Paper Trading P&L

Showing all-time data Fresh run (May 26 →)
L1 Total P&L
$1166.59
L1 Closed / Open
2299 / 15
L1 Avg P&L (closed)
$0.51
L1 Win Rate
60%
L1 Avg Catchup
1071m
L2 Total P&L
$-263.00
L2 Closed / Open
30 / 0
L2 Avg P&L (closed)
$-8.77
L2 Win Rate
27%
L2 Avg Catchup
987m

Closed Trades

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price (positive = PM led upward; negative = PM led downward). Catchup lag marked for historical scans (lag from detection, not from signal time).

Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Sold Entry (K) Exit (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open P&L Catchup
2026-06-18 19:32 L1 0x2117ae94… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.590 +0.150 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.620 +0.180 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.620 +0.180 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-18 19:31 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-19 00:58 0.440 0.330 0.610 +0.170 $-5.50 319m
2026-06-19 00:03 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-19 00:08 2026-06-19 00:45 0.440 0.390 0.370 -0.070 $+5.00 37m
2026-06-18 23:52 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 23:58 2026-06-18 23:59 0.440 0.410 0.410 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-18 23:52 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 23:58 2026-06-18 23:59 0.440 0.410 0.400 -0.040 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-18 23:52 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 23:58 2026-06-18 23:59 0.440 0.410 0.410 -0.030 $+3.00 1m
2026-06-18 23:34 L1 0xd7ea6b24… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 23:49 2026-06-18 23:49 0.440 0.420 0.400 -0.040 $+2.00 1m
2026-06-17 18:31 L1 0xe23b2940… KXABRAHAMSA-27-JAN01
will-saudi-arabia-join-the-abraham-accords-before-2027
Will Saudi Arabia join the Abraham Accords before 2027?
NO 2026-06-17 18:43 2026-06-18 23:19 0.130 0.076 0.080 -0.050 $+2.70 1716m
2026-06-18 20:07 L1 0x93a93d84… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:20 2026-06-18 21:22 0.480 0.350 0.420 -0.060 $+6.50 62m
2026-06-18 20:08 L1 0x93a93d84… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:20 2026-06-18 21:22 0.480 0.350 0.420 -0.060 $+6.50 62m
2026-06-18 20:08 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:20 2026-06-18 21:22 0.480 0.350 0.420 -0.060 $+3.25 62m
2026-06-18 20:48 L1 0xeec50ede… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 21:00 2026-06-18 21:22 0.490 0.350 0.540 +0.050 $-14.00 22m
2026-06-18 20:48 L1 0xac6a1ca4… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 21:00 2026-06-18 21:22 0.490 0.350 0.540 +0.050 $-14.00 22m
2026-06-18 19:59 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:09 2026-06-18 21:21 0.480 0.350 0.410 -0.070 $+13.00 72m
2026-06-18 20:00 L1 0xfe726a6e… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:09 2026-06-18 21:21 0.480 0.350 0.410 -0.070 $+13.00 72m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-18 21:21 0.440 0.350 0.380 -0.060 $+4.50 102m
2026-06-18 19:31 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-18 21:21 0.440 0.350 0.390 -0.050 $+9.00 102m
2026-06-18 19:25 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-18 21:21 0.440 0.350 0.380 -0.060 $+9.00 102m
2026-06-18 19:21 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-18 21:21 0.440 0.350 0.370 -0.070 $+9.00 102m
2026-06-18 19:25 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-18 21:21 0.440 0.350 0.380 -0.060 $+9.00 102m
2026-06-18 19:25 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:39 2026-06-18 21:21 0.440 0.350 0.380 -0.060 $+9.00 102m
2026-06-18 19:14 L1 0x9cb35555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:29 2026-06-18 21:21 0.480 0.350 0.630 +0.150 $-6.50 112m
2026-06-18 19:09 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 19:29 2026-06-18 21:21 0.460 0.350 0.660 +0.200 $-5.50 112m
2026-06-18 19:13 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:29 2026-06-18 21:21 0.480 0.350 0.370 -0.110 $+13.00 112m
2026-06-18 19:13 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:29 2026-06-18 21:21 0.460 0.350 0.370 -0.090 $+11.00 112m
2026-06-18 19:13 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 19:29 2026-06-18 21:21 0.480 0.350 0.370 -0.110 $+13.00 112m
2026-06-18 20:57 L1 0x93511d72… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 21:10 2026-06-18 21:19 0.480 0.350 0.560 +0.080 $-13.00 9m
2026-06-18 20:11 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:20 2026-06-18 21:07 0.480 0.460 0.440 -0.040 $+0.50 47m
2026-06-18 20:11 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:20 2026-06-18 21:07 0.480 0.460 0.440 -0.040 $+1.00 47m
2026-06-18 20:11 L1 0x7e35a2a8… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:20 2026-06-18 21:07 0.480 0.460 0.440 -0.040 $+2.00 47m
2026-06-18 20:34 L1 0x17ed7dbf… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:40 2026-06-18 21:07 0.490 0.460 0.450 -0.040 $+3.00 27m
2026-06-18 20:21 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 20:40 2026-06-18 21:07 0.490 0.460 0.450 -0.040 $+3.00 27m
2026-06-18 20:44 L1 0x9cb35555… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 20:50 2026-06-18 20:50 0.770 0.760 0.740 -0.030 $+1.00 1m
2026-06-18 13:45 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:58 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-1.25 401m
2026-06-18 13:36 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:48 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.390 -0.270 $-1.25 412m
2026-06-18 13:36 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:48 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.390 -0.270 $-2.50 412m
2026-06-18 13:40 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:48 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-2.50 412m
2026-06-18 13:36 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:48 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-2.50 412m
2026-06-18 13:36 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:48 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.380 -0.280 $-5.00 412m
2026-06-18 13:40 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:48 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.370 -0.290 $-5.00 412m
2026-06-18 13:25 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:38 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-5.00 422m
2026-06-18 13:26 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:38 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-5.00 422m
2026-06-18 13:26 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:38 2026-06-18 20:40 0.660 0.760 0.360 -0.300 $-5.00 422m
2026-06-18 13:22 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:27 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.350 -0.300 $-1.25 422m
2026-06-18 13:14 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:27 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.330 -0.320 $-1.25 422m
2026-06-18 13:22 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:27 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.350 -0.300 $-2.50 422m
2026-06-18 13:14 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:27 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.330 -0.320 $-2.50 422m
2026-06-18 13:22 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 13:27 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.350 -0.300 $-2.50 422m
2026-06-18 12:46 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.340 -0.310 $-5.00 453m
2026-06-18 12:46 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.340 -0.310 $-5.00 453m
2026-06-18 12:46 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.340 -0.310 $-5.00 453m
2026-06-18 12:46 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.340 -0.310 $-5.00 453m
2026-06-18 12:46 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 20:30 0.650 0.750 0.340 -0.310 $-5.00 453m
2026-06-18 16:52 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 17:04 2026-06-18 20:09 0.720 0.740 0.750 +0.030 $+2.00 186m
2026-06-18 18:19 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:35 2026-06-18 20:02 0.380 0.480 0.330 -0.050 $-5.00 87m
2026-06-18 18:19 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:35 2026-06-18 20:02 0.380 0.480 0.330 -0.050 $-5.00 87m
2026-06-18 18:15 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:24 2026-06-18 20:01 0.380 0.480 0.320 -0.060 $-10.00 97m
2026-06-18 18:15 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:24 2026-06-18 20:01 0.380 0.480 0.320 -0.060 $-10.00 97m
2026-06-18 18:15 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:24 2026-06-18 20:01 0.380 0.480 0.320 -0.060 $-10.00 97m
2026-06-18 13:01 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-18 13:07 2026-06-18 19:59 0.180 0.070 0.260 +0.080 $-5.50 413m
2026-06-18 18:20 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:35 2026-06-18 18:37 0.380 0.360 0.340 -0.040 $+1.00 2m
2026-06-18 18:20 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:35 2026-06-18 18:37 0.380 0.360 0.340 -0.040 $+2.00 2m
2026-06-18 18:20 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
NO 2026-06-18 18:35 2026-06-18 18:37 0.380 0.360 0.340 -0.040 $+2.00 2m
2026-06-18 12:00 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-18 12:14 2026-06-18 18:35 0.190 0.080 0.240 +0.050 $-5.50 380m
2026-06-18 12:00 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-18 12:14 2026-06-18 18:35 0.190 0.080 0.250 +0.060 $-5.50 380m
2026-06-18 12:04 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-18 12:14 2026-06-18 18:35 0.190 0.080 0.240 +0.050 $-5.50 380m
2026-06-18 14:28 L1 0xed19489c… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 14:39 2026-06-18 17:14 0.260 0.300 0.310 +0.050 $+4.00 154m
2026-06-18 14:10 L1 0x233bacfb… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 14:19 2026-06-18 17:14 0.260 0.300 0.317 +0.057 $+4.00 175m
2026-06-18 02:47 L1 0xaf15bf51… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 03:03 2026-06-18 17:14 0.260 0.300 0.310 +0.050 $+4.00 851m
2026-06-18 02:10 L1 0xf8855dad… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 02:15 2026-06-18 17:14 0.240 0.300 0.320 +0.080 $+3.00 899m
2026-06-18 02:10 L1 0x8a98109f… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 02:15 2026-06-18 17:14 0.230 0.300 0.310 +0.080 $+3.50 899m
2026-06-18 15:45 L1 0xd24b9555… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 15:53 2026-06-18 17:10 0.270 0.300 0.320 +0.050 $+3.00 77m
2026-06-18 10:54 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 11:23 2026-06-18 16:24 0.630 0.730 0.320 -0.310 $-2.50 301m
2026-06-18 10:55 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 11:23 2026-06-18 16:24 0.630 0.730 0.320 -0.310 $-5.00 301m
2026-06-18 10:55 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 11:23 2026-06-18 16:24 0.630 0.730 0.320 -0.310 $-5.00 301m
2026-06-18 09:48 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.620 0.730 0.320 -0.300 $-5.50 382m
2026-06-18 09:48 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.620 0.730 0.320 -0.300 $-5.50 382m
2026-06-18 09:48 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.620 0.730 0.320 -0.300 $-5.50 382m
2026-06-18 09:48 L1 0x97520e8e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.620 0.730 0.320 -0.300 $-5.50 382m
2026-06-18 09:49 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.630 0.730 0.320 -0.310 $-5.00 382m
2026-06-18 09:50 L1 0xca08d6c4… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.630 0.730 0.320 -0.310 $-5.00 382m
2026-06-18 09:46 L1 0x7e80049e… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 10:02 2026-06-18 16:24 0.630 0.730 0.320 -0.310 $-5.00 382m
2026-06-18 11:07 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-18 11:23 2026-06-18 16:14 0.600 0.710 0.330 -0.270 $-5.50 291m
2026-06-18 02:10 L1 0x44c1dfe4… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 02:15 2026-06-18 16:04 0.230 0.280 0.293 +0.063 $+2.50 828m
2026-06-18 02:10 L1 0x44c1dfe4… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 02:15 2026-06-18 16:04 0.230 0.280 0.300 +0.070 $+2.50 828m
2026-06-18 13:59 L1 0x4bf45919… KXLEAVESTARMER-26JUL01
starmer-out-by-june-30-2026-862-594-548
Starmer out by June 30, 2026?
YES 2026-06-18 14:09 2026-06-18 15:56 0.260 0.280 0.290 +0.030 $+2.00 107m
2026-06-18 12:38 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:46 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.690 +0.040 $+2.00 167m
2026-06-18 12:25 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:36 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.700 +0.050 $+2.00 177m
2026-06-18 12:26 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:36 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.690 +0.040 $+4.00 177m
2026-06-18 12:28 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:36 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.690 +0.040 $+4.00 177m
2026-06-18 12:11 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:25 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.700 +0.050 $+4.00 188m
2026-06-18 11:58 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:14 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.700 +0.050 $+4.00 199m
2026-06-18 12:06 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:14 2026-06-18 15:33 0.650 0.690 0.700 +0.050 $+4.00 199m
2026-06-18 08:28 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-18 08:44 2026-06-18 15:23 0.160 0.210 0.220 +0.060 $+2.50 399m
2026-06-18 08:30 L1 0xb40e8967… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN20
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-22-20260613193829178-738-167-332-255
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 22?
YES 2026-06-18 08:44 2026-06-18 15:23 0.160 0.210 0.220 +0.060 $+2.50 399m
2026-06-18 12:42 L1 0x21ffd2b7… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 14:33 0.650 0.670 0.680 +0.030 $+0.50 97m
2026-06-18 12:42 L1 0xc8ab97a9… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
YES 2026-06-18 12:56 2026-06-18 14:33 0.650 0.670 0.690 +0.040 $+1.00 97m
2026-06-18 12:14 L1 0x9495d622… KXACQANNOUNCEEBAY-27JAN01-JAN01
will-gamestop-acquire-ebay
Will GameStop acquire eBay?
NO 2026-06-18 12:25 2026-06-18 14:22 0.150 0.130 0.120 -0.030 $+2.00 117m

Open Trades (15)

All times are Pacific Time (PT). Gap at open = PM signal price − Kalshi entry price. Current (K) = live Kalshi YES bid. Unrealized P&L = mark-to-market at current bid.

Unrealized P&L (open)
$+8.00
Signal Time (PM) Layer Wallet Market Side Bought Entry (K) Current (K) Signal (PM) Gap at Open Unrealized P&L Age
2026-06-23 07:56 L1 0x277e6718… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUL01
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-july-1-20260613193829179-129-881-748-432-345
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by July 1?
NO 2026-06-23 08:10 0.240 0.220 0.157 -0.083 $+1.00 342m
2026-06-23 12:09 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 12:16 0.120 0.100 0.080 -0.040 $+1.00 96m
2026-06-23 12:18 L1 0x93a93d84… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:21 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:20 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:17 L1 0x13b72e0a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:26 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 86m
2026-06-23 12:22 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:37 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 76m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xde7be6d4… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.270 +0.040 $+0.00 65m
2026-06-23 12:33 L1 0xc798197a… KXUSAIRANAGREEMENT-27-26SEP
us-iran-final-nuclear-deal-by-august-31-2026-20260621201255154
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by August 31, 2026?
YES 2026-06-23 12:47 0.230 0.230 0.280 +0.050 $+0.00 65m
2026-06-23 13:18 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 13:27 0.140 0.100 0.090 -0.050 $+2.00 25m
2026-06-23 13:29 L1 0xac4a1fab… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 13:37 0.140 0.100 0.100 -0.040 $+2.00 15m
2026-06-23 13:29 L1 0xc602e347… KXFABLERESTORE-27-26JUN27
will-claude-fable-5-be-restored-for-us-customers-by-june-26
Will Claude Fable 5 be restored for US customers by June 26?
NO 2026-06-23 13:37 0.140 0.100 0.100 -0.040 $+2.00 15m