06 23:10 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.111 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.30 +5.1% 1181m
2026-08-06 23:08 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-06 23:24 0.117 0.111 0.080 -0.037 $5.85 $+0.30 +5.1% 1181m
2026-08-06 23:57 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $5.80 $+0.25 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-06 23:57 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $5.80 $+0.25 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-06 23:56 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.13 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-06 23:55 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.13 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-06 23:55 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $2.90 $+0.13 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-06 23:54 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $1.45 $+0.06 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-06 23:54 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 00:07 0.116 0.111 0.080 -0.036 $1.45 $+0.06 +4.3% 1138m
2026-08-07 03:20 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-HOLD
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-no-change-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724869
Will the Bank of Japan announce no change at the September 2026 meeting?
NO 2026-08-07 03:41 0.560 0.530 0.500 -0.060 $56.00 $+3.00 +5.4% 923m
2026-08-07 04:43 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXARREST-27JAN-AFAU
will-anthony-fauci-be-arrested-before-2027-464
Will Anthony Fauci be arrested before 2027?
NO 2026-08-07 04:54 0.210 0.200 0.131 -0.079 $10.50 $+0.50 +4.8% 850m
2026-08-07 05:38 L1 0x7e5972bf… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-a-25-bps-increase-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724870
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 2026-08-07 05:54 0.420 0.450 0.590 +0.170 $21.00 $+1.50 +7.1% 790m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x8c0b637b… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $25.00 $+0.50 +2.0% 701m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x6139c42e… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $12.50 $+0.25 +2.0% 701m
2026-08-07 07:09 L1 0x45a22737… KXHORMUZNORM-26MAR17-B270101
strait-of-hormuz-traffic-returns-to-normal-by-december-31
Strait of Hormuz traffic returns to normal by December 31?
NO 2026-08-07 07:23 0.500 0.490 0.420 -0.080 $12.50 $+0.25 +2.0% 701m
2026-08-07 08:09 L1 0x7803ddf6… SENATEMI-26-D
will-the-democrats-win-the-michigan-senate-race-in-2026
Will the Democrats win the Michigan Senate race in 2026?
YES 2026-08-07 08:23 0.580 0.570 0.610 +0.030 $58.00 $-1.00 -1.7% 641m
2026-08-07 11:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 12:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 422m
2026-08-07 12:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 362m
2026-08-07 12:46 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 362m
2026-08-07 12:45 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:02 0.141 0.111 0.090 -0.051 $7.05 $+1.50 +21.3% 362m
2026-08-07 13:26 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:46 0.140 0.111 0.090 -0.050 $7.00 $+1.45 +20.7% 319m
2026-08-07 13:25 L1 0x13fa4ce1… KXRATECUTCOUNT-26DEC31-T1
will-1-fed-rate-cut-happen-in-2026
Will 1 Fed rate cut happen in 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 13:46 0.140 0.111 0.090 -0.050 $3.50 $+0.73 +20.7% 319m
2026-08-07 14:07 L1 0xe23b2940… KXLEADERSOUT-27JAN01-VZELUKR
zelenskyy-out-as-ukraine-president-before-2027
Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
NO 2026-08-07 14:27 0.100 0.099 0.070 -0.030 $5.00 $+0.05 +1.0% 277m
2026-08-07 14:51 L1 0xbd14da50… KXCBDECISIONJAPAN-26SEP17-H25
will-the-bank-of-japan-announce-a-25-bps-increase-at-the-september-2026-meeting-20260616223724870
Will the Bank of Japan announce a 25 bps increase at the September 2026 meeting?
YES 2026-08-07 15:10 0.460 0.450 0.570 +0.110 $46.00 $-1.00 -2.2% 234m